O-V-E-R stuffed!

vvegas29

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Sep 2, 2006
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Hope you all had a great TG!! Love some Friday football!

Big Plays:

TX & TXAM Over 55.5 (biggest play)
Over is 15-5 in TXAM last 20 road games.
Over is 11-4-1 in TXAM last 16 games in November.
Over is 11-4-2 in TXAM last 17 games overall.
Over is 17-6-1 in TEXAS last 24 games overall.

Not only these good trends to support this play. Longhorns stout at stuffing the run, but their pass D has been average at best (7.3yds avg). A&M strength in the passing game. Should be a lot of clock stoppage, making it a long game and plenty of scoring.

Colorado +14.5
Ugh - hate betting on bad teams...BUT,
Huskers likely looking ahead to next week's Big XII title game, with zero meaning for this week's meeting. Trends to support:

Underdog is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
COL are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.


Oregon +3.5
Tough game, but I'm leaning with more powerful offense averaging 80 more yards a game this year than opponent. OSU does not run effectively and the Duck pass D is their strong suit on that side of the ball. Being on the road I understand the line, but more willing to take the pts than give 'em.

Also Like:

TXAM +13.5 (lots of pts for UT weak pass D)
Miami (Ohio) +3.5 (solid home dog play)

YTD 37-28-3
 

shayj1634

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Sep 10, 2006
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Great call on the over!!! Should be a ton of points scored in this one.


:toast:
 

vvegas29

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Sep 2, 2006
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Dammit! 6-0 at half. This game was screaming over, and now I'm screaming.

Backing up 2nd half over 24 - BIG. A lot of ball movement in 1st quarter. UT stifled on opening drive after marching down field. HT adjustments bring them out gunning..... I HOPE.

Smart to tread lightly, and since I'm not that smart with this bet, I'm doubling up on 2nd half.
 
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