NCU's NFL Plays

[Never Caught Up]

YTD +9795
Sides 6-1-1 +2350
Totals 2-0 +2000
Parlays 8-6 +3020
Teasers 9-3-1 +3560
Hedges 0-3 -935


I played these Friday night in order to get straight bets juice free.

MIN +2.5 500/500
MIA +6.0 500/500
NOR +3.0 500/500
BUF +3.0 500/500
CIN +6.5 500/500

MIN 500/625
MIA 500/1050
NOR 500/700
BUF 500/750
CIN 500/1100

MIN +9.5/SFO +10.5 600/500
MIA +13.0/SFO +10.5 600/500
NOR +10/SFO +10.5 600/500
BUF +10/SFO +10.5 600/500
CIN +13.5/SFO +10.5 600/500

 

[Never Caught Up]

This is what the results would be for betting every regular season situation so far for 100. Pushes are discarded. I use ACES GOLD contest lines for sides and closing lines at sportbet.com for totals.

Ex: Home teams are 15-12 ATS and if you had played them all you would be up +180.

A 12-15 44% -450
H 15-12 56% +180

D 07-20 26% -1500
F 20-07 74% +1230

O 10-19 34% -1090
U 19-10 66% +800

My experience has been that when the positive number gets over +1000 or the negative number gets below -1500 a correction soon follows.

With that in mind I have chosen to focus on puppies this weekend in the NFL.

 

[yearofthesnake]

as one capper to another I can't argue with any of your sides..

I want to talked into picking Minn. TB just burns money. But I no like what I see with them, and I dislike d. green

Nor is a very good road team, and the giants offense is questionable. I still queston Brooks at the helm.

Mia catching quite a bit of points. I don't like them on the road in STl home opener though, unless Mia can play an awesome D...Even so, I don't think they will win.

Buff, I don't know what to think. They're at home. I do know if they lose they will be an even harder play in upcoming weeks....

Cincy is just getting to many here. Travel is the only bad thing.

your toss ups are home dogs which you hope come around, to be honest, if I had to pick those two games I would choose the same. I just see better games to pick instead

 

[pepin46]

ncu

no argument here either. minny is a special situation, where they hold the upper hand as far as game plan, 'cause tb doesn't know where they are coming from offensively.

as far as no juice fridays: i have a feeling i got juiced, or they had a mistake the last time. last week i played a 5 parlay which would have paid (tsk, tsk) 31 to 1, on odds of 32 to 1, which i thought was excellent.

this friday, i made a 4 parlay with payout of 13.57 to 1 on actual odds of 16 to 1, and a 6 parlay to pay 54.66 times vs. odds of 64 to 1.

am i missing something here?


pep

p.s. teasers on thurs or friday made no difference in the payoffs.

[This message has been edited by pepin46 (edited 09-29-2001).]

 

[Never Caught Up]

I have to pay juice (even on Friday) on everything except straight bet. That is why the 7 point teasers I turned in were at 6/5.
Even on the straight bets it makes a big difference.

Good luck to all.

 

[Never Caught Up]

CIN +12.5/JAC -2.5 1100/1000

 

[Never Caught Up]

GB +3.5/DEN OV 34 1200/1000

 

[Never Caught Up]

DEN OV 34/SFO +10.5 600/500

 

[Never Caught Up]

NYG UN 41/STL PK 500/500

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

My experience has been that when the positive number gets over +1000 or the negative number gets below -1500 a correction soon follows.

interesting, let's see what happens..

 

[Never Caught Up]

Recap: (UGLY!)

Sides (spread) 1-4 -1500
MIN +2.5 500/500 W +500
MIA +6.0 500/500 L -500
NOR +3.0 500/500 L -500
BUF +3.0 500/500 L -500
CIN +6.5 500/500 L -500

Sides (moneyline) 1-4 -1375
MIN 500/625 W +625
MIA 500/1050 L -500
NOR 500/700 L-500
BUF 500/750 L -500
CIN 500/1100 L -500

Teasers 1-5 -3600
MIA +13.0/SFO +10.5 600/500 Lost -600

BUF +10/SFO +10.5 600/500 Lost -600
CIN +13.5/SFO +10.5 600/500 L -600
CIN +12.5/JAC -2.5 1100/1000 L -1100
GB +3.5/DEN OV 34 1200/1000 L -1200
NYG UN 41/STL PK 500/500 W +500

Sunday -6475
New YTD +3520
Sides (spread) 7-5-1 +850
Sides (moneyline) 1-4 -1375
Totals 2-0 +2000
Parlays 8-6 +3020
Teasers 10-8-1 -40
Hedges 0-3 -935

Pending Monday Night Game:

MIN +9.5/SFO +10.5 600/500
NOR +10/SFO +10.5 600/500