Surprised to see so many price this one up - the main mistake WAS 50/1 Brendan Jones from both Coral and UK Betting - ain this quality of field a player who was 2nd twice and won on the japanese tour towards the end of last year was way too big.
New Zealand Open
- Thread starter Ian
- Start date
I agree, but will pass at 33/1 
Outright plays (0.75 units):
Michael Campbell to win 5/1 @ Coral
Quite a gulf in class between Campbell and the rest of the field and this has can be seen by his previous performances in his home Open. In the last three years he has finished 1st, 2nd and 2nd. This also a rather weak field, even for the New Zealand Open. Last year appearance of Tiger Woods (he finished 6th) was an exception, but it was won by Craig Parry and Australia's best usually compete this week. Cambo has decided to concentrate on the PGA Tour this season and provided he doesn't take this event too lightly - hard to see as it is his home Open - this should be a useful workout before heading to the States.
David Smail to win 14/1 e.w. @ UKBetting
Smail held off Campbell two years to lift the title as a 100/1 selection at the time He has since shown his pedigree by winning the week later as well (plus finishing 2nd a further week on) and on the Japan Tour where he picked up two titles in the last two months of 2002 to finish 5th on the Money List. Any semblance of that form should reap a top-5 finish and he may again catch Campbell off his guard.
Andre Stolz to win 66/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Large price for a player who was a winner on the Australasian Tour last year. It may have only been the Victorian Open which did not attract the players of previous years (a change in schedule from January to October), but he followed that with 6th in the Queensland Open, 2nd in the New South Wales Open and 16th in the Australian PGA Championship. No great form in this event at Paraparaumu Beach, but this is a weak field and the winner of the 2000 Tour Championship is very capable of a high finish here.
Outright plays (0.75 units):
Michael Campbell to win 5/1 @ Coral
Quite a gulf in class between Campbell and the rest of the field and this has can be seen by his previous performances in his home Open. In the last three years he has finished 1st, 2nd and 2nd. This also a rather weak field, even for the New Zealand Open. Last year appearance of Tiger Woods (he finished 6th) was an exception, but it was won by Craig Parry and Australia's best usually compete this week. Cambo has decided to concentrate on the PGA Tour this season and provided he doesn't take this event too lightly - hard to see as it is his home Open - this should be a useful workout before heading to the States.
David Smail to win 14/1 e.w. @ UKBetting
Smail held off Campbell two years to lift the title as a 100/1 selection at the time He has since shown his pedigree by winning the week later as well (plus finishing 2nd a further week on) and on the Japan Tour where he picked up two titles in the last two months of 2002 to finish 5th on the Money List. Any semblance of that form should reap a top-5 finish and he may again catch Campbell off his guard.
Andre Stolz to win 66/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Large price for a player who was a winner on the Australasian Tour last year. It may have only been the Victorian Open which did not attract the players of previous years (a change in schedule from January to October), but he followed that with 6th in the Queensland Open, 2nd in the New South Wales Open and 16th in the Australian PGA Championship. No great form in this event at Paraparaumu Beach, but this is a weak field and the winner of the 2000 Tour Championship is very capable of a high finish here.
not into this tour but any opinions on Gary Simpson over Adam Groom
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++and Downes over Fraser
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++and Downes over Fraser
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Matchup plays (0.75 units unless stated):
Andrew Bonhomme to beat Brad Lamb -111 @ BetandWin
Quite difference in class between these two players. Bonhomme secured two top-3 finishes on the Australasian Tour last year, albeit in the lesser events, while Lamb missed five of eight cuts last year, including his debut in the New Zealand Open. Bonhomme finished in the top-20.
Brett Rumford to beat Marcus Cain -133 @ Centrebet [1.5 units]
Gulf in class here as well. Rumford may have struggled on the European Tour last year - he failed to retain his Card - but he did manage four top-40 finishes in five ANZ Tour events last year, whereas Cain missed the cut in eight of 14 ANZ Tour events. Two top-20 finishes in three New Zealand Open starts is also supportive for Rumford.
Bradley Heaven to beat Andrew Webster -111 @ BetandWin
Siding with a University of Toledo amateur who has an impressive record in this event. In 1996, he finished as low amateur as a 15-year-old and returned last year to finish 10th. Bar two top-5 finishes in Victorian events in October, Webster has had difficulty in making the cut each week on this Tour and failed to do so in his previous New Zealand Open start.
Brendan Jones to beat Grant Waite -125 @ Centrebet
Siding with a player on top of his a game against another who is struggling. Waite finished outside the top-150 on the PGA Tour for the first time since 1994 and so lost full playing rights. It means that he will return to compete in this event, which he won in 1992, for the first time since 1997, but his thoughts will surely be elsewhere. His entry was with the proviso that he did not get a late call-up to Sony Open in Hawaii, so the tournament organisers secured an air booking with the help of the event sponsors United Airlines on the basis if he does not have a start in Hawaii he will obligate to fly home. Against a player who won once and finished 2nd twice in the last few months of 2002 on the Japan Tour, he looks ill-prepared.
Andrew Bonhomme to beat Brad Lamb -111 @ BetandWin
Quite difference in class between these two players. Bonhomme secured two top-3 finishes on the Australasian Tour last year, albeit in the lesser events, while Lamb missed five of eight cuts last year, including his debut in the New Zealand Open. Bonhomme finished in the top-20.
Brett Rumford to beat Marcus Cain -133 @ Centrebet [1.5 units]
Gulf in class here as well. Rumford may have struggled on the European Tour last year - he failed to retain his Card - but he did manage four top-40 finishes in five ANZ Tour events last year, whereas Cain missed the cut in eight of 14 ANZ Tour events. Two top-20 finishes in three New Zealand Open starts is also supportive for Rumford.
Bradley Heaven to beat Andrew Webster -111 @ BetandWin
Siding with a University of Toledo amateur who has an impressive record in this event. In 1996, he finished as low amateur as a 15-year-old and returned last year to finish 10th. Bar two top-5 finishes in Victorian events in October, Webster has had difficulty in making the cut each week on this Tour and failed to do so in his previous New Zealand Open start.
Brendan Jones to beat Grant Waite -125 @ Centrebet
Siding with a player on top of his a game against another who is struggling. Waite finished outside the top-150 on the PGA Tour for the first time since 1994 and so lost full playing rights. It means that he will return to compete in this event, which he won in 1992, for the first time since 1997, but his thoughts will surely be elsewhere. His entry was with the proviso that he did not get a late call-up to Sony Open in Hawaii, so the tournament organisers secured an air booking with the help of the event sponsors United Airlines on the basis if he does not have a start in Hawaii he will obligate to fly home. Against a player who won once and finished 2nd twice in the last few months of 2002 on the Japan Tour, he looks ill-prepared.
DTB, I would side those players as well. Not strong enough for own plays, but they were on my shortlist
Adding:
Michael Long to beat Frank Nobilo -108 @ Five Dimes
Five Dimes have just added odds for this event and this matchup appeals. Both had very poor seasons on the PGA Tour and Nobilo hasn't played since ending his campaign with four straight missed cuts. Just one top-10 finish (10th in 2002 WorldCom Classic) since the At&T in February 2001 shows the collapse of his game, based around a crippling back injury. He cannot play three or four weeks in a row at the moment and retirement looks likely. Long is a former winner of this title (1996) and at least did return down under to compete on the Australasian Tour at the end of 2002. He put in decent performances in the Australian Open and Australian PGA Championship and should beat a hampered Nobilo.
Five Dimes have also priced up the Jones/Waite match above @ -122 with ties push rather than a dead heat
Michael Long to beat Frank Nobilo -108 @ Five Dimes
Five Dimes have just added odds for this event and this matchup appeals. Both had very poor seasons on the PGA Tour and Nobilo hasn't played since ending his campaign with four straight missed cuts. Just one top-10 finish (10th in 2002 WorldCom Classic) since the At&T in February 2001 shows the collapse of his game, based around a crippling back injury. He cannot play three or four weeks in a row at the moment and retirement looks likely. Long is a former winner of this title (1996) and at least did return down under to compete on the Australasian Tour at the end of 2002. He put in decent performances in the Australian Open and Australian PGA Championship and should beat a hampered Nobilo.
Five Dimes have also priced up the Jones/Waite match above @ -122 with ties push rather than a dead heat
Mid-point update:
Bonhomme/Lamb WON by 9
Rumford/Cain Leads by 4
Heaven/Webster WON by 9
Jones/Waite Leads by 1
Long/Nobilo WON by 6
Campbell 11th
Smail 5th
Stolz 23rd
Very nice start to the 2003 Australasian Tour season! Three wins in the bag and the remaining two are ahead. Would be very disappointing if the double-play on Rumford were reversed over the weekend. All three players in the hunt after 36 holes, so should get a return from at least one of them.
Bonhomme/Lamb WON by 9
Rumford/Cain Leads by 4
Heaven/Webster WON by 9
Jones/Waite Leads by 1
Long/Nobilo WON by 6
Campbell 11th
Smail 5th
Stolz 23rd
Very nice start to the 2003 Australasian Tour season! Three wins in the bag and the remaining two are ahead. Would be very disappointing if the double-play on Rumford were reversed over the weekend. All three players in the hunt after 36 holes, so should get a return from at least one of them.
May have threw wammy on your Smail play inadvertantly Stan as I thought you had swept B&W again till I noticed Smail pending.
Have been having a big time with your Euro plays there on matches and parlays.Had we got Smail home would have been clean sweep again on parlays--but I'm not complaining
2 out of three ain't bad. Thank You :thumb:
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Bet type: multi (parlay)
Odds: +1203,00
Stake: 10,00 USD
Winning chance: 130,30 USD
back print
Event Date Game Your tip Result Odds
Adam Groom - Gary Simpson 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
Andrew Bonhomme - Brad Lamb 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 1 unknown -111,11
Brad Heaven - Andrew Webster 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 1 unknown -111,11
Marcus Fraser - Chris Downes 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Bet type: multi (parlay)
Odds: +261,00
Stake: 20,00 USD
Winning chance: 72,20 USD
back print
Event Date Game Your tip Result Odds
Alan McLean - Scott Drummond 01/15/2003
23:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
Titch Moore - Jean Francois Remesy 01/15/2003
23:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Bet slip completed on 01/15/2003 07:21:07
Bet type: multi (parlay)
Odds: +586,00
Stake: 15,00 USD
Winning chance: 102,90 USD
back print
Event Date Game Your tip Result Odds
Adam Groom - Gary Simpson 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
David Smail - Phil Tataurangi 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 1 unknown -111,11
Marcus Fraser - Chris Downes 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
SHIT Make that 3 of 3 Somehow I was thinking Smail was pitted against Waite.:lol:
Have been having a big time with your Euro plays there on matches and parlays.Had we got Smail home would have been clean sweep again on parlays--but I'm not complaining
2 out of three ain't bad. Thank You :thumb:
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Bet type: multi (parlay)
Odds: +1203,00
Stake: 10,00 USD
Winning chance: 130,30 USD
back print
Event Date Game Your tip Result Odds
Adam Groom - Gary Simpson 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
Andrew Bonhomme - Brad Lamb 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 1 unknown -111,11
Brad Heaven - Andrew Webster 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 1 unknown -111,11
Marcus Fraser - Chris Downes 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Bet type: multi (parlay)
Odds: +261,00
Stake: 20,00 USD
Winning chance: 72,20 USD
back print
Event Date Game Your tip Result Odds
Alan McLean - Scott Drummond 01/15/2003
23:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
Titch Moore - Jean Francois Remesy 01/15/2003
23:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Bet slip completed on 01/15/2003 07:21:07
Bet type: multi (parlay)
Odds: +586,00
Stake: 15,00 USD
Winning chance: 102,90 USD
back print
Event Date Game Your tip Result Odds
Adam Groom - Gary Simpson 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
David Smail - Phil Tataurangi 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 1 unknown -111,11
Marcus Fraser - Chris Downes 01/16/2003
02:00 Match Betting 2 unknown -111,11
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
SHIT Make that 3 of 3 Somehow I was thinking Smail was pitted against Waite.:lol:
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Final update:
Matchups: 4-0-1; +3.62 units
Rumford/Cain WON by 13
Jones/Waite All Square (dead heat)
Outrights: 0-3; -2.25 units
Campbell 9th
Smail 17th
Stolz 35th
Profitable event, but expected more from the outright selections over the weekend. Has been a story told too often this week!
Matchups: 4-0-1; +3.62 units
Rumford/Cain WON by 13
Jones/Waite All Square (dead heat)
Outrights: 0-3; -2.25 units
Campbell 9th
Smail 17th
Stolz 35th
Profitable event, but expected more from the outright selections over the weekend. Has been a story told too often this week!
