Oh do I have a good one for Wednesday!!!

[Nickelback]

Take Kansas over Princeton and get in on this one early as the line will certainly move up the entire day.

When people think about Princeton, they think of a team that slows the tempo of basketball games and play smart. However, this Princeton team is ANYTHING but smart as they turn the ball over an average of 15 times a game. I saw this Princeton team against George Washington and it was amazing how difficult it was for them to get the ball inside. They took 38 three pointers that game because their frontcourt was clearly dominated by GW. Kansas has an amazing frontcourt this year and will have a field day against Princeton. The Jayhawks will have absolutely no problem getting the ball inside and on the defensive side forcing Princeton to try and put up the three's to stay in the game.

Vegas has kept this line a little lower than it should be because Princeton is at home and people will remember the old Princeton teams and expect them to slow the tempo of this game. Be ready because it WON'T happen!

 

[dr. freeze]

looks good.....i like those thoughts.....thanks....

 

[Nickelback]

Thanks for the compliment freeze. . .

Here's some more info. for this game:

Princeton's FG percentage is 45% so far this year with 44 attempts per game on average. They are hitting 72% of their free throws averaging 18 attempts per game. Their 3 point shooting is at 35% averaging 22 attempts per game.

Kansas has an FG percentage of 54% on sixty five attempts per game. They are hitting almost 70% of their free throws attempting 27 per game. Their three point shooting is at 40% averaging 12 attempts per game.

So why the huge discrepancy in attempted field goals per game (Kansas is taking 21 more shots than Princeton on average)? The answer is obvious! Kansas makes a living by rebounding the ball! Princeton doesn't. . .

Kansas is averaging 42 rebounds per game while Princeton is only averaging 24! Kansas takes 33% more free throws per game than Princeton because they rely on getting the ball inside to their frontcourt instead of taking 3 point shots which is why they only take 12 three pointers per game.

Half of Princeton's shots per game are 3 pointers (22 out of 44) because they cannot get the ball inside! This will only get worse against Kansas.

If I dig up any more information, I'll be sure to post it under this thread, but I REALLY like Kansas for this game.

I think part of the reason that this line has opened at only 12 is due to the fact that Princeton only lost at Maryland by 8 points. However, if you take a look at the stats, the Terripans had an awful shooting night and they do not have the same frontcourt that Kansas does.

Good luck. . .

[This message has been edited by Nickelback (edited 12-12-2001).]

 

[double down]

Awesome!!

Hopefully this line will keep steady until my local releases a line later today.

 

[Jdog22]

Im on it with ya Nickelback. Nice write-up

 

[Kdogg21]

I hear ya. KU the pick of the day. Thanks

 

[nighthorse]

I think the more obvious answer for the shot difference is that KU runs the floor and Princeton takes the air out of the ball. KU gives up 14 more pts. per game. No one would argue that Princeton has better defense. Don't get me wrong, I like KU. I base it on KU having much better athletes in general and Princeton not being as good as we're accustomed to. If Princeton can control tempo, they cover. The bet is that they will be overwhelmed on both sides of the ball and unable to sit on the ball. GTLA

 

[Nickelback]

Went ahead and took Kansas laying 13 for even money. . . I know other books have the line at 12 which I would obviously prefer, but I just don't see this line coming down.

Still looking at Kansas laying 7 for the first half. . .

 

[andone]

I'm with ya on this on too. Good call.

 

[Nickelback]

Went ahead and placed a nice sized wager on Kansas laying 7 at even money for the 1st half. The Jayhawks have gone to halftime with double digit leads all season long with the exception to Seton Hall. No reason to suggest they won't start out strong in this one as well. . .

3 nickels on Kansas for the 1st half

2.5 nickels on Kansas for the game

We'll see how things look at halftime as this game will be on ESPN2.

 

[Sick Dog]

Princeton is 40-8 su at home vs non conference teams the last 10 yrs and has not allowed more than 78 pts in any game.
Kansas is 12-38 ats in non conference games when they score less than 80 pts.

 

[Nickelback]

Sick Dog,

Once again, my main argument is that Princeton is not a team like they used to be in previous years. . . therefore your stats are meaningless since they span 10 years!

This is a different Princeton team. . .

Not to mention, how many non conference games in the past 10 years have Princeton played where their opponent is the same caliber as Kansas???? LOL

[This message has been edited by Nickelback (edited 12-12-2001).]

 

[Sick Dog]

Ok Nickelback
this homer is in on Kansas -12

 

[Cabo]

Great Call With Kansas -12. I lok for a 21 pt win. Also dont let santa clara fool ya, they too will get destroyed by Ohio State by 25+..Cabo...

 

[dr. freeze]

very good call....regardless of the outcome, which looks clear right now, princeton is very very overmatched and Kansas laying 25 would be the right play....

thanks for the research and the writeup as it clearly led to a strong play and that is all you can ask for.......

 

[Sick Dog]

Hey doc hows it look now ?

 

[Nickelback]

That first half bullshit is almost enough to get me to stop betting on sports altogether. . . can't believe I lost that first half bet. . . Kansas played the end of the 1st half like a bunch of pussies. . .

What a joke

 

[dr. freeze]

ku is right play....they should not have let up......princeton may cover but as i said regardless kansas will cover this one more often than not....

 

[REBEL YELL]

The first half was a tough to lose.

 

[Nickelback]

Well y'all, it was the right side after all despite the fact that my dumbass decided to wager more on the first half than for the game. . . I expected a potential backdoor to occur in the 2nd half. . . not the first!

Anyways, I post my plays on occasion when I have reason to believe they are worthy for others to get in on and hopefully I'll be back again soon if and when I find something solid.

Congrats to those who played the game. . . for those who played the first half with me. . . I almost threw my TV out the window!