Originally posted by Nolan Dalla:
I would go with the +110 UNDER 5.5 in a heartbeat, but I don't like the empty goal fears. I can see it now -- Isles up 3-2, Tampa pull the goaltender and Isles score a trash goal pushing the total to 6.
Thanks for the replies thus far.
Nolan Dalla
Hi Nolan.
I'm surprised you would go with the 5 1/2. I see the difference between -130 and +110 is 30.
We know the three senarios would be.....
Player 1 Under 6 -130
Player 2 Under 5 1/2 +110
Total goals at 5
Player 1 +100 (W)
Player 2 +110 (W)
Total goals at 6
Player 1 Even (P)
Player 2 -100 (L)
Total goals 7
Player 1 -130 (L)
Player 2 -100 (L)
I look at it this way, do you take the under 6 and risk the possibility of losing the extra $30 or take the under 5 1/2 and risk the possibility of losing the $100.
I sometimes bet runlines in baseball (hope Jack doesn't read this
), say a choice of a team at -180 or -1 1/2 +100. Is it worth the risk, it is for me.
Goalies are far more important than pitchers as the goalies will play the whole game, pitchers usually don't. The run lines are usually between 7 1/2-9 1/2 where hockey is 5-6, the % of win/loss is greater I think.
Just my opinion but that 1/2 goal I think is very big, I'd lay the juice for the 6.
(But remember, were not to bright up here, we landed here instead of taking Hawaii)
What would you do if you liked the OVER ??
[This message has been edited by Centre Ice (edited 10-05-2001).]