Denver/KC under 45.5 -108, 4 units
These are two of the best defenses in the league allowing 12.2 and 14.5 ppg respectively. These are also two of the better rushing offenses in the NFL so I think this game will go by pretty quickly as both teams will want to hold the ball and keep it out of the hands of the opposing offense. I'm seeing a tight, low-scoring game in this one so will take the under.
Denver +3 -103, 2 units
KC struggled on offense last week against a good Baltimore defense and I look for more of the same here. KC's WRs are not that good and Denver has 3 very fast LBs to defend Gonzalez and Holmes. I like Denver's offense as they have 3 good WRs, a good TE, and a great running game. Plummer's mobility should also help against this improved Chiefs' defense. KC has some injury problems on the DL with Browning and Holliday listed as questionable and I don't think their LBs have the speed to contain Portis. Think Denver has the advantage in the kicking game with Elam. Just hope KC doesn't get any big returns this week.
San Francisco -6.5 -118 2 units and under 41 -108 3 units
49ers have lost 3 in a row losing to some pretty good teams so I like them to bounce back with a win at home. Detroit has struggled on the road scoring just 16 and 6 points at Green Bay and Denver. SF defense has been pretty good allowing just 252 ypg. Lions have absolutley no running game and SF blitzes on virtually every passing play so I think they will be able to put a lot of pressure on Harrington. SF has 18 sacks so far thru 4 games and Harrington has a tendency to turn the ball over at times when forced to throw. Detroit has some problems in the secondary as they have lost 2 of their top 4 CBs for the season in the last few weeks so I look for Garcia and Owens to finally get on track. I like SFs defense to shut down the Lions' so like the under as well.
New York Giants -1 -108, 3 units
Miami is never as good on the road and I'm sure the public is still remembering their huge win against Buffalo. Ruddy and Dixon are out on Miami's OL which could really be a problem as the Giants have some pretty good pass rushers in Strahan and Holmes and it will likely also hurt the running game. I really like the Giants' balance on offense as they have plenty of weapons. I think the Giants have a big advantage with Barber matched up against the Miami LBs as well and think he will have a big day especially in the passing game.
Green Bay -2 -108, 3 units
Green Bay is always tough at home and I think this Seattle team is a little overrated right now as they beat the Saints, Rams, and Cardinals none of which have been impressive. Bye week probably also came at a bad time as it killed their momentum. Green Bay's offense looked a lot better with Driver healthy again and Green is running the ball as well as anyone with 110 ypg and a 5.7 avg. I don't have a lot of faith in the Seattle secondary as Lucas has always been known to get burned and with Springs out they are starting the rookie Trufant at the other corner. Seattle also has a rookie K in Brown so if this is a close game I like my chances with the Packers.
Minnesota/Atlanta under 43, -108 2 units
Both teams are running the ball pretty well which should eat up some clock. Only chance Atlanta has is too try and control the ball with the run as their passing game has been pretty weak thus far. Minnesota's defense has looked great thus far and I think they can hold the Falcons in check. I think Frerotte and the Vikes may be "due" for a bad outing and have a feeling their offense may struggle a little here. Think one of these teams may struggle to score over 14-17 points so like the under.
These are two of the best defenses in the league allowing 12.2 and 14.5 ppg respectively. These are also two of the better rushing offenses in the NFL so I think this game will go by pretty quickly as both teams will want to hold the ball and keep it out of the hands of the opposing offense. I'm seeing a tight, low-scoring game in this one so will take the under.
Denver +3 -103, 2 units
KC struggled on offense last week against a good Baltimore defense and I look for more of the same here. KC's WRs are not that good and Denver has 3 very fast LBs to defend Gonzalez and Holmes. I like Denver's offense as they have 3 good WRs, a good TE, and a great running game. Plummer's mobility should also help against this improved Chiefs' defense. KC has some injury problems on the DL with Browning and Holliday listed as questionable and I don't think their LBs have the speed to contain Portis. Think Denver has the advantage in the kicking game with Elam. Just hope KC doesn't get any big returns this week.
San Francisco -6.5 -118 2 units and under 41 -108 3 units
49ers have lost 3 in a row losing to some pretty good teams so I like them to bounce back with a win at home. Detroit has struggled on the road scoring just 16 and 6 points at Green Bay and Denver. SF defense has been pretty good allowing just 252 ypg. Lions have absolutley no running game and SF blitzes on virtually every passing play so I think they will be able to put a lot of pressure on Harrington. SF has 18 sacks so far thru 4 games and Harrington has a tendency to turn the ball over at times when forced to throw. Detroit has some problems in the secondary as they have lost 2 of their top 4 CBs for the season in the last few weeks so I look for Garcia and Owens to finally get on track. I like SFs defense to shut down the Lions' so like the under as well.
New York Giants -1 -108, 3 units
Miami is never as good on the road and I'm sure the public is still remembering their huge win against Buffalo. Ruddy and Dixon are out on Miami's OL which could really be a problem as the Giants have some pretty good pass rushers in Strahan and Holmes and it will likely also hurt the running game. I really like the Giants' balance on offense as they have plenty of weapons. I think the Giants have a big advantage with Barber matched up against the Miami LBs as well and think he will have a big day especially in the passing game.
Green Bay -2 -108, 3 units
Green Bay is always tough at home and I think this Seattle team is a little overrated right now as they beat the Saints, Rams, and Cardinals none of which have been impressive. Bye week probably also came at a bad time as it killed their momentum. Green Bay's offense looked a lot better with Driver healthy again and Green is running the ball as well as anyone with 110 ypg and a 5.7 avg. I don't have a lot of faith in the Seattle secondary as Lucas has always been known to get burned and with Springs out they are starting the rookie Trufant at the other corner. Seattle also has a rookie K in Brown so if this is a close game I like my chances with the Packers.
Minnesota/Atlanta under 43, -108 2 units
Both teams are running the ball pretty well which should eat up some clock. Only chance Atlanta has is too try and control the ball with the run as their passing game has been pretty weak thus far. Minnesota's defense has looked great thus far and I think they can hold the Falcons in check. I think Frerotte and the Vikes may be "due" for a bad outing and have a feeling their offense may struggle a little here. Think one of these teams may struggle to score over 14-17 points so like the under.
