- May 12, 2013
- 1,176
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Some games that really stick out to me today:
4u HOU -6.5 (-113)
The Titans go on the road with the worst run D in the league and the Texans get Foster back after missing the last two games. Houston has lost their last 3 at home being defeated by Indy, Philly, and Cincy. In all 3 games the line was within +/- a FG to some pretty tough competition. I can see some play action opening up the field a bit after the running game is established and Johnson legit downfield threat who has been underachieving this season. I think there is some value in the line here given the Texans home woes against some recent good visiting foes and like the Texans D to get after the rookie if the Titans fall behind early and force the rookie into predictable drop back passing situations.
4u CAR ML (+115)
After a bye week the Panthers somehow find themselves only a half game out of the division lead sitting at 3-7-1. Anytime you tie a modern era NFL game you have to seriously wonder about your ability to be a contender but Carolina gets Tolbert back this week and Benjamin is a serious threat on the outside. Laying less than a FG at home after almost beating GB looks tempting and the bait is being taken with Minny being the highest % bet/lowest line fav home team in today's slate of games on the board. I think Carolina is in a good buy low scenario here and should make a push to get into the playoffs through their weak division competition.
4u JAX ML (+130)
There are about 50 times the amount of people that bet on the Giants than do the Jaguars, regardless of their records, and I'm not a big believer in books looking for balanced action on every game, so this line and the betting % stinks to me. Outside of Beckham Jr. the Giants have zero talent and the Jags secondary is healthy and although it was tough to get any worse, they have been improving on 3rd downs and as long as Bortles protects the ball I see the Jags getting the W against an equally suspect D.
4u HOU -6.5 (-113)
The Titans go on the road with the worst run D in the league and the Texans get Foster back after missing the last two games. Houston has lost their last 3 at home being defeated by Indy, Philly, and Cincy. In all 3 games the line was within +/- a FG to some pretty tough competition. I can see some play action opening up the field a bit after the running game is established and Johnson legit downfield threat who has been underachieving this season. I think there is some value in the line here given the Texans home woes against some recent good visiting foes and like the Texans D to get after the rookie if the Titans fall behind early and force the rookie into predictable drop back passing situations.
4u CAR ML (+115)
After a bye week the Panthers somehow find themselves only a half game out of the division lead sitting at 3-7-1. Anytime you tie a modern era NFL game you have to seriously wonder about your ability to be a contender but Carolina gets Tolbert back this week and Benjamin is a serious threat on the outside. Laying less than a FG at home after almost beating GB looks tempting and the bait is being taken with Minny being the highest % bet/lowest line fav home team in today's slate of games on the board. I think Carolina is in a good buy low scenario here and should make a push to get into the playoffs through their weak division competition.
4u JAX ML (+130)
There are about 50 times the amount of people that bet on the Giants than do the Jaguars, regardless of their records, and I'm not a big believer in books looking for balanced action on every game, so this line and the betting % stinks to me. Outside of Beckham Jr. the Giants have zero talent and the Jags secondary is healthy and although it was tough to get any worse, they have been improving on 3rd downs and as long as Bortles protects the ball I see the Jags getting the W against an equally suspect D.
