not over yet

selkirk

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Jul 16, 1999
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we finally got a small rally yesterday, however even on an up day there was plenty of concerns for the bulls.

GE just keeps falling like a stone, the div was cut, and next will be the credit rating which if cut hurts the basic business plan of the company.

most of the large US bank stocks have not rallied and also face downgrades to their credit ratings.
the govt...still has not real solution other than buying billions of dollars of preferred and common equity in zombie banks,that are gone.

the car companies are another example, instead of a going bankrupt and re-orgainzing, their are clinging to life while taking billions in govt aid....at the end it will make no difference.


there are plenty of stocks that are really cheap and look like great buys,...they probably are long term....still going to wait until we have a few better days, and some of these problems are answered....never could time a market turn.

thanks
selkirk
 

djv

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Nov 4, 2000
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WE don,t agree much on the poltics of the country. But here we can find much we do.I agree this is a great time to have some cash on the side. I can not believe some of these great companies stock prices. I think your right wait alittle longer. I want to see 3/4 days of up with no drops. But I would say pick 2/3 stocks and be ready. I would say if there was a stock you liked at 50/60 and is now 17/18 you should not change your mind.
 

selkirk

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Jul 16, 1999
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DJV agree, actually have been expecting, and have been wrong of a rally. you can often have a strong rally in a bear market.

however there has been none, just a constant grind lower. agree there are some great stocks...have written some puts at levels that thought were very low, and yes the stocks are approaching these levels.

in Feb had CNQ put to me at 40cdn. so increased my postion in that stock by 70%. will talk more about later.
there are many stocks with cash on hand or yes still profitable and are all but ignored...so will buy slowly and wait.

have no short positions out at this time, do have uncovered calls out, but these are much higher than the current stock price +20%.

as for politics DJV, I am sure you and me would agree on some items and disagree on others. in fact do not discuss politics, on social issue probably more liberal, and on fiscal policies more conservative. however there are good and bad of most parties.

by the way last night there was a documentary on "the passionate eye" on cbc newsworld in cdn.
called inside the meltdown.

it was very well done, do not watch that show anywmore but got an email from someone who saw the ad....

very good doc.

thanks
selkirk
 
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