nolan's picks/my comments

pepin46

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Oct 6, 2000
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<<<<<<< NFL WEEK 3 >>>>>>>

RECOMMENDATIONS:

PITT / BUFF UNDER 36.5

Total is certainly not going to go up, but could very well drop to 36 or even 35.5 UNDER bettors are advised to get on this quick. Any number 36 and lower is recommended.

(AGREE STRONGLY*)


NY GIANTS -3

Later this week, heavy New York money will pour in on the Giants which could move the line up to -3.5. Line has no chance of dropping to -2.5, so move now if you want to play the Giants. I would be wary of laying -3.5 in this game.

(A PASS FOR ME. GIANTS HAVE ONLY SHOWN THEY CAN HANDLE K.C., WHO IS REALLY HURTING, AND BARELY A FAVORITE VS. NONE OTHER THAN WASHINGTON. N.O. HAD A LATE RALLY TO WIN AT BUFF. AND SHOULD BE READY FOR THIS ONE. PASS ANYWAY.*)


JACKSONVILLE -8

Get this before it moves to -8.5 or -9. As more bettors become aware of the vast discrepancy between these two teams, money will roll in on the Jaguars. Lay anything up to -10. If things go as predicted, they should win by double digits.

(AGREE*).


CINCINNATI +6.5

Line moved up, but may move down as some bettors start looking for a middle opportunity. The +6.5 also gives us a great TEASER value at +12.5 Take Cincy plus anything above +4.

(AGREE AND WOULD ADD THAT IF WE ARE CORRECT, THE OVER IS A GIVEN*).



TEASER: CINCY +12 / JAX -2

Teaser recommended on Jacksonville at -2.5 or lower. If line is 3 this is more problematic. You must get Cincy plus 10.5 or higher and lay no more than -2.5 on JAX,

(AGREE-NICE TEASER*).



TEASER: OAKLAND -4.5 / JAX -2 (recommended Thursday)

Lay no more than -2.5 on JAX. Oakland is a bargain at anything under a TD.

(ANOTHER NICE TEASER*).


INDY /NEW ENGLAND UNDER 44

"44" is a key number in totals. I want this before it drops to 43.5 or lower, based on news that Pats will start new QB. Play anything above 43.

(STRONGLY AGREE*).


NY JETS -3 (-120)

No chance this line moves below 3, but could rise again to 3.5. See comments about NY Giants which apply here. If you get a line of -3.5, I'd buy the half-point down to -3 if possible. Pass on -3.5.

(DISAGREE. JETS WERE BEGGING N.E. TO TAKE THAT GAME AND GOT AWAY WITH IT. LOOKED REAL BAD AND BROKE AGAINST INDY AT HOME. S.F. SHOULD WIN AMPLY*).



ARIZONA +3

You must get +3 or higher to play the Cardinals.

(STRONG DISAGREEMENT. ARIZONA IS JUST TERRIBLE. ATLANTA, WHILE IN A TRANCE AT S.F., DID COME BACK AND ASSERT THEMSELVES AGAINST CAROLINA. THESE TWO TEAMS PLAY IN VERY DIFFERENT LEAGUES*).

(ADDING (pep)):

(WILL STICK WITH G.B., WHO APPEAR TO BE ON A MISSION. NO LOOKING FORWARD TO ANYTHING HERE.)

(DENVER IS TOO CHEAP TO PASS, AND SHOW A CLEAR DISTANCE FROM BALTIMORE, PLUS HOME CROWD).


message from pep:

(CAPS, "()", and "asterisk", ARE MY COMMENTS AFTER NOLAN'S)

i have taken it upon myself to highlight nolan's picks (with his consent), to give us a chance to agree or disagree, something we can't do in the "free picks" folder. it worked wonders last week; we will see this week. this is not a private club, and if you have compelling reasons to agree or disagree, it would be in the interest of all of us for you to jump in with your observations.


pep
 

pepin46

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i should have also added:

kc/wash under. these two are going nowhere, having one heck of a time scoring. k.c., at least, appears to have enough defense to keep washington in check. should one of them "wake up" with a few scores, the under is still a possibility.


pep

pep
 

djv

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Nov 4, 2000
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Im also hopeing Jack's is not last weeks Carolina. Man i wonder how many took a hit with Carl +3.5 last week.
 

djv

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Nov 4, 2000
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Pep if your staying with G Bay. I believe you may want the over also. One other thought. They bring St Lou O/U number down to 44 from the low to mid 50 it has been with Warner healthy. Miami showing some O. Might be last 44 we see on St Lou. Over is worth a look.
 
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