NY @ MIAMI - Interesting movement

[T]

02/27 03:15 PM +361 -420
02/27 02:40 PM +365 -425
02/27 02:38 PM +369 -430
02/27 01:30 PM +377 -440
02/27 10:57 AM +389 -455
02/27 10:56 AM +397 -465
02/27 10:37 AM +408 -480
02/27 10:14 AM +416 -490*
02/27 10:12 AM +408 -480*
02/27 09:21 AM +416 -490*
02/27 09:20 AM +435 -515
02/27 08:16 AM +450 -535
02/27 07:24 AM +454 -540


One hiccup otherwise straight down...

I see alot of love for NY tonight and alot of discussion about Lebron and his mask.

Waiting for some info on starters.

 

[T]

MIKE CALLAHAN

Home Fav - 5-9.5 is 9-4 ATS
Total -195-204.5 is 3-8 ATS

JOHN GOBLE

Home Fav - 5-9.5 is 2-12 ATS
Total -195-204.5 is 9-8 ATS

MATT BOLAND

Home Fav - 5-9.5 is 7-13 ATS
Total -195-204.5 is 7-7 ATS

These 3 refs in place tonight - 18-29 ATS 38% So by the numbers the Knicks play would hit 62%.

 

[T]

Miami is 0-5 ATS this season as a 9-9.5 FAV but 8-8.5 are 4-2 ATS.
NY is 0-3 ATS this season as a 9-9.5 DOG but 8-8.5 are 2-0 ATS.

Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Knicks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Knicks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Heat are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Heat are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.


GLARING 9-0 ATS FOR THE OVER....Looks to easy.

 

[MadJack]

Not mine, just sharing.
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TOTALS
MOST BET TOTAL: NEW YORK MIAMI OVER 202


NOTES: No surprises here with the early leg of the double header being the most bet total. If the game stays under, then there is a big double down on the late game over. Happens every Thursday night. This total has started to move down at some shops, I am keen on leaving it where I am as no one really wants to volunteer to back the under. Overall, 13 of the last 17 meetings between these two familiar opponents have stayed under the total. Miami has thrived on defense against poor teams, and have kept their last five against teams with losing records under the total. Against the Eastern Conference, they have played five in a row under the total as well. Going back through the last ten match-ups between these two, the average point total is 190. They have met twice this season with totals of 196 and 201, both of which stayed under. National television could slow things down tonight a little bit I feel. Lebron is listed as probable, which means we more than likely see him vs. Carmelo, which means less possessions and slower pace. Have to like the under here.