Last year I cam across some information, so I am not taking credit for this.
Ok, here is what I have and the way I understand it. I will do the first 2 games just to make sure I am doing it correctly and I also think we will be having a new up dated Saragin list coming out soon.
The current Saragin list that I have is dated Dec. 5 2009 and it will change slightly. This list shows the following: Alabama #1, Florida #2, Texas #3, TCU #4, Oregon #5. As far as I know Texas is now #2 because they beat Nebraska and Alabama beat Florida.
To recap the instructions as I know them.
Of the top 60 Saragin rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose SOS is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs.
The first bowl game is the New Mexico Bowl, Sat, Dec. 19 - we have WYOM vs FRSST.
WYOM is not ranked in the top 60 Saragin list, WYOM is ranked # 99. FRSST is ranked in the top 60 Saragin list, FRSST is ranked # 53.
The SOS for WYOM is 69.62 - the SOS for FRSST is 68.12.
So the play here would be to take the higher SOS team which is WYOM +10.5 pts.
Next game, St. Petersburg Bowl, Sat, Dec. 19 - we have CENFL vs RUTG.
CENFL is ranked 61 on the current list, again not in the top 60. RUTG is ranked # 52 on the current list.
The SOS for CENFL is 66.69 - the SOS for RUTG is 64.23.
So the play here would be to take the higher SOS team which is CENFL +2.5 pts.
I will do one more game where both are in the top 60.
Tuesday, Dec. 22, we have BYU vs OREST
BYU is ranked #29 in the current Saragin top 60 list - OREST is ranked #15.
BYU has an SOS of 68.04 - OREST has an SOS of 74.59.
So the play here would be on OREST -2.5 pts. Using the current top 60 Saragin rated list both teams are ranked. Both teams have an SOS that is hihger than 60, however we play on the team who has the higher SOS which is OREST.
Let me know what you guys think, right or wrong. I really don't know if I am doing this correctly, I may be looking at the Saragin list wrong and using the wrong columns.
Ok, here is what I have and the way I understand it. I will do the first 2 games just to make sure I am doing it correctly and I also think we will be having a new up dated Saragin list coming out soon.
The current Saragin list that I have is dated Dec. 5 2009 and it will change slightly. This list shows the following: Alabama #1, Florida #2, Texas #3, TCU #4, Oregon #5. As far as I know Texas is now #2 because they beat Nebraska and Alabama beat Florida.
To recap the instructions as I know them.
Of the top 60 Saragin rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose SOS is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs.
The first bowl game is the New Mexico Bowl, Sat, Dec. 19 - we have WYOM vs FRSST.
WYOM is not ranked in the top 60 Saragin list, WYOM is ranked # 99. FRSST is ranked in the top 60 Saragin list, FRSST is ranked # 53.
The SOS for WYOM is 69.62 - the SOS for FRSST is 68.12.
So the play here would be to take the higher SOS team which is WYOM +10.5 pts.
Next game, St. Petersburg Bowl, Sat, Dec. 19 - we have CENFL vs RUTG.
CENFL is ranked 61 on the current list, again not in the top 60. RUTG is ranked # 52 on the current list.
The SOS for CENFL is 66.69 - the SOS for RUTG is 64.23.
So the play here would be to take the higher SOS team which is CENFL +2.5 pts.
I will do one more game where both are in the top 60.
Tuesday, Dec. 22, we have BYU vs OREST
BYU is ranked #29 in the current Saragin top 60 list - OREST is ranked #15.
BYU has an SOS of 68.04 - OREST has an SOS of 74.59.
So the play here would be on OREST -2.5 pts. Using the current top 60 Saragin rated list both teams are ranked. Both teams have an SOS that is hihger than 60, however we play on the team who has the higher SOS which is OREST.
Let me know what you guys think, right or wrong. I really don't know if I am doing this correctly, I may be looking at the Saragin list wrong and using the wrong columns.
