Omega European Masters
- Thread starter PGS
- Start date
Round 1 plays (1pt):
Brett Rumford to beat Gregory Havret -125 @ Five Dimes
Rumford is clearly the form player after his 3rd place finish in the Johnnie Walker Championship last week, but course form is important on unusual courses and they don't come more specialised than a course high in the Swiss Alps. So, in terms of course form, Havret's record of six missed cuts from seven attempts (62nd on the other occasion) point to him struggling to repeat last week's form at this week's altitude. Rumford has made the cut here in each of the last five years, winning in 2007, so it would be fair to expect a big improvement in performance this week.
Bradley Dredge to beat Danny Lee -105 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
The same is also true of this matchup, though Dredge's recent form is more closely matched to his opponent than Rumford's: both Dredge and Lee have recorded top-10 finishes in the last two weeks. This will be Lee's debut on this course, so he should struggle, whereas Dredge's record over the last seven years at Crans-sur-Sierre reads: 4th, 20th, 15th, 1st, 3rd, 55th.
Oliver Wilson to beat Peter Hanson -125 @ Unibet
In the final match, the selection not only possesses the important superior course form, but is, in this case, playing the better golf at the moment - he has finished in the top-30 in each of his last five starts and he has improved in each of his three visits to Crans-sur-Sierre, finishing 23rd, 17th and 5th (in 2007 he held the lead after both the 1st and 2nd rounds). Hanson has made the weekend just twice in four attempts, with a best finish of 40th here.
Brett Rumford to beat Gregory Havret -125 @ Five Dimes
Rumford is clearly the form player after his 3rd place finish in the Johnnie Walker Championship last week, but course form is important on unusual courses and they don't come more specialised than a course high in the Swiss Alps. So, in terms of course form, Havret's record of six missed cuts from seven attempts (62nd on the other occasion) point to him struggling to repeat last week's form at this week's altitude. Rumford has made the cut here in each of the last five years, winning in 2007, so it would be fair to expect a big improvement in performance this week.
Bradley Dredge to beat Danny Lee -105 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
The same is also true of this matchup, though Dredge's recent form is more closely matched to his opponent than Rumford's: both Dredge and Lee have recorded top-10 finishes in the last two weeks. This will be Lee's debut on this course, so he should struggle, whereas Dredge's record over the last seven years at Crans-sur-Sierre reads: 4th, 20th, 15th, 1st, 3rd, 55th.
Oliver Wilson to beat Peter Hanson -125 @ Unibet
In the final match, the selection not only possesses the important superior course form, but is, in this case, playing the better golf at the moment - he has finished in the top-30 in each of his last five starts and he has improved in each of his three visits to Crans-sur-Sierre, finishing 23rd, 17th and 5th (in 2007 he held the lead after both the 1st and 2nd rounds). Hanson has made the weekend just twice in four attempts, with a best finish of 40th here.
The Omega European Masters for September 3rd to 6th.
The Omega European Masters for September 3rd to 6th.
Outrights to Win the Whole Tournament (Thursday - Sunday) :
2 Units : Rory McIlroy to Win @ 10 : 1. tied for seventh.
2 Units : Lee Westwood to Win @ 10 : 1.
1 Unit : Oliver Wilson to Win @ 30 : 1.
2/3 Unit : Alvaro Quiros to Win @ 30 : 1.
2/3 Unit : Bradley Dredge to Win @ 30 : 1. Damn, SECOND PLACE.
1/3 Unit : Darren Clarke to Win @ 40 : 1.
1/3 Unit : Carl Schwartzel to Win @ 45 : 1. Sixth place.
No tournament matchups stuck out to me (despite sweeping my four European matchups last week) so I'm not going to force the issue there but put a little more into the outright pool in hopes of turning a profit.
.
The Omega European Masters for September 3rd to 6th.
Outrights to Win the Whole Tournament (Thursday - Sunday) :
2 Units : Rory McIlroy to Win @ 10 : 1. tied for seventh.
2 Units : Lee Westwood to Win @ 10 : 1.
1 Unit : Oliver Wilson to Win @ 30 : 1.
2/3 Unit : Alvaro Quiros to Win @ 30 : 1.
2/3 Unit : Bradley Dredge to Win @ 30 : 1. Damn, SECOND PLACE.
1/3 Unit : Darren Clarke to Win @ 40 : 1.
1/3 Unit : Carl Schwartzel to Win @ 45 : 1. Sixth place.
No tournament matchups stuck out to me (despite sweeping my four European matchups last week) so I'm not going to force the issue there but put a little more into the outright pool in hopes of turning a profit.
.
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Outright
Oliver Wilson 30.5/1
Jeev Singh 50/1
Andres Romero 79/1
Gareth Maybin 88/1
Pablo Larrazabal 225/1
Oliver Wilson 30.5/1
Jeev Singh 50/1
Andres Romero 79/1
Gareth Maybin 88/1
Pablo Larrazabal 225/1
Outrights:
Miguel Angel Jimenez(25/1) e.w.
- - Savvy and a little underfed.
Rafa Echenique(80/1) e.w.
- - Profile and game to match the venue.
Raphael Jacquelin(60/1) e.w.
- - I remember his dislikes on his website from years ago included playing when it's cold or wet . . . and would swear that since reading that, it's seemed to me he plays as well or better in those conditions than he does when it's hot and dry, or just ideal. Go figure.
Ignacio Garrido(80/1) e.w.
- - Price too short, but I'm in.
Paul Broadhurst(340/1 to Win and 44/1 Top 5)
- - Scrambling and savvy are crucial here, registering as decent form on my radar, given a shout at 66/1 here last year, I believe.
GL
Miguel Angel Jimenez(25/1) e.w.
- - Savvy and a little underfed.
Rafa Echenique(80/1) e.w.
- - Profile and game to match the venue.
Raphael Jacquelin(60/1) e.w.
- - I remember his dislikes on his website from years ago included playing when it's cold or wet . . . and would swear that since reading that, it's seemed to me he plays as well or better in those conditions than he does when it's hot and dry, or just ideal. Go figure.
Ignacio Garrido(80/1) e.w.
- - Price too short, but I'm in.
Paul Broadhurst(340/1 to Win and 44/1 Top 5)
- - Scrambling and savvy are crucial here, registering as decent form on my radar, given a shout at 66/1 here last year, I believe.
GL
Round 2 plays (1pt):
Matteo Manassero to beat Danny Lee +150 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Matteo Manassero to beat Tano Goya -130 @ Five Dimes
Bradley Dredge to beat Danny Lee -115 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Matteo Manassero to beat Danny Lee +150 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Matteo Manassero to beat Tano Goya -130 @ Five Dimes
Bradley Dredge to beat Danny Lee -115 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Round 3 plays (1pt):
Graeme McDowell to beat Gareth Maybin -133 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Matteo Manassero to beat Tano Goya -125 @ Five Dimes
Jeev Milkha Singh to beat David Howell -133 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Graeme McDowell to beat Gareth Maybin -133 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Matteo Manassero to beat Tano Goya -125 @ Five Dimes
Jeev Milkha Singh to beat David Howell -133 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Round 4 plays (1pt):
Miguel Angel Jimenez to beat Bradley Dredge -120 @ Bet365 [also available @ SkyBet]
Matteo Manassero to beat Paul McGinley -125 @ Five Dimes
Matteo Manassero to beat Michael Lorenzo-Vera +108 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Miguel Angel Jimenez to beat Bradley Dredge -120 @ Bet365 [also available @ SkyBet]
Matteo Manassero to beat Paul McGinley -125 @ Five Dimes
Matteo Manassero to beat Michael Lorenzo-Vera +108 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
