Adding:
TEXAS A&M -4.5 (1 UNIT)
IOWA ST +13 (1 UNIT)
LSU -3 (-120) (1 UNIT)
Will have the rest by late Friday.
On this UAB game:
First of all thanks to all that added their opinions on this game.
I've kinda been sitting back watching this line drop and I'm just totally confused on why it's dropping in my favor. Was very surprised to see it drop to 9 yesterday, but dropping to 8 today at many shops just has me scratching my head :shrug: I tend to follow these lower profile teams pretty deeply and like to believe I have a pretty good ?read? on them and have learned to trust myself way more so than the odd line movement on this game.
Noticed a couple of comments about how UAB has struggles on the road?? Well that?s true to a degree, but then again you have to look at who those road teams were. This season they are 0-3 as they got smoked by Florida on the road in the first game of the season and it is true they got shut out by LA Lafayette. But in that Lafayette game, the team just came off playing a very good Pittsburgh team very tough the prior week and the players admittedly said after the game that they did not take the game serious at all and were about as down on themselves as you could get. The players were also heard saying they will take every game as a meaningful one from now on. Also there other loss on the road was last week vs Tulane, but remember they were in that game for almost the better of 3 quarters and had a punt return and a key interception that set up another score that did them in. Remember Tulane led the nation in 26 takeaways prior to that UAB game.
As for the comment that Watson Brown does not have a good record on the road?? Well that may be true, but it?s true for a lot of schools. A better indication I feel is the ATS record. UAB was 4-2 against the spread on the road in 2001, UAB was 4-1 against the spread on the road in 2000 and was 4-1-1 against the spread on the road in 1999. I feel that?s a lot better indicator of how a team is under or over achieving than actual record. Of course I do realize this season they are 0-3 vs the spread
Anyways, I?m totally convinced 100% that Army is the worst team in division 1A football. Army is a team that I did bet last week and they did cover for me, but after listening to that game and also reading tons of responses from fans and others that viewed the game, I feel that in that last game Army played the best possible game this team could possibly play. Now with this being said, they still lost by 14 and only turned the ball over 1 time which is amazing in itself considering Army was averaging an amazing 3 turnovers a game going into that last game. This was also against a Houston team that was having serious problems themselves and also against a Houston team that has only won 6 games in the last 3 years.
I think a lot of gamblers or sportsbettors feel like Army actually got a boost of confidence in that last game, but trust me that?s not true! The Army players were about as ?high up? as a team could get last week as they were looking at this Houston team as a chance to get their first win of the season. Well it didn?t happen and even though their offense put up some points, it was against a very weak Houston defense and speaking of defense, Army couldn?t stop them at all?.it was like NFL against High School! Personally, I think the Army team after the loss last week, is a team that just wants the season to end?.they realize they?re outclassed by everyone and expect them to allow points to be scored quickly on them and the offense to put up some points vs a less than average UAB defense, but also expect Army to make a few more mistakes than they did last week as well.
Taking a look at the Army defense, they have now given up 307 points in 7 games! This comes out to 44 points per game that their defense is allowing and you also gotta remember these are games vs very poor opponents. Heck they even got shut out 44-0 by Rutgers and lost to division AA school Holy Cross by 9 which was the closest game Army has played all season. Overall they are losing by an average margin of 25 points! Now the spread in this one is down to 8 ???
I feel the Army players might have thrown it in after last week, while if any team is showing improvement, you might say it?s UAB. Remember this UAB team was 5th overall in the nation in defense last year, and that has a lot to be contributed by the coaching staff, so even though they lost a lot of starters from a year ago, you can expect to see some continuous improvement.
Offensively, this should be a pretty high scoring game, but there is no way Army will hang with UAB. UAB will draw off in this one. Last season, UAB put up 55 points vs Army in rout to a 55-3 win and with most the offense back from a year ago, I don?t see anything less than a scoring machine by UAB in this one.
Also getting back to the mental state of both teams, the Army coaching staff have publicly stated their lack of confidence in the players which does not fair well for a team that lacks confidence, while the fans have publicly made their opinions felt as well on how bad this coaching staff is.
Just feel, you?ll see an easy win and a ton of points by UAB in this one. I could go on and on in this game, but bottom line, UAB gets the cover in this one.
Good luck!
-ndnfan
