NFL Survivor/Suicide Pools Week 6 Discussions & Picks

[canabiz]

Well, well, well what can you say fellas

All the favorites won and we are simply back to Square 1 again. I *managed* to move on to Week 6 courtesy of the Colts. I had to take an Advil after let me tell you but it's all good!

For Week 6, here are the teams I am looking at

Washington against Tennessee. A good choice here IMHO. Vince Young has shown considerable progress but the Titans is still one of the worst team in the NFL at this point. The Redskins need to win these types of games if they want to stay alive for the playoff and basically if we don't take them this week in this spot, i don't know when we can do so, for the rest of this season.

Denver against Oakland. Another no-brainer, although I would prefer to use them later on, against those same Raiders in Oakland and/or possibly for the last week of the season against the 49ers.

Dallas against Houston. Again, if these Boys don't win this weekend, they may as well close shop for the rest of the season.

If you have a strong lean for a team, let's hear it.

Good luck to all as always and Surviving we shall!

 

[wufdude]

Same 3 I was looking at. I really want to play Washington here as I don't see many more favorable match-ups for them. I just can't see Tennessee playing another close game like they did this past week.

I had initially thought I'd play Denver this week but after seeing their D, I think I can hold onto them for later.

Best of luck to you bud-

by the way, I took Carolina this past week and although not that impressive, glad I didn't have to sweat out that Indy game

nice when 14-13 is as good as 41-0 though!

 

[nagrawa]

Im in a pool with 36 people and only 6 have been knocked out. This seeems like a year with 3 really horrendous teams, Oakland, Houston and Tennesee. I might be wrong but I think it will be hard to get even 70% out by week 17.

 

[snoozer]

Kept all of my 3 picks (took Indy, NO, Carolina). We only lost 2 people this week (1 idiot took Oak the other took Dallas), so we are still around 400.

I think this week we are going to lose a few people. I would not be surprised to see 2 of the big favorites (over 8 points) lose this week. personally am going to stay away from Washington and Tennessee. Since Young has come in they are playing a lot better. Teams are not sure how to defend him and I think it will hurt Washington. Throw in the fact that their offense is complete garbage.

Right now Dallas looks like my #1 choice.
I like SD, they are going on all cylinders and they know they can't afford to lose games like this. These games are the games that have stopped them from reaching the playoff the last couple years.

Denver and Chicago look very solid, but as I have said in the past, I don't play SNF/MNF because it seems crappy teams use this as their playoff game. I also lean towards Pitt. Teams playing on the road 2 weeks in a row, and winning the first week, are not likely to win the second week. Throw in the fact that LJ is hurt and Pitt can sell out on Huard

 

[canabiz]

snoozer, I am staying away from San Diego because

1. I almost always never take road team in Survivor Pool (push comes to shove yes but there are better choices this week)

2. San Diego looks mightily tempting in Week 8, 9, 12 and 17 so a lot of time left.

Similar argument can be made regarding Pitt, I have no doubt in my mind that I will the Steelers circled in Week 14 when they host the Browns and interception machine Charlie Frye!

My take on the Redskins is they have to win this week and if you look at their schedule, there's no other week that you can comfortably take them. Plus Tennessee will be missing David Givens, Kinney and a few other guys. It's a non-conference matchup so I like that as well.

 

[Big Nasty D]

Looking like Dallas will be my pick this week. Somewhat squeaked it out with Carolina last week, and I think this will be a similar type of game. I think Dallas will take early control, but never truly pull away and make me sweat it out til the end. It is a "must win" for the Boys' and in Drew's case there's no place like home....he will be much sharper here at home with job on the line. Dallas will impliment more 3 step drops to help with the coverage, but it will be much easier for the O-line this week. Think TO will be way more involved here but in alot of RAC situations letting him do his thing. Not looking for too many "big play" passes here, just short, simple, and safe as Dallas's receivers will have minimal problems producing yards after the catch.

Looking at other plays also, but this seems to be the logical choice for me this week much like I felt carolina was last week. A must win situation, at home, against an inferior team they should beat. Won't be a walk in the park, but should be a solid home victory for the Boy's looking to get back on track.

 

[Big Nasty D]

Im in a pool with 36 people and only 6 have been knocked out. This seeems like a year with 3 really horrendous teams, Oakland, Houston and Tennesee. I might be wrong but I think it will be hard to get even 70% out by week 17.

I beg to differ here. In my opinion I think survivor pools with catch a nice sting or two because of these three inferior teams. It's the NFL, not the NCAA. Teams like these three always sneak up on opponents when us the public least expects it....via almost Tennessee last week. It will happen at least three times here within the next 4-6 weeks. Survivor contestants will go blindly looking for the biggest line in weeks to come where these teams will be involved.

I look at it as a big reason here on out to not pick against these teams from hear on out until they get a win (especially Oakland and Tennessee). These two will be hungry for that first win and more times than not teams in these situations let it all hang out to get that win and to try to get things going. Fake punts, onside kicks, trick plays, etc....catching teams off gaurd in unconventional ways.

I personally do like going against Houston this week because I feel Dallas is in the right spot to control this game. Still not 100% sold on it yet, but feel it will have the same kind of outcome as last weeks Panthers game where the situation was similar.

I also favor the Steelers position this week, but as a homer cannot pull the trigger until they prove something to me. If there is an absolute must win situation on the board this week I believe the Steelers are it. Believe the Steelers are in a good spot to win here and KC is in a solid spot to lose coming off the close call this past week. KC will not run on the Steelers and if Cowher has any influence here he has had good success against the chiefs. But, like I said as a homer I gotta see something first and knowing the Steelers like I do it's best to wait on them even in wagering until they get something going. They have proved these past couple years once they get momentum out of a couple wins they are hard to stop. Believe there are better plays ahead to use them in the weeks to come if they can pull a few wins out in between and get back in the division hunt.

Just my 2cents here, but truly believe survivor pools will take at least a 50% hit in weeks to come because of Oakland, Tennessee, and Houston. Then it will come down to the players who looked ahead and held on to a couple solid teams like we are trying to do hear.

Love this thread and really enjoy everyones input and advice here. Just hope my input makes sense and helps out on the flip side.

 

[Jayhawk_Thor]

Will probably be on Washington as well.

 

[bear]

Tentative: All at home
FWIW
Oct 15th
Dallas over Houston interchangeable with Denver/sf in final week
22nd
Seattle over Minnesota....need to get past this one
29th
Chi over SF
NOV 5
Jax over Tenn
12th
Indy over Buffalo
19th
Philadelphia over Tennessee
26th
SD over Oakland
DEC
3rd
Pitt over TB
10th
Cinn over Oakland
17th
New England over Houston
24th
Giants over NO
31st
Denver over SF or Dallas over Det

bear

 

[MrChristo]

If anyone's feeling particularly brave, now is a good (if there is such a thing! ) time to take the Jets...

Since '89...

League: 11-0 SU any fav, off a 21+ ats loss as a 7+ dog, if total is <40. [Jets] (1-0 this season, SF def. Oak last week) (Opp held to just 9.5 ppg)

League: 0-10 SU any away dog, off a 3- ats loss as a 7+ dog, if total is <37. [Mia] )team scores 7.3 ppg!!)

So a combined 21-0 SU trend over 17 years favouring the Jets here!

 

[Dice34]

I moved on with the jags last week......I didnt sweat it out like canabiz and the rest of the colts backers.....I wish it could be that easy all the time

My top lean is pittsburgh.......the run will be shut down and Huard will be feeling pressure all day, from a team that has pressure on them to win....

2. denver
3. dallas
4. san diego

 

[Jayhawk_Thor]

Sticking with Washington. I feel like this is the best game left to take them in.

GL

 

[wufdude]

I took Washington as well. I feel like this is a good week for them.