Love the card yet again today. And, I've dedicated the last three hours of the morning here in Vegas to doing my homework! Let's get it done today!
28-16 +$3,700 over the L10 days. Confident on a solid day with today's action!
First up, Pacers v the Magic in Orlando. The total stands out to me. I've been looking for an ideal spot to fade the over in a Magic game and take the under. Most would think that this would be that ideal spot. However, I love the over here. Orlando has hit 11 straight overs which is ridiculous. On the flip side, Indy has hit 10 unders in their L12 games. This game is quite the anomaly from a total standpoint. Two teams that couldn't be further from each other as far as total trends go meet tonight. Indy does love playing exceptional defense but they play much better defense while at home. Orlando is 12-6 over in home games and 4-0 over in a home game where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points. Riding the over in this spot. Pacers/Magic over.
*Nickel play inside* Second up, Hornets v the Irish in Beantown. The Hornets are a strong enough road team to get my money tonight. They travel well and EG is healthy. Plus, I just have a really good feeling about this game tonight because this is the first time that Doc Rivers will be playing against his son's (Austin) team. It sounds like a dumb reason to lean a certain way but I feel that Doc won't be running up the score on his little boy. Just a hunch that New Orleans comes into this game very ready! Hornets plus the points.
*Nickel play inside* Third up, Rockets v the Mavs in the Big D. The Rockets, after going 10-2 their L12, have dropped four in a row SU and ATS. They're playing a Mavs team who is trying their best to turn their season around. Dallas is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS their L4. Bettors are losing faith in this Rockets team and I'm sure the Mavs laying four points looks tasty to those bettors. The Rockets have lost by an average of 9 points in those last four losses. On paper they're a team that's imploding. And, as a bonus, the Mavs host OKC on national television on Friday night. I believe they're more worried about looking good and being rested for that clash. Feel like they'll be looking past the Rockets tonight. I think this is the PERFECT spot to ride with the Rockets! Rockets plus the points and the over.
Fourth up, Grizz v the Spurs in the Alamo. No real write-up for me in this match up. Just a feeling that the SPurs handle business and mop the fuck out of the Grizzlies. Memphis won an OT thriller five days ago. San An is pissed and they do work tonight at home! Spurs laying the wood.
Fifth up, Cavs v the Blazers in Rip City. Portland is still underrated in my opinion. Not underrated as a title-contender but rather underrated as a team that is friendly to bettors. Uncharacteristically, PTown has lost three games in a row. The Blazers start a 5-game/10-day home stretch and it begins against the Cavs tonight. Really believe Portland routs Cleveland tonight. Trends and numbers don't point that way but they have to be pissed off right now. Look for a 27+ point performance from my pick for rookie of the year, Damian Lillard! Lillard is years ahead of his rookie r?sum? and he distributes just as well as he shoots. Blazers laying the wood.
Sixth up, Wiz v the Kings in SACTown. I've said it many times this year and I will continue to say it: THE KINGS DO NOT PLAY DEFENSE AT HOME! The Kings are now 15-6 over at home. Even when the 'home overs' streak ends I will continue to pour it on when they're playing in SACTown. Wizards/Kings over.
Plays:
Indiana/Orlando over 186 $110/$100
New Orleans +8 -120 $600/$500
Houston +5 -130 $650/$500
Houston/Dallas over 214 $110/$100
San Antonio 1H -3 $110/$100
San Antonio -5 $110/$100
Portland 1H -4 $110/$100
Portland -7 $110/$100
Washington/Sacramento over 206 $110/$100
As always, let's get it! :0074
28-16 +$3,700 over the L10 days. Confident on a solid day with today's action!
First up, Pacers v the Magic in Orlando. The total stands out to me. I've been looking for an ideal spot to fade the over in a Magic game and take the under. Most would think that this would be that ideal spot. However, I love the over here. Orlando has hit 11 straight overs which is ridiculous. On the flip side, Indy has hit 10 unders in their L12 games. This game is quite the anomaly from a total standpoint. Two teams that couldn't be further from each other as far as total trends go meet tonight. Indy does love playing exceptional defense but they play much better defense while at home. Orlando is 12-6 over in home games and 4-0 over in a home game where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points. Riding the over in this spot. Pacers/Magic over.
*Nickel play inside* Second up, Hornets v the Irish in Beantown. The Hornets are a strong enough road team to get my money tonight. They travel well and EG is healthy. Plus, I just have a really good feeling about this game tonight because this is the first time that Doc Rivers will be playing against his son's (Austin) team. It sounds like a dumb reason to lean a certain way but I feel that Doc won't be running up the score on his little boy. Just a hunch that New Orleans comes into this game very ready! Hornets plus the points.
*Nickel play inside* Third up, Rockets v the Mavs in the Big D. The Rockets, after going 10-2 their L12, have dropped four in a row SU and ATS. They're playing a Mavs team who is trying their best to turn their season around. Dallas is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS their L4. Bettors are losing faith in this Rockets team and I'm sure the Mavs laying four points looks tasty to those bettors. The Rockets have lost by an average of 9 points in those last four losses. On paper they're a team that's imploding. And, as a bonus, the Mavs host OKC on national television on Friday night. I believe they're more worried about looking good and being rested for that clash. Feel like they'll be looking past the Rockets tonight. I think this is the PERFECT spot to ride with the Rockets! Rockets plus the points and the over.
Fourth up, Grizz v the Spurs in the Alamo. No real write-up for me in this match up. Just a feeling that the SPurs handle business and mop the fuck out of the Grizzlies. Memphis won an OT thriller five days ago. San An is pissed and they do work tonight at home! Spurs laying the wood.
Fifth up, Cavs v the Blazers in Rip City. Portland is still underrated in my opinion. Not underrated as a title-contender but rather underrated as a team that is friendly to bettors. Uncharacteristically, PTown has lost three games in a row. The Blazers start a 5-game/10-day home stretch and it begins against the Cavs tonight. Really believe Portland routs Cleveland tonight. Trends and numbers don't point that way but they have to be pissed off right now. Look for a 27+ point performance from my pick for rookie of the year, Damian Lillard! Lillard is years ahead of his rookie r?sum? and he distributes just as well as he shoots. Blazers laying the wood.
Sixth up, Wiz v the Kings in SACTown. I've said it many times this year and I will continue to say it: THE KINGS DO NOT PLAY DEFENSE AT HOME! The Kings are now 15-6 over at home. Even when the 'home overs' streak ends I will continue to pour it on when they're playing in SACTown. Wizards/Kings over.
Plays:
Indiana/Orlando over 186 $110/$100
New Orleans +8 -120 $600/$500
Houston +5 -130 $650/$500
Houston/Dallas over 214 $110/$100
San Antonio 1H -3 $110/$100
San Antonio -5 $110/$100
Portland 1H -4 $110/$100
Portland -7 $110/$100
Washington/Sacramento over 206 $110/$100
As always, let's get it! :0074
