New England at Buffalo week 7
- Thread starter pug
- Start date
Agree wholeheartedly here. The ppl here in NE are still talking about Randy Moss :shrug:
This is a bad spot for the Patriots, and this line scares me to death. When this came out, I figured NE would be a 9 pt RF. 5 is really bringing a public tilt on the chalk. Looks like the Dogs are back, as they were out in full force last week. I like this trend to continue.
GL.
This is a bad spot for the Patriots, and this line scares me to death. When this came out, I figured NE would be a 9 pt RF. 5 is really bringing a public tilt on the chalk. Looks like the Dogs are back, as they were out in full force last week. I like this trend to continue.
GL.
You may be under estimating Bellichek here guys.
I would think the BEST NFL coach the last 5 years
in conjunction with the BEST QB the last 5 years
would be ALL business after having a bye week.
Either no play or NE.I like NE to continue to
build on their recent form and win by 10-14
I would think the BEST NFL coach the last 5 years
in conjunction with the BEST QB the last 5 years
would be ALL business after having a bye week.
Either no play or NE.I like NE to continue to
build on their recent form and win by 10-14
I'm with you on Buffalo. 93% on the Pats at Sportsbook yet the line holds steady. If the book thinks Buffalo can hold that line, why shouldn't I?
Pug, Know it's my 1st. time sayin hi, but the one thing you said " N.E. barely pulled out a 2 pt. win " over Buff...
That being said, N.E. WILL BE VERY AWARE OF THAT!
I feel that I'd rather rely on Tom Brady & Bill Belechick than the Buff. side.
Buffalo lost by 3 last week vs. Det. however, if you look at the results, they should have lost around 34 to 13.
I'd take Belechick with 2 weeks to prepare over a division rival any day. Not tryin to be an ass, I want the best for us all. Hooks
That being said, N.E. WILL BE VERY AWARE OF THAT!
I feel that I'd rather rely on Tom Brady & Bill Belechick than the Buff. side.
Buffalo lost by 3 last week vs. Det. however, if you look at the results, they should have lost around 34 to 13.
I'd take Belechick with 2 weeks to prepare over a division rival any day. Not tryin to be an ass, I want the best for us all. Hooks
Pats 7-2 ATS past 9 off a bye
Bills 1-11 SU last 12 vs. Pats
Pats @ Minny then home vs. Indy on deck
1st meeting was 1st game of the season. Two teams heading in opposite directions right now. Like the coaching advantage here as Belichick will make all the adjustments necessary from 1st meeting. Pats ran all over Buff 1st meeting, will continue here with a sharper Brady. Bills won't know what hit em' and Pats defense should give "Lousyman" 10x more fits second time around.
Bills 1-11 SU last 12 vs. Pats
Pats @ Minny then home vs. Indy on deck
1st meeting was 1st game of the season. Two teams heading in opposite directions right now. Like the coaching advantage here as Belichick will make all the adjustments necessary from 1st meeting. Pats ran all over Buff 1st meeting, will continue here with a sharper Brady. Bills won't know what hit em' and Pats defense should give "Lousyman" 10x more fits second time around.
I think if you read most of these posts favoring the Patriots you will understand that the initial posters lean towards buffalo is a good one. The public seems to agree with what they are saying and the public is usually wrong. I love when people say things like" Ill take a well rested Bill Bellicheck team anyday. thats the same thing they were saying in the playoffs last year against the Broncos. They were wrong. Love the Bills at home here.
Posting contrarian arguments will get you nowhere. Follow my threads and/or posts for more clarification.
Emerson: I like the way you think. There are a few of us around here that aren't afraid to take the house's side when it just looks too good to be true. In this case, it's hard to take Buffalo but I feel it is the right play considering the line hasn't budged even though 91% of the bets are going New England's way. We look stupid when we're wrong, but it sure is funny how often these games hit.
Good luck.
Where are you getting/seeing 91%:shrug:
In reality it really doesn't come across as looking too good to be true. Pretty fair line when you dig into it. I do absolutely favor Belichick and the Pats coming off a bye in this situation just as I would any other team off a bye off a big win before the bye and entering the first of two road games with the first being one that they by most means should win.
NE/Buff has somewhat off a psychological factor in it also since the Pats are now 12-1 SU against the Bills. There are match-ups in the NFL where it is similar...a team just can't beat a certain team, and on the other end the winning team has the edge in the head game and enters with confidence. Not a huge factor, but it plays a good part especially when one team is and has been significantly dominant each season compared to the other.
I can agree to a certain small level that there may be some relevance to playing the Bills here, but too many factors favor NE whom is showing signs of geling at the right time on offense. While on the other hand Bills are sliding downward and "Lousyman" has no control. The heavily relied upon run game should struggle here putting mucho pressure on "Lousyman"
Kinda stacks up to last years meetings also. Bills went into NE and gave them a tough game 21-16. (Pats -9.5) Pats go to Bills and Destroy them 35-7 (Pats -4):scared Almost identical lines once again this year.
Pats had no problem rushing on the Bills in game one, see no difference here. Along with a more confident Brady and offense I think the Bills are in for the same result as last year when the Pats came into town.
Best of Luck.
Last edited:
1. Sportsbook. Most all of my percentages come fom there....and it's up to 92% now.
2. Is it? Lots of people appear to be digging into it and thinking NE is the play.
3. You are making my point for me. Everything says that NE is the play. I'm saying it might be worth a shot to go the other way because something stinks.
Bottom line: This game can go either way, but I think the book is offering value to those willing to go the other way.
Good luck either way.
Buffalo is a totally different team at home-I will give you that.That being said there was no sense of URGENCY last week to get it done vs A WEAK LIONS team.was a must win for bills to get a wild card berth
Jauron was former DC and Interim head coach of LIONS and did not have a game plan to exploit their personal. he shouldve known LIONS Def as well as anyone,
Lastly-Losman flat out smells.If he cant win in a dome with no wind then Rich stadium is not the answer for him
Line is correct -book and public just arent impressed with BILLS
Belicheck could out coach jauron in a COMA-IMHO
Jauron was former DC and Interim head coach of LIONS and did not have a game plan to exploit their personal. he shouldve known LIONS Def as well as anyone,
Lastly-Losman flat out smells.If he cant win in a dome with no wind then Rich stadium is not the answer for him
Line is correct -book and public just arent impressed with BILLS
Belicheck could out coach jauron in a COMA-IMHO
For the Future-Only way I can bet Bills is at home against an extremely weak defensive team.Losman isnt only issue in Buffalo, but he still stinks.Coaching is weak as well
