Nedbank Golf Challenge

[Stanley]

Round 3 plays (6pts unless stated):

Luke Donald to beat Martin Kaymer +100 @ 5Dimes
I'll take this price on Donald given his recent upturn in form: he finished 4th in the DP World Tour Championship and then won the Dunlop Phoenix Tournament in Japan. Kaymer's last top-5 finish was back in June and even though he is the defending champion, he doesn't warrant favouritism on recent form.

Louis Oosthuizen to beat Branden Grace -140 @ 5Dimes [4pts]
Neither has been in particularly good form recently and that has continued to this week - no-one hit less fairways and only one player hit less greens in regulation than Grace today as he slipped to 20th (of 30) - but Oosthuizen is playing better - he ranked 4th in greens in regulation today. He is already head of Grace on the leaderboard and I expect him to stay there for the rest of the week.

 

[Stanley]

Round 4 plays (6pts unless stated):

Luke Donald to beat Martin Kaymer +100 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Bet365 and Stan James]
Very disappointing to only earn a push on this matchup today as Donald took a triple-bogey seven on the penultimate hole. But, in truth, he wasn't at his best today and still should have won, so I'll back him to play better tomorrow and so beat his German opponent.

Francesco Molinari to beat Branden Grace -135 @ 5Dimes [4pts]
With a perfect 9-0-0 h2h record against Grace in his last nine common events, I see no reason why Grace should stop this trend tomorrow when his opponent is playing so much better.

[unofficial rd4 system play: Molinari tb Fernandez-Castano -111]