NFL week 11 plays

[BigGaycapper]

Browns -120 $360/$300
I love this play. Browns off the bye, Saints off an upset win over division rival Falcons. Winston in a revenge spot playing back in New Orleans where he spent 4 years and never reached the potential the Saints expected from him. This is his 3rd start since replacing the injured Watson and with an extra week of prep time I think we see the Winston we saw against the Ravens 27-41 334 yds 3 tds and not the disaster that he was vs the Chargers 2 weeks ago.

 

[BigGaycapper]

Titans +3.5 -120 1st half $240/$200
Might regret this one but I don't trust Sam Darnold and I think their is some regression coming from the Vikings. Darnold has come back to earth after a hot start. He has 5 ints and 5 tds in his last 3 games and those games were against the Jags, Colts and Rams not the toughest pass defenses in the league. Titans pass defense allows just 156 yds per game this year so this matchup could be trouble for Darnold. Gonna make this play based on the Titans ability to limit the big plays through the air and keep it close for awhile. Tennessee has only been trailing at halftime three of the nine games they played this year.

 

[BigGaycapper]

Ravens/Steelers props...
Looking forward to watching this one.
Ravens 9-1 to the over this year
Ravens 5-0 over on the road
Last 6 H2H have gone under
Steelers won 7 of last 8 H2H

The props I like:
Hill over 16.5 rec yds -110 $110/$100
Hill anytime td +700 $50/$350
Hill 1st td of game +4700 $25/$1175
Hill 2 tds +8500 $25/$2125
He has gone over the rec prop in 5 of the 10 games this year but here's why I like it:
Rbs rec yds vs Steelers this year:
Bijan 5 rec 43 yds
Javonte Williams 5 rec 48 yds
Jonathan Taylor 3 rec 20 yds
Dowdle 2 rec 22 yds td
Mattison 5 rec 32 yds
Breece Hall 6 rec 103 yds

Hoping this game is high scoring and maybe just maybe Hill puts some extra Christmas shopping money in our pockets. Enjoy the games all