NCAA FOOTBALL 10/9 through 10/13 Early Look

[Master Capper]

Season System Plays 115-76
Last Week 11-8
This Week 0-0
Halftimes 4-2
NFL 1-0
Rushing Dog Theory 16-9 (rushing dogs on a nice 13-5 run)



Full boat again this week as games begin on Tues so lets get some looks at the early lines and if you like something let us know so we can all get all over it!

 

[Master Capper]

Tuesday, November 9th
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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11/09 101 TOLEDO
4:30p 102 NO ILLINOIS 7 7 7

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Wednesday, November 10th
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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11/10 103 TCU
4:30p 104 LOUISVILLE 23? 23? 23?

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Thursday, November 11th
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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11/11 105 FLORIDA STATE 6? 6? 6?
4:45p 106 NC STATE

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ADDED GAME

Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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11/11 107 UTAH STATE
4:00p 108 ARKANSAS STATE 6 6 6

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Friday, November 12th
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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11/12 109 SO MISSISSIPPI
5:00p 110 MEMPHIS 5? 5? 5?

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11/12 111 HAWAII
7:30p 112 FRESNO STATE 15? 15? 15?

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Saturday, November 13th
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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11/13 113 BOSTON COLLEGE
9:00a 114 WEST VIRGINIA 7? 7 7?

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11/13 115 CONNECTICUT
9:00a 116 GEORGIA TECH 9 9 9

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11/13 117 WISCONSIN 7 8 7
9:00a 118 MICHIGAN STATE

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11/13 119 PENN STATE 5 3 5
9:00a 120 INDIANA

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11/13 121 IOWA
9:00a 122 MINNESOTA U 4 4 4

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11/13 123 NORTHWESTERN
9:00a 124 MICHIGAN 13 14 13

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11/13 125 AKRON pk pk pk
10:00a 126 OHIO

 

[Master Capper]

11/13 127 CLEMSON 12? 13 12?
10:00a 128 DUKE

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11/13 129 VANDERBILT 1 pk 1
10:00a 130 KENTUCKY

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11/13 131 SYRACUSE 9 9 9
10:00a 132 TEMPLE

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11/13 133 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 4? 4? 4?
10:30a 134 BUFFALO U

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11/13 135 TEXAS TECH
10:30a 136 TEXAS A&M 4 3 4

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11/13 137 BAYLOR
11:00a 138 OKLAHOMA STATE 26 24? 26

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11/13 139 TEXAS 17? 17? 17?
11:00a 140 KANSAS

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11/13 141 MIAMI OHIO 20 20 20
11:00a 142 WESTERN MICHIGAN

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11/13 143 MISSISSIPPI
11:00a 144 ARKANSAS 9? 9? 9?

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11/13 145 UTAH 20 20 20
11:00a 146 WYOMING

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11/13 147 SAN DIEGO STATE
11:00a 148 AIR FORCE 5? 6 5?

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11/13 149 PITTSBURGH U
11:30a 150 NOTRE DAME 11 11 11

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11/13 151 KANSAS STATE 2? 2? 2?
11:30a 152 COLORADO

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11/13 153 UNLV
12:00p 154 COLORADO STATE 6 6 6

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11/13 155 NEW MEXICO
12:00p 156 BYU 7 7 7

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11/13 157 GEORGIA
12:30p 158 AUBURN 5 5 5

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11/13 159 UCLA
12:30p 160 OREGON 5 5 5

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11/13 161 SOUTH CAROLINA
12:30p 162 FLORIDA 7 7 7

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11/13 163 CALIFORNIA 30? 30? 30?
12:30p 164 WASHINGTON U

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11/13 165 WASHINGTON STATE
12:30p 166 ARIZONA STATE 13? 13? 13?

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11/13 167 NEBRASKA
12:30p 168 OKLAHOMA 28 30 28

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11/13 169 OHIO STATE
12:30p 170 PURDUE 5? 6 5?

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11/13 171 MIAMI FLORIDA
12:30p 172 VIRGINIA 3? 3? 3?

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11/13 173 NORTH CAROLINA
12:30p 174 WAKE FOREST 5? 6 5?

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11/13 175 MARSHALL
1:00p 176 BOWLING GREEN 9 9 9

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11/13 177 HOUSTON U
1:00p 178 UAB 9 9 9

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11/13 179 CENTRAL FLORIDA
1:00p 180 BALL STATE 2? 2? 2?

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11/13 181 EASTERN MICHIGAN
1:00p 182 KENT 11 11 11

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11/13 183 OREGON STATE
2:00p 184 STANFORD 1? 1? 1?

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11/13 185 BOISE STATE 31? 31? 31?
2:00p 186 SAN JOSE STATE

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11/13 187 RICE
2:05p 188 UTEP 15? 15? 15?

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11/13 189 NEVADA 9 9 9
3:00p 190 SMU

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11/13 191 TULSA
4:00p 192 LOUISIANA TECH 5? 5? 5?

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11/13 193 ARMY
4:00p 194 TULANE 5? 5? 5?

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11/13 195 EAST CAROLINA
4:00p 196 SOUTH FLORIDA 11? 11? 11?

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11/13 197 ALABAMA
5:00p 198 LSU 10 10 10

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11/13 199 ARIZONA U
7:15p 200 USC 34 34 34

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ADDED GAMES

Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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11/13 201 UL MONROE
12:00p 202 MIDDLE TENN ST 6 6 6

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11/13 203 TROY STATE 12? 12? 12?
12:30p 204 UL LAFAYETTE

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11/13 205 NEW MEXICO STATE
1:00p 206 FLORIDA ATLANTIC 7? 7? 7?

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11/13 207 IDAHO
4:05p 208 NORTH TEXAS 16? 16

 

[Master Capper]

FSU-no total but like an under here

Arkansas St- Utah State on 4th away game in a row

Memphis-Each team was smoked by Cinc, but Memphis at home

Indy-PSU has no business spotting anyone points

Minn- Think they right the ship this week

Mich-Over total these teams should score around 60

Akron-Team coming together whereas Bobcats have slipped

Vandy-Get on this early line should go up to 4, Wildcats are terrible!

CMU-Buff will not be able to stop their running game

Baylor-OSU has to be mentally destroyed after the debacle in Texas

Wyo-If any team will trip up Utah this is it!

AF-SDSU is in turmoil with injuries

Pitt-team is on fire a covering machine

Cal-Can name the score, Wash may not score at all

OKL-Neb will be lucky to put up 10 points

UNC-Team is playing solid football

Ball St-Has more offense,

KENT-OVER< OVER< OVER

 

[Master Capper]

missed BGSU-9, Marshall playing back to back roadies coming off an emotional loss. BGSU pulled starters at half and will be wel lrested.

 

[RexBudler]

Indiana does merit a 2nd look for sure

 

[baltimore buc]

Minnesota -4 immediately jumped out at me. This looks like the classic unranked team off a loss favored vs a ranked team - Iowa (#19). Minnesota is a different team in the dome, and I think Iowa is suspect on the road. This line is going to look "too easy" to the novice. It will be interesting to see how the offshore books open this number....

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Indiana just became bowl uneligible. I think the motivation sides w/ Penn State to get a big 10 win and the Lions will be able to run on Indiana.

I'm also on NW, and I don't expect a big point total in that one. NW early defensive troubles appear to be solved once Howard returned.

Also on Pitt

 

[ageecee]

Ga +5 for my entire years salary

 

[pt1gard]

balt buc, i agree ... I took Minny off the bat at -3, love this team at home ... all the respect in world for Iowa, they are coming off some emotional games ... Just dont see them winning indoors ... Minny could win by 14+ ... according to my schedule, this is the gophers last game, too... 7-4 looks better than 6-5


gl, gregg

 

[tulah]

My early leans

Akron
C.Michigan
N.Texas
Oregon and the Over even if its at 70
Air Force
Auburn

 

[Master Capper]

Ageecee,

Are you really that confident in the Dawgs? I anticipated the line to be around 6 for the game.

 

[Master Capper]

BBC,

Why do you feel that the Mich game will be low scoring? I have watched both teams quite a few times this year and really dont see NW being able to slow Mich down but on the other hand I have not been overly impressed by Mich defense.


Baltimore Buc,

I have been riding the trend that your talking about and it has went very well this year. If you go back each week and identify a team that was the big play but failed to cover usually the following week the line for their game is off by 2-4 points. Although Sota would of fallen into this trend last week and failed to cover but I just think they ran into a buzz saw of a defense in Wisky that will shut down any one dimensional team. On the other hand if you watched the Iowa-Purdue game, I owawas lucky to win this game outright and Purdue was far from 100% on the offensive side of the ball.

Tulah,

Love each of your leans and can't wait to see the total of the Oreg game since you have such confidence in this total.

 

[Master Capper]

Favorite Risers (if your going to play them better jump on the side now as the line is going up)

Clemson up 1 point
Texas up 3.5 points
Utah up 2
Oreg up 1
Okl up 2
UTEP up 1.5
Tulane up 2

Doggies losing some value
Indiana lost 1.5
Texas Tech -1
Baylor-1.5
SDSU-1
Wazzou-1
Buckeyes-1.5
Houston-1.5
Oreg St-1.5
SMU-2
Tulsa-1
Bama-2.5

 

[Master Capper]

Today's top story ... Orton to return
Senior QB Kyle Orton, who sat out this past weekend’s loss at Iowa, could be back in the starting lineup for next Saturday’s home game versus Ohio State, as long as his hip injury allows him to play; Head coach Joe Tiller and the Boilers’ medical staff will evaluate Orton in the early part of this week


Big XII

Kansas
Junior QB Jason Swanson, who took over as the starter last week when sophomore Adam Barmann went down with an apparent season-ending injury, suffered an injury of his own to his right shoulder and will not be able to play in Saturday’s game versus Texas. According to head coach Mark Mangino, the injury could force Swanson to the sideline for the remainder of the season; Senior walk-on John Nielsen becomes the Jayhawks’ new starter


Oklahoma
Despite suffering a dislocated left shoulder during the fourth quarter of Saturday’s win over Texas A&M, standout freshman TB Adrian Peterson returned to the game after the medical staff put his shoulder back into place; According to head coach Bob Stoops, Peterson is expected to be able to play in this Saturday’s game versus Nebraska

Oklahoma State
Senior star CB Darrent Williams, who made his return this past Saturday after having missed the previous four games with a broken forearm, may have to miss the final two regular season games, as well; After seeing his first full-contact action since the injury occurred, Williams stated that he was unable to use his arm to tackle, and his best chance of returning would probably be in a bowl game; Junior Daniel McLemore will continue to fill-in during Williams’ absence

SEC

Georgia
Freshman TB Danny Ware suffered a sprain to his right ankle and knee during the first quarter of Saturday’s win over Kentucky, and was held to just three carries for the entire game; Ware’s playing status for this weekend’s conference clash at Auburn probably won’t be determined until later in the week, but at this point he’s questionable


South Carolina
Senior starting QB Dondrial Pinkins, who partially tore his rotator cuff during the Oct. 2 game against Alabama, re-injured the shoulder during the first half of this past weekend’s win over Arkansas; Pinkins will undergo an MRI and will await test results to determine his playing status for this Saturday’s contest at Florida

Tennessee
True freshman starting QB Erik Ainge suffered a separated right shoulder on the final play of the first half during the Vols’ loss to Notre Dame this past Saturday; Ainge is expected to be out anywhere from two-to-four weeks, but season-ending surgery could also be a possibility. In the meantime, the starting QB duties are expected to go to junior Rick Clausen

 

[Joe De]

MC, sorry about last week not posting on Monday laugher pick... got in a hurry ....just as well maybe saved some people money...drop 2 in row...not good..

be careful with Vandy..Cutler is injured and if he plays.. won't be 100%...i like Kentucky here with the cutler scenario...they have a bigger front offensive line and may have al l day to throw ...


This week so far I like Northern Illini, and looking at Alabama, Ohio State and Mississippi
I think Auburn will waste Georgia. I've bet it twice today 4' and 5 locally

Revenge factor but a better team here...watched Georgia Saturday against Kentucky 1st quarter and they look like shit...if they falter early it'll be all over in the 1st quarter. Kentucky literally gave up in beginning 2nd quarter. Naturally georgia took the advantage and runup the score.

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

MC,

NW's been playing solid D of late. They got a bad wrap early from the nationally televised game w/ TCU, but since Howard came back, they've played well. They've only had two games go over all year.

Carr won't rely on Henne to get the win and will try and establish the run. The only way that they'll feature pass is if they get down. UofM has the strong corners to take away NW passing game and I think they'll try to establish the ground game, too. Michigan has the better athletes, but the lines are a toss up.

All that said, I haven't seen a total on the game, and if I was any good at predicting totals, I'd bet them. . . and I don't.

GL

 

[Master Capper]

Joe De,

Any of these teams fall into the Dont Laugh Play?

BBC,

Will have to look closer into the game, thanks for the info.

 

[Master Capper]

INJURIES OF NOTE - Kansas was already playing without starting QB Adam Barmann but then backup Jason Swanson was inj’d in the 1Q and did not return. That brought in walk-on John Nielsen. KU still had a 342-263 yd edge with CU scoring on a 41 yd fmbl return for a TD and a 48 yd PR for a TD. KU was also int’d in the EZ late in their 30-21 loss. Nielsen hit 21 of 31 for 183 yds...

W Virginia RB Jason Colson had a streak of 3 straight 100 yd games snapped when he inj’d his ankle vs Temple and did not play the 2H. Kay Jay Harris, who began the year as starter, took over with 68 yds rushing. Starting WR, Chris Henry, who was susp’d for the 1H, returned in the 2H and hauled in a 40 yd TD reception and this time after the TD, simply flipped the ball to the ref and was not flagged....

Texas A&M QB Reggie McNeal was inj’d in the 3Q after throwing for 213 yds and 2 TD’s while also running for a score. A&M had a 489-433 yd edge and backup Branyon hit 7 of 12 for 72 yds. The Aggies scored TD’s on a fake punt and a fake FG and had their Hail Mary pass come up short at the end of the game...

Stanford QB Trent Edwards went down with an injured left shoulder on the first play of the 2H. TC Ostrander came in and hit 8 of 15 for 161 and almost guided the upset. Arizona St led 26‑14 but Ostrander guided the team to 17 straight pts and the lead including a 67 yd TD pass with 2:02 left in the game. Andrew Walter would guide ASU 80 yds in 13 plays for a TD with :09 left as ASU escaped with the win. ASU had a 373-98 yd edge in the 1H but only a 3 pt lead as they missed a 41 yd FG, SU got 2 blk’d punts setting up 9 & 18 yd TD’s and ASU fmbl’d at the 2 and missed a 41 yd FG...

Vanderbilt jumped out to a quick 10-0 lead vs Florida but then lost starting QB Jay Cutler at the end of the first drive as he sprained his right ankle. Backup Steven Bright hit 12 of 23 for 118 yds throwing just 3 passes with 1 completion in the 1H...Wisconsin DE Erasmus James returned from his high ankle sprain but played on passing downs only. He did deflect a pass on his first snap and forced a hurry on his 3rd and Wisconsin buried Minny 38-14 with a 515-331 yd edge and most of UM’s yds came late. In the 1Q UW had a 205-31 yd edge...

Purdue QB Kyle Orton, who was once the Heisman Trophy frontrunner, did not play vs Iowa. Backup Brandon Kirsch hit 25 of 43 for 280 yds. PU had a 357-321 yd edge but trailed 17-0 early thanks to a muffed punt and a TO which set up Iowa for scores...

Tennessee was already without its 2nd string QB Schaeffer due to injury for the rest of the season. Erik Ainge then separated his right shoulder on the final play of the 1H when the Vols surprisingly went to the shotgun in their own terr in the final seconds. Rick Clausen, the younger brother of Casey, was being sk’d and threw an int which was ret’d for a TD. At the time of Ainge’s injury, UT only had a 10-9 FD edge and ND led most of the 1H with a 7-3 lead before allowing a 56 yd TD pass on a screen with 2:37 left in the half. The Irish went conservative on offense in the 2H not wanting to make a mistake and got the outright win...

Georgia Tech RB PJ Daniels missed the NCSt game with injury and his backup, Chris Woods, went out with a hamstring injury in the 1Q. Rashaun Grant (PS#15) rushed for 122 yds on 20 carries. NCSt missed 3 FG’s including one from 52 yds out with 3:00 left which would have tied it and had a 57 yd int return for a TD wiped out by a holding penalty. The Yellow Jackets won 24-14 thanks to a 49 yd int return for a TD with 1:22 left and were outgained 306-269.

 

[Master Capper]

FRONTDOOR AND BACKDOOR COVERS - Houston did not get ahead of the spread vs E Carolina until they got a 98 yd drive for a TD with 9:32 left to lead 34-17. EC was SOD at their own 46 and int’d at their own 29 but UH was SOD at the EC 30. EC got a 58 yd TD pass with 2:58 left for the backdoor cover...Texas Tech did not get ahead of the spread vs Baylor until a TD with 4:45 left capped a 92 yd drive, 42-10. BU then went 79 yds in 9 plays for a TD with 1:22 left for the backdoor cover...

For the 2nd straight week Troy got a fortunate cover. They had just a 14-9 FD edge vs Florida Atlantic. They got a 42 yd Hail Mary TD pass on 4th & 10 with :38 left in the 1H. They still were not ahead of the spread until they got a 64 yd PR for a TD with 9:55 left. FAU then had an int at the Troy 41 and on their final drive had a 1st & goal at the Troy 8 but was int’d at the 2 with :46 left and Troy held on for the cover...

Utah jumped out to a 56-10 lead after 3Q’s against Colorado St but rested starting QB Alex Smith for most of the 2H. Backup Johnson threw just 3 passes. CSU actually rallied for 3 straight TD’s in the 4Q to apparently get the backdoor cover with 7:15 left on a 48 yd TD run by Hanie. Utah, however, got a 9 yd TD pass with 5:07 left for the frontdoor cover.


SAY WHAT? - UNLV lost to Wyoming this past week but there was some very questionable ref calls. Amazingly in the game, UNLV was flagged TWENTY-TWO times for 167 yds while Wyoming was flagged just 4 times. It seemed most of UNLV’s penalties came at inopportune times, mostly wiping out big gains or keeping WY drives alive with 3rd down flags. Hmmm. They say holding can be called on every play and on one play, WY’s OL ripped the jersey off the shoulder pad of the DL 3 feet from the QB but it was not called. Hmmm. Meanwhile, as mentioned, many crucial holding calls were called against UNLV wiping out big gains. Turnovers also hurt the Rebels as at the end of regulation UNLV had a 375-248 yd edge but lost the game in 3 OT’s.