New Lines

[Romi]

Lines came out this afternoon. I took Antilon -160. That line then went to -185 and it's currently @-200. I took that as a value play as I thought the line would move. Tough fight for him w/pac but I like youth and an unbeaten streak. Antilon has shown to fight back from adversity. I think he will here.

I also took Mouhamad Ali @-115. How could I pass up a wager on the Greatest? Ok maybe not the greatest, but perhaps the latest. Made a few bucks on ali last yr. Simply a value play against the older Mock. The line already moved to -125. Graham has Ali as the dog but I think Ali will be the clear fav by fight time...speculation on my part.

I considered Huerta -325. Huerta looking good as of late despite the robbery loss v Diamond. Juaregui is getting a little long in the tooth but he is coming off a win. I would like to get the word on his last fight before placing that one.

 

[nj]

Good catch on Antillon, he's -211 at Pinnacle.

Ali is +102 at Pinnacle.

I see many lines different between the sportsbooks and Graham's, I'm going to do a bit of research into it and see if there's any value.

 

[nj]

Wow from looking at their records, Kotelnik/Rees going the distance looks like a lock. Only 1 book has it, at -361. Any thoughts on this? It looks like a great parlay partner.

My book has a 50$ max now, each of my bets moved the line. Im not going off much info here, just used minor info to make what looks like good bets, might buy these back after research.

Ali +102. No question about it.

Antillon/Pac over 9.5 -121

Bami over Barnes -141 (Graham has it -300), 50$. I have no idea about this, but his write-up was good. I might buy it back, Barnes +141 already.

Ill have more thoughts soon, still plenty of lines to research.

 

[nj]

hmm.... Rees/Kotelnik jumps out at me. I only see 2 wins for Rees against opponents with good records. Koletnik's record looks much more impressive. All wins against guys with good records, and a decision loss to Jr Witter.

The kicker is that Kotelnik has a loss and a draw to M'Baye, while Rees has a win over M'Baye.

Aside from that, Rees looks outclassed on boxrec. Im thinking about playing Kotelnik -150. Thoughts?

 

[nj]

Added a few small plays based on boxrec. These are 50$ each.

Kotelnik -151
Luevano/Jandaeng over 9.5 -252
Nagashima/Jaca over 9.5 -200

Nakamori/Ishii over 9.5 -250 looks good, but I ran out at the book.

I remember Jaca putting up a good fight vs Marquez, but Marquez was unusually bold that night, his opponent looks to be a superior and cautious distance boxer, fighting in his home country, so its no play.

No dogs caught my eye.

 

[nj]

based on the line movement, pac/antillon over looks horrific. yuck. boxrec tells a different story, like in the berto/trambant fight. worst bet of the year by far.

the rest moved in my favour or not at all, not sure which ill keep.