Need All Your Expert Help...looking To Go Huge On Louisville What Do You Guys Think??

[ohiotonyp]

LOOKING TO GO HUGE ON THE CARDS @ -8.5....WHAT DO YOU GUYS THINK........

 

[GENO]

I think you should have bet it hours ago at -7. I was looking at the home dog then and now with Eric on Lou and the line mover I will set on the sidelines and keep my money in my pocket if I don't take the home puppy.

 

[gman2]

would be remiss if i didnt ask WHY you like louisville so much:

*when these teams meet, the games always go down to the wire
*tennessee a great FT shooting team
*vols 1-pt away from being undefeated at home
*louisville laying substantial amt of non-conf road chalk

im open to opinions from anyone as to why louisville is worth 8 pts of non-conf road chalk

i KNOW theyre damn good. line says as much. but still think its an awful lot of points to lay

 

[USC Gamecock]

Let me begin by stating clearly that I am no expert, but I just don't see the value of going "huge" on a road fav (even if the fav is the Lou) against a good home team like UT. I do think they win, but a SU loss is not out of the picture.

GL with your play

 

[DJTranks]

I think if you are going to bet a game HUGE you shouldnt have to ask anyone.. I mean cmon, if you go big on a game you have capped it and go big for a reason..

 

[ohiotonyp]

2 MAIN REASONS

1. DEFENSE OF THE CARDS
2. DEPTH OF THE CARDS

COMMON OPP. U of L BEAT UK @UK BY 10 AND TENN LOST AT HOME TO UK......PLUS ITS HARD TO BET AGAINST PITINO WHO ALWAYS HAS HIS TEAMS UP AND THE LAST REASON....


***Francisco Garcia***

but this is why i am asking for some help...thanks gman

 

[USC Gamecock]

Be careful with the common opponent theory, it can be very misleading at times.

GL with your play

 

[ohiotonyp]

2 MAIN REASONS

1. DEFENSE OF THE CARDS
2. DEPTH OF THE CARDS

COMMON OPP. U of L BEAT UK @UK BY 10 AND TENN LOST AT HOME TO UK......PLUS ITS HARD TO BET AGAINST PITINO WHO ALWAYS HAS HIS TEAMS UP AND THE LAST REASON....


***Francisco Garcia***

but this is why i am asking for some help...thanks gman

plus you cant overlook the florida common opponent

and DJT i understand that.......but just looking for opinions.....thanks

 

[3 Seconds]

:nono:

 

[Craiger]

lot of chalk

lot of chalk

Outside of a blowout road win at S Fla. they only played one road game at E. Carolina since not covering the 15 pt. chalk with a 10 point win. Add the highest score of the year last game hosting Cincy and scoring 93, how can Louisville not be overconfident heading into Tenn.. Hell last year Louisville came in to Tenn. as 5 point chalk and won by 3. I love the 8 sticks in this matchup, and putting a unit on Tennessee.

 

[ohiotonyp]

i am taking the advice.....i have lowered the play by half.....i still believe in the play whole hearted but i am going to listen to the people who have alot more experiece.....and the line change has me a bit worried but see the cards wining by 12-15........thanks for the advice.....


LOUISVILLE -8.5

 

[lowell]

bet tn early and now with line change wish i had the other side.took the over.guess we will learn something about strength of each conference.louisville may start slowly still ful of themselves after big win over cincy.

 

[DJTranks]

GL on the play!

 

[Evilhomer]

Pinnacle -7

 

[NY Reb]

Nice response, DJTranks.

 

[ohiotonyp]

actually got it 7.5 at my local....someone must have pounded that line somewhere......but not looking good right now.....we shall see.....

lets go cards.....