Round 1 plays (2pts):
Peter Lawrie to beat Magnus A. Carlsson -105 @ Bet365
Carlsson has earned his Tour Card via a 6th place finish on the Challenge Tour Rankings and played well in the South African Open last month, but he is against a main Tour regular who finished inside the top-50 in the Race to Dubai and who has finished 4th and 14th in the last two European Tour events. That should amount to a notable difference in quality between these two players.
Lorenzo Gagli to beat Matthew Baldwin -110 @ 5Dimes
In their last ten comment events, Gagli has finished ahead of Baldwin eight times and over that ten-event period, Baldwin has shot the lower 1st round score just once. That's enough of a matchup dominance to back Gagli against a player who has also missed the cut in four of five previous starts in South Africa.
Peter Lawrie to beat Magnus A. Carlsson -105 @ Bet365
Carlsson has earned his Tour Card via a 6th place finish on the Challenge Tour Rankings and played well in the South African Open last month, but he is against a main Tour regular who finished inside the top-50 in the Race to Dubai and who has finished 4th and 14th in the last two European Tour events. That should amount to a notable difference in quality between these two players.
Lorenzo Gagli to beat Matthew Baldwin -110 @ 5Dimes
In their last ten comment events, Gagli has finished ahead of Baldwin eight times and over that ten-event period, Baldwin has shot the lower 1st round score just once. That's enough of a matchup dominance to back Gagli against a player who has also missed the cut in four of five previous starts in South Africa.
