NFL Sunday from the Computer!

RobertBIrish

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Feb 8, 2001
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SIDES
Green Bay -10
Chicago +5.5
Cleveland +8
Indianapolis +5.5
NYJ +5.5
Dallas +7
Carolina +7
Buffalo +3.5
San Diego +9
Pittsburgh -5.5
Arizona -2
Washington +8.5
New England +8

TOTALS
Cle/Balt Over 33
Phi/Dal Over 37
SF/Car Over 43
Sea/Buf Over 39
Tenn/Cin Over 39.5
SD/Raid Over 45
Det/Ariz Over 39
Wash/Denv Over 42.5
Rams/NE Under 46.5
 

GM

PleasureGlutton
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Jan 21, 2000
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Thanks for posting this nice and early RobertB. I'm assuming the computer doesn't take injuries into account. I'm a dog player, but with Indy's current banged-up state I'm leaning heavily towards the Saints. I like a lot of the remainder of those sides though, including Clev, GB and New England....hope they come thru! A bit concerned about the Pack in a letdown situation.

GM

[This message has been edited by GM (edited 11-17-2001).]
 

pepin46

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Oct 6, 2000
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robert

i normally don't pay attention to posts that don't have write-ups, and the only time i posted on your thread, those 4 words fueled an explosion. it got to the point i wanted to take it back, but it was too late.

if we can put that aside for the sake of a handicapping argument, i noticed you are coming up with an awful lot of plays, and i find it hard to believe that there is enough of a spread advantage to select all these, as many of these projections fall within a couple of points of the lines themselves.

you mentioned earlier that the computer does not take into account injuries, and i am sure some other factors and intangibles as well.

when you take these almost-impossible-to -keep-up-with "flaws" into account, shouldn't that kind of force you to be more discriminating in your spread differentials for final game selection, thus ending up with about half or less, or are you aiming at platinum, gold and silver selections?

myself, and others, do or have fiddled with computer projections, and they do work, but i have not seen anything that will spit out this many picks unless you are willing to sacrifice quality and thus end up with a so-so record after all is said and done.

something else that caught my eye this week: it seems like an automatic, for both human and mechanical computers, to pick phil/dallas under, yet it does not show in your picks. anything to do with the laugher in philly, or is it showing a neutral signal because of a previous high-scoring game in dallas? just wondering...

i do read some of your threads and know you have enjoyed a certain degree of success so far, but really want to throw this at you, from one 'capper to another and get your comments on it, if you will.

thanks


pep
 

RobertBIrish

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Well when I first started posting these plays I stated that I just wanted a public record of the plays the computer spits out I do narrow them down believe me as I only played two of the games on here but I also run a service and can't post the best selections I know I will prbably catch crap for mentioning that but oh well I am not mentioning anything else and I really wanted to have a public record of the computer plays. There are 17 different formulas on the NFL program and it selects allot of games and I am sure as I tinker with the programming it will start picking fewer games and it really had no opinion on the total in the Dallas/Philly game on the total. It has picked very well and we are still messing with the programming and I try to let anyone know that these plays should be takin with a grain of salt and you should check injuries and other intangibles into your selection process. Let me close by saying I always welcome a good debate and am willing to talk and discuss any topic especially when someone takes the time to add such an intelligent and well thought out post as you posted if I have not answered all of the factors you mentioned please let me know like I said I like a good lively debate with a fellow handicapper, because if we all thought alike the books would be out of business and lord knows I have been wrong many times LOL!
 

djv

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Nov 4, 2000
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I hope you don'tind im going to put my computer plays up to see how we differ and how we are a like. Now I must first tell you. My program is not new but very old. It has never picked over 60%. However it has picked 50% many times. So there is my warning.
Sides
N ORL
NYJ
Phil
Atl
TBay
Cleve
Pitt
Wash
N Eng
O/U
Dall U
Buff U
TBay O
Atl U
Pitt U
Det O
Never put these up before. Reason as said above seen many 50% days.
Minn O
 

phoenix566

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Jun 20, 2001
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inside your head
your sides are on fire djv
eek.gif
 

djv

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 4, 2000
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0
The great computer race 10 & 4 with two to go. And 14 & 6 with two to go.
Not bad for a new computer program and a 10 year old one. I see both go with NE tonight. Lets wish these computers good luck.
wink.gif
 
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