NBA Wednesday 03242010 - Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

[frogster]

Hello to all. WOW what a night last night. We had some good picks and winners. Awesome job by a few and to name one GRINDSTONE...keep it up brother. I was not able to tail and what a mistake....you are a man on fire.

I lost my play last night, that's the way it goes.

Tonight we have a full board and I like the U201 in the CLE vs NO game and the O214 in the UTA vs TOR game. GL to all.

Also, I'm a west coast guy........you east coast guys should be starting this thread, after all....the word EARLY is in the title....it's already luch time for you guys...LOL.

 

[colts]

Frogster - thanks for starting the thread.

My early leans are Magic +1.5, and Utah -3

 

[JBrilman]

I put these in last night

I put these in last night

ORL +1 Atlanta just doesn't match up well and Orlando is peaking, Atlanta is playing its 4th game in 6 nights, only thing that makes me nervous here is the line growing with most people on Orlando. Im gonna stick with the play as I feel its a season sweep!

SAS -1 Odds makers are telling you who is going to win this game with the line and I am a die hard Laker fan...

OKC -7 (I got this line last night, and the line movement makes me feel even better about the play) I smell a blowout, these Thunder have to be pissed after not showing up against the Pacers and letting the game against the Spurs get away. Who better to take it out on than the Rockets who have been playing NO defense at all giving up no less than 94 in there last 5 games and now with Jefferies being out, Hill & Anderson are doubtful and Lowy is questionable this team is very short handed and will be even more defenseless.

IND -6 (again I got this last night) Blatche was benched last night and by the things I read my guess is he will be benched for tonight's game, this team has given up losing their 12th in a row and in OT last night. How do you get up for the game tonight when your best player quit on your last night and is probably benched tonight? Indy is playing good ball right now as well. The movement to -8.5 to -9 says he is not playing tonight.

 

[JBrilman]

no chatter today?

 

[canuckfan77]

no chatter today?

Not much so far today, I really like the Jazz -3

 

[40seven]

Here is my Chatter

Here is my Chatter

ORL +1 Atlanta just doesn't match up well and Orlando is peaking, Atlanta is playing its 4th game in 6 nights, only thing that makes me nervous here is the line growing with most people on Orlando. Im gonna stick with the play as I feel its a season sweep!


OKC -7 (I got this line last night, and the line movement makes me feel even better about the play) I smell a blowout, these Thunder have to be pissed after not showing up against the Pacers and letting the game against the Spurs get away. Who better to take it out on than the Rockets who have been playing NO defense at all giving up no less than 94 in there last 5 games and now with Jefferies being out, Hill & Anderson are doubtful and Lowy is questionable this team is very short handed and will be even more defenseless.

This is well said and I totally agree!

plus the Jazz and the Hornets.

 

[cubboy]

card looks good

card looks good

lets stay in the black guys ..still shopping will post later ..good luck gents

 

[BillyBatts]

Leans

Leans

Nice night last night everyone:00hour , 1-0 for myself. Hope we can continue.

Games I'm looking to lock in

Magic +1 and under 196
Nugs +4.5
Bobs-9.5
Thunder -8
Spurs under 196

Really like the Jazz as well, but that line is fishy as hell. Can someone query how pacers have done after a SU win as a dog? thanks


Gonna go shop for some numbers, be back in a bitkurby

 

[barts185]

Can someone query how pacers have done after a SU win as a dog? thanks

team=Pacers and p:W and p:line>0 and season=2009

SU: 5-6 (1.6)
ATS: 8-3-0 (4.7) avg line: 3.0
O/U: 3-8-0 (-8.3) avg total: 205.7

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team: 27.0 27.0 22.1 23.5 99.5
Opp: 24.2 26.2 24.6 22.9 97.9

Field Goals Threes Free Throws Blocks O Rbnds Rbnds Fouls Assists TrnOvrs
Team: 36.8-82.8 (44.5%) 9.0-24.8 (35.6%) 16.9-22.2 (76.6%) 6.3 8.0 43.5 21.7 23.6 13.6
Opp: 35.6-85.5 (41.7%) 5.2-16.4 (32.7%) 21.5-27.9 (77.2%) 4.3 12.3 48.5 18.5 18.6 12.5

Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
20091106 IND WAS H 102-86 1&1 40-39 0 +207' 16 16.0 -19.5 -1.8 -17.8 W W U
20091117 IND NJN A 91-83 2&2 39-36 -4' +188 8 3.5 -14.0 -5.2 -8.8 W W U
20091214 IND ORL A 98-106 1&2 47-41 +12 +208 -8 4.0 -4.0 0.0 -4.0 L W U
20100108 IND MIN A 109-116 2&1 43-50 +3 +213 -7 -4.0 12.0 4.0 8.0 L L O
20100115 IND NJN A 121-105 1&1 53-41 -3 +207' 16 13.0 18.5 15.8 2.8 W W O
20100123 IND PHI H 97-107 0&0 44-41 -3 +207 -10 -13.0 -3.0 -8.0 5.0 L L U
20100127 IND LAL H 96-118 1&0 41-45 +6 +210 -22 -16.0 4.0 -6.0 10.0 L L O
20100205 IND DET H 107-83 2&2 51-39 -4 +200 24 20.0 -10.0 5.0 -15.0 W W U
20100222 IND DAL A 82-91 1&1 36-38 +9' +207' -9 0.5 -34.5 -17.0 -17.5 L W U
20100317 IND CLE A 94-99 0&0 47-48 +13' +208' -5 8.5 -15.5 -3.5 -12.0 L W U
20100323 IND DET A 98-83 1&1 43-36 +4 +206 15 19.0 -25.0 -3.0 -22.0 W W U
20100324 IND WAS H 0&0 -8' +199'

 

[BillyBatts]

Locked in

Locked in

1st play locked in

Thunder -8 :00hour POD

Oklahoma City's best role this season has been off a loss, despite coming off the setback to San Antonio. The Thunder owns a 20-6 ATS mark off a defeat, including a 9-4 SU/ATS ledger at home coming off a loss. Scott Brooks' team has failed to cover consecutive home games only once this season, coming back in January against the Hornets and Pacers (OKC beat Indiana, but the Pacers covered as nine-point 'dogs).

The Rockets have taken care of their business on the road against poor teams, while struggling against better competition. Houston is 3-1 SU/ATS the last four as road 'chalk,' but just 1-4 SU/ATS the previous five games when receiving points on the highway.


See if I can find one or two more plays.

Thanks for the query Bart:toast:

 

[Jig-Jag]

Anyone liking the over in the Pacers game? Wizards on a B2B and went to OT. The defense should be off and the wizards should be tired. Pacers should be able to score and play uptempo basketball.

:shrug:

 

[BillyBatts]

My 2 cents

My 2 cents

Anyone liking the over in the Pacers game? Wizards on a B2B and went to OT. The defense should be off and the wizards should be tired. Pacers should be able to score and play uptempo basketball.

:shrug:

I would lean under

Under is 25-9 in Wizards last 34 road games
Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400
Under is 12-4-2 in Pacers last 18 games as a home favorite

These 2 teams are a combined 13-23 over-under on no rest

Best of luck whatever you go with:violin:

 

[BillyBatts]

Added plays

Added plays

1st play locked in

Thunder -8 :00hour POD

Oklahoma City's best role this season has been off a loss, despite coming off the setback to San Antonio. The Thunder owns a 20-6 ATS mark off a defeat, including a 9-4 SU/ATS ledger at home coming off a loss. Scott Brooks' team has failed to cover consecutive home games only once this season, coming back in January against the Hornets and Pacers (OKC beat Indiana, but the Pacers covered as nine-point 'dogs).

The Rockets have taken care of their business on the road against poor teams, while struggling against better competition. Houston is 3-1 SU/ATS the last four as road 'chalk,' but just 1-4 SU/ATS the previous five games when receiving points on the highway.


See if I can find one or two more plays.

Thanks for the query Bart:toast:

ADDING

Nuggets +4.5
Just a gut feeling on this one. If you heard Carmello after the game last night, he was pissed and said it was thier "worst loss of the year" Now with the bad news on the Coach's health, I think the team may rally around that tonight.

Spurs-Lakers Under 197.5

Bobs-9
Best of luck fellas, let's kill the books!!:toast:

 

[barts185]

I like CLE/NOR over in the first quarter.

Good Luck,
Bart

 

[logan]

4 plays for me tonight.

nugs + 4.5
tor un 214
okc un 206
gst un 233

g/l guys

 

[cubboy]

lets keep it rolling

lets keep it rolling

nuggets +5
jazz -3
t-wolves +9...POD..
1 cbb play under 106 st.louie / princeton...good luck guys :0corn

 

[grindstone]

Ok boys looks like we'll be opposite on some plays tonight therefore GL

adlock: Plays

Orl/Atl O195.5 (Got this really early and the cut off was 196) tail at your own risk

Utah/Tor U213

Hous +8

LAL/SA O197

Phil +10

GLTA should be an interesting night

 

[cubboy]

hawks/magic is at 200

 

[T OFF]

curious

curious

on that query between indy/wash


would play be indy and under :shrug:


:director: thank all ya for all you do boys!

 

[grindstone]

hawks/magic is at 200

I know CB got this really early in the AM,Wow it moved 4.5


GL CB