NFL teaser to conclude Week 3

Ernie_Money

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Aug 27, 2006
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4-teamer, laying $700 to win $500:

Indianapolis Pick
Tampa Bay +18.5
NY Giants +16
Detroit +22


Wanted to bet this at 5dimes, where the juice is -120, but ties lose there and the Detroit Lions was +21, so if they lose by 21, I would lose, so I need Detroit to lose by 20 or less. But at Pinnacle, Detroit is +22 and ties are not an automatic loss, so I basically get 2 extra points for paying the additional $100 in juice, which stinks, but hopefully it won't matter.

Reasoning for picks:

Colts have yet to lose to the Texans (8-0 in their history) and Indy has been an awesome teaser team the past several years.

Buccaneers have played very well against Atlanta the past few years and should bounce back strong after an embarrassign home shutout last week, while Atlanta is in let-down mode after a big road win. Bucs should cover the 5.5 and maybe win this game.

Giants have labeled this a "must-win" game as they do not want to star 0-2 and are probably the better team here anyway. Hard to gauge that Eagles win vs. the lowly Texans. maybe the Eagles win, but by 17 or more? I hope not.

The Lions' defense was impressive last week vs. Seattle, keeping them out of the endzone, and they will need to be just as impressive this week because I don't see the Lions scoring many points. But as loong as detroit doesn't allow the Bears defense to score points, I don't see Chicago scoring more than 24, which means the Lions only need a FG for me to cover this teaser spread.

Week 3: 3-2, +$115
Week 2: 5-3, +$306 (did win $509 on the Mansion free bet & hedge)
Week 1: 5-1, +$913
 
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