Round 4 plays (4pts):
Jason Bohn to beat Charley Hoffman -114 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, Paddy Power and The Greek]
Opposing Hoffman who has been in poor form for some time - he has missed five of nine cuts since July and has a best finish of 30th in that period. He was also well-placed last week, but shot 75 on Sunday to finish 35th, so I'm expecting his confidence to be still rather brittle. In fact, even when he was competing more regularly, he has struggled to convert his chances in recent years: in the last five occasions that he has started the final round in the top-5, he has shot 77-72-74-71-76 in rd4, dropping between 5 and 20 places each time. Bohn leads the event, but he was 3rd here last year and 2nd last week so confidence should be high and he is 1-for-1 when sole leader at the start of rd4 on the PGA Tour.
John Huh to beat Charley Hoffman +100 @ Bet365
Huh won here two years ago and now in 12th place, he looks set for another high finish on this course. He has improved his leaderboard with each successive round and I expect him to take advantage of any problems that Hoffman may have today.
Nicholas Thompson to beat Danny Lee +101 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes and The Greek]
Lee has started the final round inside the top-10 on 12 occasions in the last three years - not once has he finished that round in a higher leaderboard position, so I don't expect him to do so today, particularly as he has recorded just one top-10 finish this year (29 attempts). Thompson has shown better form recently and shouldn't be the underdog in this situation.
[unofficial rd4 system play: Kelly tb Stefani -115]