need opinions guys!!

[greggraffin]

As long as utah st money line hold, I stand to win 3k IF richmond stays within 3. They are down 4 at half.
The halftime line is xavier -0.5 2nd half..
I have about 400 left in the account ..
What would you guys do??


here is my current pending bet at SIA

Mar 13, 2010 Less Combination

* 1 New Mexico St v Utah St (Moneyline) Utah St -525 Open
* 2 Illinois v Ohio St (Moneyline) Ohio St -380 Open
* 3 Miami Fla v Duke (Over/Under) Over + 131.5 -110 Win
* 4 Richmond v Xavier Richmond + 3.0 -110 Open
* 5 Tennessee v Kentucky (Over/Under) Under + 140.0 -110 Win

273.30

Bet Type:
Combination
Bet Price:
+946
Valid Selections:
5
Bet Amount:
273.30
Number of Wins:
3
Bet Payout:
2,859.55
Time Placed:
March 13, 2010 12:09 PM

 

[thadchr]

If you can bet the 2H ML, definitely play that before you take Xavier minus the half. That way, it's impossible for you to lose both bets, which would tragic. Assuming this amount of money is of quite a bit of value to you... with just 400 left in your account and 3000 already on the line, I would definitely advise you to go ahead and and put it all on Xavier, say, -130 for the second half, or at worst, just take Xavier at '1/2 for -110. You're going to be heartbroken if Richmond loses by 4 or more and you miss out on 3000... in that case, at least you saved 400 by hedging. You aren't going to punch yourself too hard if Richmond covers and you only win ~2400 instead of 3000. Think of that money as half yours... the hedge is definitely the play IMO.

Good luck!:toast: :toast: :toast:

 

[greggraffin]

alrite thad, this book doesnt have a money line 2nd half

but im putting the 400 on xavier 2nd half minus 0.5

if xavier ends up winning by exactly 4, some stripper in vegas is going to be out a lot of money(friends bachelor party coming up), hehe

PLEASE NO 4 POINT XAVIER WIN!!

 

[thadchr]

All that said, I didn't see any of the first half at all, so my advice is based entirely on money management and none whatsoever on in-game capping. Thought I still like my advice! :SIB kurby kurby

 

[Wilson]

Let it roll.


If you get middled on that X-Men bet---you'll hate yourself

 

[thadchr]

I'll be cheering for you man. The 4-point loss would be tough. I've had a couple of those before... even went on a crazy rant in Box's thread once. :tongue (Sorry for that Box!)

I think you made the wise choice. Of course, ultimately I hope you regret the hedge in a sense, since that would mean you win the 2400. :SIB

 

[greggraffin]

wilson, i will hate myself if it wins by 4 exactly, but what the hell, if they win by 4 exactly, i am extremely unucky

thanks for the wishes guys!, lets focking go richmond!!!!!

 

[thadchr]

Hope this doesn't go OT on you...:scared

 

[greggraffin]

YES YES YES!! :00hour
happiest 400 i ever lost!

i know its early , but im hoping that by counting utah state as a win already doesnt kill me

i might depoist 100 and put it on the nm st money line

 

[thadchr]

I probably would. Nothing is certain in these conference tourneys. Just look at Purdue right now...:scared

 

[Old School]

 

[greggraffin]

its just making up for all the times luck has stuck has a tetanus laden rusty screw driver up my ass