NBA WED- 030310-Early Thoughts and Value Hunting

granpa

Kid at heart
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Mar 18, 2009
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Quick Peek

Quick Peek

No time to dig into the details, but early leans for me are:

Clev/NJ O 197 - Cleve is a scoring machine right now.
Det/NY U 205
IU + 18.5. W/O Hummel IU should be able to score in the paint just as MSU did.
UConn/ND O 142
ND -1.5
 

CUBBOY69

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Oct 28, 2009
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4-1 week so far lets keep it going

4-1 week so far lets keep it going

4-0 in the nba this week playing against teams coming off road trips of 3 or more games ..lost my cbb play last night on the illini they just quit playing at the end of that game..2 plays tonight
WIZARDS + 10
PACERS+9...AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK GUYS.
 

40seven

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Mar 18, 2009
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Va Beach
first go round

first go round

I have looked at these games and I feel like I am at HS track practice!!

I did field events. Chalk all over!

OM -15, Dallas -14, Clev -10, Denver giving OKC over 7 I do not get it:shrug:

Early Magic and Mav's - the points, I will be back later.
 

BillyBatts

IlliniBill
Forum Member
Mar 31, 2009
788
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Illinois
Early leans

Early leans

Plays I'm looking at

Philly +8.5
Celts under 189.5
Hornets -2
Wizz +10
Twolves +14 and over
Thunder +7 (agree. This smells fishy)

Be back later with some info and maybe a playkurby
 

BillyBatts

IlliniBill
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Mar 31, 2009
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Illinois
Query help

Query help

Taking a look at Knicks -4 and the total.

Knicks off a SU 30 pt loss are now a 4 pt fave?

I can only query up to 20 pts both the ats margin and su. If someone could find a 30 pt margin on a su loss and a fave the next game it would be appreciated. Here is what I have so far...
Fave off a 20+ats loss, playing a team with no rest

op:rest=0 and line<0 and P:ats margin<=-20 and 20071030<=date
SU: 19-3 (6.5)
ATS: 13-8-1 (1.1) avg line: -5.5
O/U: 9-13-0 (2.8) avg total: 199.4

Fave off a 20 pt ats loss and rest no factor
line<0 and P:ats margin<=-20 and 20071030<=date
SU: 118-36 (7.1)
ATS: 84-66-4 (0.8) avg line: -6.2
O/U: 72-79-3 (2.0) avg total: 200.6

AND if I did this right.....
A fave of 4 or less, with one day rest, off a 20 pt or more SU loss, playing a team with no rest

op:rest=0 and 1=t:rest and -4<=t:line<0 and P:margin<=-20 and 20071030<=date
SU: 6-1 (6.3)
ATS: 5-2-0 (4.1) avg line: -2.2
O/U: 6-1-0 (17.9) avg total: 206
.4 :scared
 

logan

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Nov 15, 2007
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I took a pass last night. I hope you guys cashed some tickets. 7 - 2 on the week

tonight i played.

bos ml large i dont see them losing 3 in a row at home

wiz + 10
okc + 7

g/l guys
 

BillyBatts

IlliniBill
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Mar 31, 2009
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Illinois
Be careful with Orlando

Be careful with Orlando

Some stats to make me think about taking the Warriors and all those points.

---the Double digit road dog factor we've discussed

The Magic are 0-7 ATS (-9.2 ppg) since April 01, 2009 when they won and covered as a favorite in each of their last two games.


Warriors are 9-4 ATS this year on the 2nd of a b2b

and are 9-2 as a double digit dog this year. :shrug:
 

BillyBatts

IlliniBill
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Mar 31, 2009
788
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Illinois
Query help

Query help

Intersting line for tonight's Buck's-Wizz game. The Wizz have beaten the Bucks SU both times this year, but are now a dd dog. Could someone query this situation the last 3 years please? Tahnks in advance.
 

barts185

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Feb 9, 2005
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Intersting line for tonight's Buck's-Wizz game. The Wizz have beaten the Bucks SU both times this year, but are now a dd dog. Could someone query this situation the last 3 years please? Tahnks in advance.

I accidentally did this one first, but this will find the 4th meeting of teams if this applies to the team that won the 2nd and 3rd meetings

P:W and PP:W and P:season=season and PP:season=season and line>=10 and season>=2007

SU: 1-8 (-9.4)
ATS: 5-4-0 (2.6) avg line: 12.1
O/U: 3-5-1 (-2.0) avg total: 199.0


Making it so that it's the 3rd meeting by adding in that the 3rd time they played previously had to be a different season

P:W and PP:W and P:season=season and PP:season=season and PPP:season!=season and line>=10 and season>=2007

SU: 0-2 (-9.5)
ATS: 1-1-0 (2.5) avg line: 12.0
O/U: 1-1-0 (2.2) avg total: 196.2


Since that's not many games (not that I would expect it to be), did it for the whole database. Note that there are years where this never happened.

ATS OU SU season
1-1-0 (2.5) 1-1-0 (2.2) 0-2 (-9.50) 2009
1-0-0 (14.5) 0-1-0 (-4.0) 1-0 (3.00) 2006
0-1-0 (-4.5) 0-1-0 (-10.5) 0-1 (-15.00) 2005
1-3-0 (-5.4) 3-0-1 (3.1) 0-4 (-16.25) 2004
1-1-0 (-4.5) 1-1-0 (-4.8) 0-2 (-17.00) 2002
0-3-0 (-18.0) 1-1-1 (-1.3) 0-3 (-29.33) 2001
0-2-0 (-7.2) 0-2-0 (-7.8) 0-2 (-18.50) 2000
0-4-0 (-6.2) 3-1-0 (4.6) 0-4 (-17.25) 1999
0-1-0 (-0.5) 1-0-0 (7.0) 0-1 (-12.00) 1998
0-2-0 (-2.8) 1-1-0 (-0.2) 0-2 (-18.00) 1997
1-0-0 (11.0) 0-1-0 (-11.5) 0-1 (-2.00) 1996


SU: 1-22 (-16.3)
ATS: 5-18-0 (-4.5) avg line: 11.7
O/U: 11-10-2 (-0.6) avg total: 189.7



Even before I ran this, liked MIL. Now even more.
 
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BillyBatts

IlliniBill
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Mar 31, 2009
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Illinois
Thanks man

Thanks man

I accidentally did this one first, but this will find the 4th meeting of teams if this applies to the team that won the 2nd and 3rd meetings

P:W and PP:W and P:season=season and PP:season=season and line>=10 and season>=2007

SU: 1-8 (-9.4)
ATS: 5-4-0 (2.6) avg line: 12.1
O/U: 3-5-1 (-2.0) avg total: 199.0


Making it so that it's the 3rd meeting by adding in that the 3rd time they played previously had to be a different season

P:W and PP:W and P:season=season and PP:season=season and PPP:season!=season and line>=10 and season>=2007

SU: 0-2 (-9.5)
ATS: 1-1-0 (2.5) avg line: 12.0
O/U: 1-1-0 (2.2) avg total: 196.2


Since that's not many games (not that I would expect it to be), did it for the whole database. Note that there are years where this never happened.

ATS OU SU season
1-1-0 (2.5) 1-1-0 (2.2) 0-2 (-9.50) 2009
1-0-0 (14.5) 0-1-0 (-4.0) 1-0 (3.00) 2006
0-1-0 (-4.5) 0-1-0 (-10.5) 0-1 (-15.00) 2005
1-3-0 (-5.4) 3-0-1 (3.1) 0-4 (-16.25) 2004
1-1-0 (-4.5) 1-1-0 (-4.8) 0-2 (-17.00) 2002
0-3-0 (-18.0) 1-1-1 (-1.3) 0-3 (-29.33) 2001
0-2-0 (-7.2) 0-2-0 (-7.8) 0-2 (-18.50) 2000
0-4-0 (-6.2) 3-1-0 (4.6) 0-4 (-17.25) 1999
0-1-0 (-0.5) 1-0-0 (7.0) 0-1 (-12.00) 1998
0-2-0 (-2.8) 1-1-0 (-0.2) 0-2 (-18.00) 1997
1-0-0 (11.0) 0-1-0 (-11.5) 0-1 (-2.00) 1996


SU: 1-22 (-16.3)
ATS: 5-18-0 (-4.5) avg line: 11.7
O/U: 11-10-2 (-0.6) avg total: 189.7



Even before I ran this, liked MIL. Now even more.


Appreciate the info as always Bart. I will pass on the Wizz for sure now.

Updated leans trying to narrow down
Phi +8.5
GSW +15.5
NY -4 and over
TWolves +14 and under
Hou under 210.5
Pacers +9
Hornets under

Any advice on these would be appreciated. Need to get down to 2 or 3 plays max. Good luck fellas:toast:
 
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grindstone

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Mar 18, 2009
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Appreciate the info as always Bart. I will pass on the Wizz for sure now.

Updated leans trying to narrow down
Phi +8.5
GSW +15.5
NY -4 and over
TWolves +14 and under
Hou under 210.5
Pacers +9

Any advice on these would be appreciated. Need to get down to 2 or 3 plays max. Good luck fellas:toast:


Love the Twolves BB

GL
 

40seven

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Mar 18, 2009
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Va Beach
Gut Check

Gut Check

CBB nothing sit right so taking the night off!

NBA Crazy card and I know i will be washing all this down with some firefly and water!!

small play Orlando -14 and TWolves +14.

Regular play 76ers +8 1/2, PTB -8 1/2 and Nuggets -6.

If I am sober and ahead POD the Clippers +4 maybe 5 by then.


BOLTA
 

BillyBatts

IlliniBill
Forum Member
Mar 31, 2009
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Illinois
Plays

Plays

Locked in
Sixers + 8.5. POD
Wolves +14


Staying away from totals again, but really like Knicks over, Mavs under and Hornets under

Best of luck fellas
 

Slicer

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Mar 18, 2009
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North Carolina
Clev/NJ Over 196 action
Clev -10 action
Wash/Mil Over 194 action
Dal/MN Over 203 1 unit
Port/Ind Under 203 1/2 unit
Phx -4 1 unit
NO -2 action

CBB:

Kstate +8.5 action
Miss St -2 1/2 unit
Wisky/Iowa O117 1 unit
OkSt/A&M O 136 action
Duke -2 1/2 unit
BYU -6.5 action
Wake +7.5 action
San Diego St -14 action
 

BillyBatts

IlliniBill
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Mar 31, 2009
788
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Illinois
Yessir

Yessir

Minn + 14 welcome aboard BB GL

:toast:

liked them all day and it came down to them or the Warriors. Hope I made the right choice . Good luck tonight buddy :00x1



Also in college
Tex A and M +6
Georgia +8. POD
UAB -2.5
Terps +1.5
 

CUBBOY69

Registered User
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Oct 28, 2009
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good luck guys only playing 2 tonight
wiz+10
pacer+9..cant take the wolves without jefferson..but will be pulling for you
 
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