NCAA Week Nine

BobbyBlueChip

BobbyBlueChip

Trustee
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
20,659
256
83
52
Belly of the Beast
Season Record 33-33 -14.00 units
Favorites 12-10 +1.50
Dogs 21-17 +1.20
Totals 0-2 -4.40
ML 0-1 -1.00
Halftimes 0-3 -11.00
Parlays 0-3 -0.30

GaTech for 3 units (like it at +2;waiting for 3)

Stats look to be pretty equal and GaTech has had to play a higher class of a schedule. Like I stated in djv's thread, Maryland's win over the Mountaineers was just a game that got out of control. Don't want to back a Maryland squad off of their best game of the season and don't want to fade the Jackets off of their worst game. 68% of wagerline on Maryland and line has moved only a half a point?
 
BobbyBlueChip

BobbyBlueChip

Trustee
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
20,659
256
83
52
Belly of the Beast
Notre Dame +3 7 units

-AFA?s cutblocking schemes are designed to take out the Dline. Notre Dame?s scheme involves the Dline taking out blockers to free up both their Mike backers, so Notre Dame?s Dline will achieve their goals without doing anything. ND?s defensive backfield has been huge on run support all year and speedy, physical corners are the primary position to try and stop an option.

-Chance has speed and can run over people, but he won?t be able to run over the ND corners and he isn?t that elusive to get by ND tacklers.

-Notre Dame?s offense looked strong in Holiday?s games against Michigan and Michigan State before he went down. Offenses usually struggle for the first few games in any system. Things begin to turn around towards the end of the first season.

-AFA?s 3-3-5 defense is perfect against passing teams as it conceals where blitz pressure is coming from and provides and extra defender against the pass. Perfect for defending passing teams, but it was susceptible to the run in their games against California and Utah, the two best teams that the Falcons have played.

-AFA 13-18-1 as a Home Fav (why wouldn?t this be higher with the ?altitude factor?)

Michigan -3.5 5 units

-Michigan only glaring weakness is their pass defense, but Tiller isn?t sure who his quarterback is.

-Purdue?s rush defense is looking horrid in its? last two starts. (37 rushes for 224 yards for Illinois; 37 rushes for 158 yards for Iowa). Navarre has shown the ability to beat defenses who bring a defensive back to help support the run.

-Michigan awful in the Away Favorite role (9-18-1), but they are usually giving up a lot more points than this.

Clemson -8.5 4 units

-Clemson will be the best defense that the Deacons have played all year. Tigers giving up just 3.1 yards/rush with a schedule that includes FlaState and Georgia.

-Tigers have outgained everyone that they have played this year.

-Spread manageable due to Clemson struggling against UVa last week, but Clemson was in an obvious let-down role.

-Deacons managed only 224 yards and 12 first downs against Duke and were run over by the Blue Devils on defense.

Central Michigan +9.5 3 units

Was impressed with their performance against BG

Rutgers +41 2 units

40+ point dog
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Bet on MyBookie
Top