NBA WED 02224010 - Early Thoughts and Value Hunting

sonic2538

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Leans

Leans

Looking at Clippers and Toronto both teams rested and playing teams who have been on the road and back to back games.
 

40seven

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Intial Thoughts

Intial Thoughts

I am looking at the Rockets and the Wiz. Both home teams getting points.

A few more Leans The Jazz maybe a decent play as are the Thunder and the Mav's
 
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BillyBatts

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I agree

I agree

I am looking at the Rockets and the Wiz. Both home teams getting points.

A few more Leans The Jazz maybe a decent play as are the Thunder and the Mav's

Looks like we are on the same page for the most part. I like the Rockets lean not too sure about the Grizz yet, and at 1st glance like the Thunder and Jazz as well. Houston has POD potential for me, just on a gut feeling without looking at the numbers.

Other leans

Atl over 203
Raps -3.5
Bulls over 204.5
Maybe tge Pistons plus the points. They've been playing some good ball of late.

Gotta get to work and narrow this down.... kurby
 

BillyBatts

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Wow!!

Wow!!

I didn't realize it was an 8 game road trip the Spurs just got back from !! Think they are happy to be home???

Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Thunder are a good b2b team though...:shrug:



EDIT--

Query please. Can someone run one where a team who lost 2 games in a row SU as a road fave, how they did the next game at home and as a fave again as the Spurs are tonight. Thanks


Another trend toward the Spurs

-4 home favorites are 21-9 for a 70 percent spread winning percentage.


The Spurs sit at -4 :violin:
 
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40seven

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Like the Spurs here too

Like the Spurs here too

Still looking at OKC and how they fair after SU loss at home as Favorite.
 

BillyBatts

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Still looking at OKC and how they fair after SU loss at home as Favorite.



Really liking the over in this game too. Both games this year flew over, and the number is only a half point higher that last game. PLUS if you look at thier days rest, OKC with zero and Spurs with 2 days, that is the highest avg total for both teams based solely on rest......
 

CUBBOY69

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2-0 yesterday..

2-0 yesterday..

went 2-0 yesterday with the knicks +10 and t-wolves...both playing teams coming off long road stints..same for today taking the thunder +4 playing the spurs coming off a real long road trip of 8 games..and the t-wolves getting 12 playing the hawks coming off a 4 game trip...teams are distracted that 1st game back home ...visiting friends and loved ones..running errands and what not...as always guys goodluck....where has ax been
 

Blastyourears

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Hornets seem to always beat the Bucks..

Think I'm gonna try them big on the moneyline..

Anyone else think they have a good shot of winning at +225?
 

BillyBatts

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went 2-0 yesterday with the knicks +10 and t-wolves...both playing teams coming off long road stints..same for today taking the thunder +4 playing the spurs coming off a real long road trip of 8 games..and the t-wolves getting 12 playing the hawks coming off a 4 game trip...teams are distracted that 1st game back home ...visiting friends and loved ones..running errands and what not...as always guys goodluck....where has ax been


Be careful with that Spurs one. They seem to play better after a long road trip the first game back, and the Thunder might get in a little funk now that the winning streak is over. Just my 2 cents. Good luck to ya pal. Ax--He is in the joint

Blast your ears--I think there is very good value there in the ML. I actually lean towards the Bucks on the spread, but think if the Hornets cover, it will very likely be SU.
 

BillyBatts

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Whcih one are winners??

Whcih one are winners??

Updated leans

Hawks-Wolves over 203
Wizz-Grizz over 199
Bulls-Pacers over 204
Rockets +4 (numbers don't tell, just a gut)
Spurs -4 and over 193.5 (possible POD on both)
Mavs-2 (liking more and more)

Need to find the winners in this bunch :box2:
 

Blastyourears

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Be careful with that Spurs one. They seem to play better after a long road trip the first game back, and the Thunder might get in a little funk now that the winning streak is over. Just my 2 cents. Good luck to ya pal. Ax--He is in the joint

Blast your ears--I think there is very good value there in the ML. I actually lean towards the Bucks on the spread, but think if the Hornets cover, it will very likely be SU.

thanks for your input..completly agree with you.
 

CUBBOY69

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thanks billy and as always goodluck buddy ...why in the hell is ax in the joint....wow
 

CUBBOY69

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billy just looked back the last 2 road trips of 3 or more games the spurs have not covered and lost stright up to utah as 6 pt faves the one before that they beat the pacers 100-99 as 12 pt favs..... really think there is good value on the thunder this is an 8 game road trip they are coming off of thats about as long as they get..not trying to talk you out of your play just trying to contribute to the thread...good luck..
 

40seven

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Still working but

Still working but

The Griz are in a spot they do not do well, BUT

The Thunder have bounced back well. They have followed SU losses as Fav's well 4-1 SU and the one loss they covered.

I lean to no play.
 

BillyBatts

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thanks billy and as always goodluck buddy ...why in the hell is ax in the joint....wow


:142smilie :mj07:

AX isn't in the joint, he is just too busy to post on a regular basis. Grindstone picked his brain and found out the hows and whys to as where Ax finds a play, so in essence, with GS's plays you're getting Ax's too. I just like to say crazy stuff about AX, because from time to time he will read this thread, and if something is mentioned about him, he will chime in .

Didn't know if you guys seen this stat earlier...

Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
:shrug:
 

BillyBatts

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Texas 2 step

Texas 2 step

Recent Posted Record
46-30 W/L
15-10 POD


Locked in :director:

Rockets +4 POD
Let down spot here for the Magic. Gut play play and simple.
Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.


Hawks-TWolves OVER 202.5
Over is 10-1 in Timberwolves last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 9-1 in Timberwolves last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
Over is 15-3 in Timberwolves last 18 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Timberwolves last 5 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.
Over is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater.
Over is 10-3 in Hawks last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400



Will more than likely be adding 3RD play on one of these...

Mavs-2
The Lakers are 0-8-1 ATS (-8.1 ppg) since April 21, 2009 and when facing a team they beat in their previous two match-ups of the season.
Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.


Spurs -4

Spurs over 193.5

Best of luck fellas, let's continue to roll!! :00hour
 
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