nfl wild card weekend

[KingB40]

Week 18: 14-8 +$1,145
Reg Season Overall: 94-78 $440


FINALLY got back in the green. Waited till the last week, but who cares. Playoffs...let's go!

Made 2 Bowl Team Bets that have carried through

Packers +1100 (200/2200)
Chiefs +400 (300/1200)



Raiders +6 220/200
Lotta Bengals love (for good reason), and the Raiders have probably been more lucky than good to get here. But this is the playoffs, and I think the Raiders know the only way they win or stay close is ball control. Think you're gonna see A LOT of Josh Jacobs and dink and dunk to Renfrow, Waller.


Raiders/Bengals Under 48.5 330/300
Going with the thinking that Vegas will try to play ball control/field position all game.



Pats +4.5 220/200
Bills seem to have righted most of their wrongs that made them a strong pick to make the Bowl pre-season/early season, but I'm just not betting against BB. Are Pats just satisfied with making the playoffs (with a rookie QB)? Yes, they are, but this is also a divisional opponent and one they always want to beat. Probably won't win, but 21-20 type game, here.


Pats/Bills Under 43.5 220/200
This clock will be running continuously with all the running that will take place in this game.



Props
Total # of upsets Wild Card weekend Over 2 100/135
Josh Jacobs over 62.5 rushing yards 165/150
Joe Burrow passing yards under 265.5 165/150
D. Harris over 62.5 rushing yards 230/200
J. Allen over 47.5 rushing yards 345/300
J. Allen anytime TD 200/296



GL All

 

[KingB40]

Sat: 4-5 -$190

What's that line gonna be on Chiefs/Bills after that performance??



Bucs -7 330/300
Lotta Eagles $$$ coming in and I liked it initially as the likelihood of a back door cover at 8-9 seemed inevitable, but at this number I'll fall for Brady. Know the Bucs are banged up (No Godwin-injury, No Fournette-injury, No AB-crazy), but the Eagles best win all year is a who's who of shit teams (Washingtonx2, and New Orleans). They got blown out by Dallas x2, KC, & Vegas. The previous game against TB they covered via the backdoor and I just don't see it this time. Credit Sirianni (and Hurts) for getting Philly into the Playoffs---Bucs 28-17

Props
Dovonta Smith anytime TD 100/230
M. Evans anytime TD 200/220
T Johnson anytime TD 100/250
Brady over 2.5 TD passes 100/175
Bucs win by 21-27 100/625



San Fran +3 330/300
Little less confident in this pick seeing that EVERYONE likes SF in this game (weird how that works), but I'm sticking with it. 9rs are probably the team that no one wants to see most in the NFC---on a roll, lots of playmakers, only 2 years removed from a SuperBowl appearance. Cowboys have played well most of the year (although it's questionable how good they are/can be after not beating any of the top flight opponents---KC, Arizona, TB), but no way I'm trusting McCarthy over Shanahan in a game of this magnitude. Should be the best game of the day


Props
D. Samuel anytime TD 240/200
Dak over 1.5 TD passes 660/300



Chiefs -7 1st half 480/400
Here's a look at how many pts the Steelers have scored in the 1st half of games dating back the last 10 games (Bal-3, Cle-10, KC-0, Tenn-3, Minn-0, Bal-3, Cin-3, LAC-10, Det-10, Chi-14). They've scored over 10 pts only 1 time in the last 10 games. That is not good, and won't work against the Chiefs. Actually, like the Steelers for the game, but will hold off and try to get a good 2nd half line (calling the Steelers a 2nd half team is an understatement).

Maybe a prop or 2 later.


GL All!

 

[KingB40]

Sunday: 5-5 +$360
Playoffs: 9-10 +$170



Tonight


Rams -3.5 440/400
Not a big fan of Stafford under the bright lights, but I think the coaching (McVay vs Kingsbury) and the D more than make up for my distaste. This game seems way bigger for the Rams than the Cards, too, with all the moves they've made and stars that are on their roster. It's superbowl or bust (think they go bust, just not this week).


Props
OBJ anytime TD 100/130



GL All!

 

[ezpickin]

Sunday: 5-5 +$360
Playoffs: 9-10 +$170



Tonight


Rams -3.5 440/400
Not a big fan of Stafford under the bright lights, but I think the coaching (McVay vs Kingsbury) and the D more than make up for my distaste. This game seems way bigger for the Rams than the Cards, too, with all the moves they've made and stars that are on their roster. It's superbowl or bust (think they go bust, just not this week).


Props
OBJ anytime TD 100/130



GL All!

Yup! Just remember "Superbowl or Bust" was Dallas motto as well!

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

 

[KingB40]

Good pt, EZ!

Wonder if the Cowboys will can McCarthy sooner than later...he's good for about 3 years then it's time to move on.