Round 3 play (2pts):
Henrik Stenson to beat Jens Dantorp -225 @ Paddy Power, BetVictor, ToteSport and BetFred [available generally]
A mismatch between the #2-ranked player in the world against #385. Dantorp is playing on his home course and he used that to good effect when securing a share of the 1st round lead on Thursday, but from that position he was four-over-par after the opening 10 holes of today's round. That suggests that he wasn't coping with the pressure too well, which doesn't bode too well for tomorrow when he is paired with Henrik Stenson with both players in 4th place. I would expect Stenson to beat him at least two of every three occasions when in this position, so I do think that there is value in these odds.
[unofficial rd3 system plays: Stenson tb Gallacher -213; Jacquelin tb Jamieson -110; Larrazabal tb Wattel -125; Morrison tb Gee -138]