Season Record 26-24 +1.80 units
Favorites 10-7 +8.50
Dogs 16-14 -1.00
Totals 0-2 -4.40
ML 0-1 -1.00
Parlays 0-3 -0.30
Florida State -15 4 units
Florida State -8.5 (1st half) 4 units
This was the game that was supposed to determine if Louisville actually belonged in BCS discussion. But a loss to Kentucky at Papa John's and away at Colorado State have shot down hopes of that. Louisville has blamed their slow start on the lookahead to this game and they consider this to be their Super Bowl. And with every loss, Ragone will tell any reporter that will listen that their offense is experiencing growing pains due to the offensive line needing to find it's cohesiveness and the receivers need to gain experience in the offense. At some point in the game against Florida State, they will get shellshocked by Florida State and they will need a leader to settle everybody down. But instead of a leader, they've got a finger pointer.
Florida State should get ahead early as they've done all season. they have outscored their opponents 27.0 to 4.2 in the first half against Iowa State, Duke, Virginia and Maryland. Compare that to Louisville's average halftime score of 19.5 to 9.7 in games with Kentucky, Army, Colorado State and Duke; 10.5 to 18.0 in games that they have lost.
While Louisville's passing offense has been their strength and one would think that they may have some success against Florida State due to their pass defense stats. However, those stats are a bit skewed due to the Noles always protecting a big lead and they usually can rely on a speed advantage against normal competion, but not against FSU.
While the back door does scare me, with a wet field at Papa John's, the Seminoles should rely on fullback Greg Jones even more. He will lean on the Cardinal defense all game and break out in the 4th quarter. Ball control should force some long drives and keep the Cardinal offense off of the field.
Favorites 10-7 +8.50
Dogs 16-14 -1.00
Totals 0-2 -4.40
ML 0-1 -1.00
Parlays 0-3 -0.30
Florida State -15 4 units
Florida State -8.5 (1st half) 4 units
This was the game that was supposed to determine if Louisville actually belonged in BCS discussion. But a loss to Kentucky at Papa John's and away at Colorado State have shot down hopes of that. Louisville has blamed their slow start on the lookahead to this game and they consider this to be their Super Bowl. And with every loss, Ragone will tell any reporter that will listen that their offense is experiencing growing pains due to the offensive line needing to find it's cohesiveness and the receivers need to gain experience in the offense. At some point in the game against Florida State, they will get shellshocked by Florida State and they will need a leader to settle everybody down. But instead of a leader, they've got a finger pointer.
Florida State should get ahead early as they've done all season. they have outscored their opponents 27.0 to 4.2 in the first half against Iowa State, Duke, Virginia and Maryland. Compare that to Louisville's average halftime score of 19.5 to 9.7 in games with Kentucky, Army, Colorado State and Duke; 10.5 to 18.0 in games that they have lost.
While Louisville's passing offense has been their strength and one would think that they may have some success against Florida State due to their pass defense stats. However, those stats are a bit skewed due to the Noles always protecting a big lead and they usually can rely on a speed advantage against normal competion, but not against FSU.
While the back door does scare me, with a wet field at Papa John's, the Seminoles should rely on fullback Greg Jones even more. He will lean on the Cardinal defense all game and break out in the 4th quarter. Ball control should force some long drives and keep the Cardinal offense off of the field.
