- May 12, 2013
- 1,176
- 3
- 0
10 Unit: 3-0 (+30.50u)
5 Unit: 11-9 (+10.50u)
Parlay: 2-2 (+40.49u)
Total: 14-7 (+81.49u)
5u BUF +5 (-108)
Probably won't need the points here as the Chiefs take their undefeated record and pedestrian offense on the road to Buffalo which is not the easiest place to place in the world either. The Bills should have Jackson and Johnson on the field and it is a bonus if Spiller and Flynn start. Chiefs games have been getting closer recently L2 decided by 6 or less points and the public hammered them laying on a FG.
5u TEN -3 (-103)
Least popular road fav on the board today but the Titans are coming off a bye rested and healthy after losses to 3 of the best defensive teams in the league. Locker has thrown for over 1,000 yards with 8 TD's and 1 pick leading his team to a great start scoring an ave of 24.5 points to go 3-1 but after playing some tough defensive competition nobody wants to bet on the Titans. Public perception is the Rams are a great defensive team after the prime time game where they held the Seahawks down but a very weak offensive Seattle line helped that cause.
5u PHI +1 (-108)
Oakland is the most popular short home fav with 68% of the public on them only laying -1. Chip Kelly has to be totally embarrassed with all the hype that came with his addition to the NFL. Seems like a great spot to breakout here against a Raiders teams who when people start betting on usually lose.
Parlay:
Above three with CAR -8 (-108) and HOU ML (+110) 2u to win 5.7u
Carolina is running under the radar and there is perception that Atlanta is not as bad as their record indicates which is why they are the highest public dog on the board. The Panthers have not allowed a first half touchdown yet this year and Matty Ice on the road is not a scary proposition especially with Jones out. Meanwhile the Panthers have scored 30+ points their L3 games and Scam Newton leads the league with a 130.3 passer rating during that stretch. Back that up with the 8th best run game not including this weeks addition of Stewart in the backfield and it could be a long day for the Falcons who are vulnerable to the ground game. I can see some nice play action pass opportunities opening up for Newton as the game goes on for big plays which helps when laying the wood.
The Colts were dealt a huge blow with the loss of Wayne and are another team vulnerable to the run on the defensive side of the ball. Assuming Foster and Tate play, even if not at 100% the Texans should be able to move the ball at home and Keenum makes his home field debut. He can run and shoot with the best of them and the Colts are not built to come from behind so I expect the Texans to be aggressive from the start with their backs against the wall needing this important divisional game which can help them make up much needed ground. I like the leagues top ranked total defense against a Colts team on the road with their top offensive playmaker out and more questions in the backfield when Richardson was supposed to be the final answer.
5 Unit: 11-9 (+10.50u)
Parlay: 2-2 (+40.49u)
Total: 14-7 (+81.49u)
5u BUF +5 (-108)
Probably won't need the points here as the Chiefs take their undefeated record and pedestrian offense on the road to Buffalo which is not the easiest place to place in the world either. The Bills should have Jackson and Johnson on the field and it is a bonus if Spiller and Flynn start. Chiefs games have been getting closer recently L2 decided by 6 or less points and the public hammered them laying on a FG.
5u TEN -3 (-103)
Least popular road fav on the board today but the Titans are coming off a bye rested and healthy after losses to 3 of the best defensive teams in the league. Locker has thrown for over 1,000 yards with 8 TD's and 1 pick leading his team to a great start scoring an ave of 24.5 points to go 3-1 but after playing some tough defensive competition nobody wants to bet on the Titans. Public perception is the Rams are a great defensive team after the prime time game where they held the Seahawks down but a very weak offensive Seattle line helped that cause.
5u PHI +1 (-108)
Oakland is the most popular short home fav with 68% of the public on them only laying -1. Chip Kelly has to be totally embarrassed with all the hype that came with his addition to the NFL. Seems like a great spot to breakout here against a Raiders teams who when people start betting on usually lose.
Parlay:
Above three with CAR -8 (-108) and HOU ML (+110) 2u to win 5.7u
Carolina is running under the radar and there is perception that Atlanta is not as bad as their record indicates which is why they are the highest public dog on the board. The Panthers have not allowed a first half touchdown yet this year and Matty Ice on the road is not a scary proposition especially with Jones out. Meanwhile the Panthers have scored 30+ points their L3 games and Scam Newton leads the league with a 130.3 passer rating during that stretch. Back that up with the 8th best run game not including this weeks addition of Stewart in the backfield and it could be a long day for the Falcons who are vulnerable to the ground game. I can see some nice play action pass opportunities opening up for Newton as the game goes on for big plays which helps when laying the wood.
The Colts were dealt a huge blow with the loss of Wayne and are another team vulnerable to the run on the defensive side of the ball. Assuming Foster and Tate play, even if not at 100% the Texans should be able to move the ball at home and Keenum makes his home field debut. He can run and shoot with the best of them and the Colts are not built to come from behind so I expect the Texans to be aggressive from the start with their backs against the wall needing this important divisional game which can help them make up much needed ground. I like the leagues top ranked total defense against a Colts team on the road with their top offensive playmaker out and more questions in the backfield when Richardson was supposed to be the final answer.
