By looking at Sportsbook.com's "Betting Trends" section it is quite obvious
that the bettors have a little more faith in the underdogs this week. Heading into
the weekend, the betting public at Sportsbook.com is backing the following dogs:
Detroit (+6, 84%), Arizona (+7.5, 82%), Cincinnati (+3, 80%), Cleveland (+3, 66%),
Dallas (+3, 54%) and Tennessee (+4.5, 76%). With 16 games scheduled, six underdogs
might seem like an underwhelming number to the casual observer. But to anyone that
pays attention to the public's infatuation with favorites, six is quite is extremely
high. As a matter of fact, the first two weeks combined, the "betting
public" only backed two underdogs. This strategy paid off huge for the public in
Week 1, as 8 favorites covered as opposed to 5 dogs. Week 2, the public came back to
earth as only 3 favorites covered compared to 12 dogs. With all of those dogs
covering last week, it is not at all surprising that the public sees added value in
dogs for Week 3.
As mentioned above, the dog that is getting the most love from John Q. Public is the
2-0 Detroit Lions as they take their passing attack to Philly to square off against
the 0-2 Eagles. Given the respective starts from each team, it is not at all
shocking that the public is taking the couple field goals. Coming off a serious
injury, Donovan McNabb is off to a dreadful start. In his two appearances, he has a
passer rating of 68.7 and has thrown only one score. He isn't getting very much help
from his receivers as they are getting little separation at the line of scrimmage.
McNabb could rebound this week as he faces a Detroit defense that gives up 236.5
passing yards per game. He will have to do so without TE L.J. Smith who most likely
won't play. The Eagles are also dinged up on the defensive side of the ball as CB
Lito Sheppard and S Brian Dawkins are both nursing injuries. If one or neither is
ready to go, it could be a long day for Philly fans as they face a Lions offense that
averages 321 passing yards per game. QB Jon Kitna received tons of criticism this
past off season when he predicted the Lions would win 10 games. With an arsenal of
receivers to throw to, Kitna should remain among the league leaders in passing stats
all season and 10 wins could be a reality. After reading all of this, the six points
appears to be a gift from the handicappers. Just keep in mind, the Lions are prime
to comeback down to earth and the Eagles are much more talented then they showed the
last couple weeks. Also, be aware that Philly is 24-11 ATS versus the NFC North
since 1992 and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six Week 3 outings.
With all of the lopsided betting, there is sure to be plenty of line movement. The
easiest way to predict a line change is by monitoring Sportsbook.com's "Betting
Trends". While you are logged on, be sure to register for the "Win Your
Weight in Beer Promotion". Someone will win pounds upon pounds of beer this
weekend; hopefully, for our sake the winner is on the svelte side.
that the bettors have a little more faith in the underdogs this week. Heading into
the weekend, the betting public at Sportsbook.com is backing the following dogs:
Detroit (+6, 84%), Arizona (+7.5, 82%), Cincinnati (+3, 80%), Cleveland (+3, 66%),
Dallas (+3, 54%) and Tennessee (+4.5, 76%). With 16 games scheduled, six underdogs
might seem like an underwhelming number to the casual observer. But to anyone that
pays attention to the public's infatuation with favorites, six is quite is extremely
high. As a matter of fact, the first two weeks combined, the "betting
public" only backed two underdogs. This strategy paid off huge for the public in
Week 1, as 8 favorites covered as opposed to 5 dogs. Week 2, the public came back to
earth as only 3 favorites covered compared to 12 dogs. With all of those dogs
covering last week, it is not at all surprising that the public sees added value in
dogs for Week 3.
As mentioned above, the dog that is getting the most love from John Q. Public is the
2-0 Detroit Lions as they take their passing attack to Philly to square off against
the 0-2 Eagles. Given the respective starts from each team, it is not at all
shocking that the public is taking the couple field goals. Coming off a serious
injury, Donovan McNabb is off to a dreadful start. In his two appearances, he has a
passer rating of 68.7 and has thrown only one score. He isn't getting very much help
from his receivers as they are getting little separation at the line of scrimmage.
McNabb could rebound this week as he faces a Detroit defense that gives up 236.5
passing yards per game. He will have to do so without TE L.J. Smith who most likely
won't play. The Eagles are also dinged up on the defensive side of the ball as CB
Lito Sheppard and S Brian Dawkins are both nursing injuries. If one or neither is
ready to go, it could be a long day for Philly fans as they face a Lions offense that
averages 321 passing yards per game. QB Jon Kitna received tons of criticism this
past off season when he predicted the Lions would win 10 games. With an arsenal of
receivers to throw to, Kitna should remain among the league leaders in passing stats
all season and 10 wins could be a reality. After reading all of this, the six points
appears to be a gift from the handicappers. Just keep in mind, the Lions are prime
to comeback down to earth and the Eagles are much more talented then they showed the
last couple weeks. Also, be aware that Philly is 24-11 ATS versus the NFC North
since 1992 and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six Week 3 outings.
With all of the lopsided betting, there is sure to be plenty of line movement. The
easiest way to predict a line change is by monitoring Sportsbook.com's "Betting
Trends". While you are logged on, be sure to register for the "Win Your
Weight in Beer Promotion". Someone will win pounds upon pounds of beer this
weekend; hopefully, for our sake the winner is on the svelte side.
