one play

spang

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54-64 -23.6 :shrug:

Just going to play one large two team tease this week. I have been spending much time studying week after week and taking up space with lengthy analysis that just has not proven fruitful for me or anybody else.

I see no real reason to continue to bother.

Cinci -9 / NIU -5 11 units to win 10 units.

That's it for this week.
 

Mr. Poon

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I have been spending much time studying week after week and taking up space with lengthy analysis that just has not proven fruitful for me or anybody else.

I see no real reason to continue to bother.

not true man, you kept me away from the Bobcats last week and I was truly grateful. Still appreciate your insight man.
 

rocky mountain

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not true man, you kept me away from the Bobcats last week and I was truly grateful. Still appreciate your insight man.
That is right! i went down with your plays last week, but I always follow your plays and your logic, and felt the same way about them. Last yr i lost my ass! Could have added my hole but no idea where that dis-appeared to last yr! In any event, 2 weeks can turn your shit around, i have said this before, this ball ain't round , theres no telling which way it will bounce. Stop taking it so hard, you are a very good handi-capper, drink a straight up bourban, take a shot , chug a beer, do not dis-appear though! Follow your instinct, Bro!
GL always Rocky
 

Skipper

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Hang in there Spang - I am right there with you this year and it has been tough. People cannot bitch when you make your plays based on logic and time studying and then crazy shit happens on Saturday. Hawkeye has been about the only one on this board that has been able to stay consistent with all the crazy things that have happened this season.

Chip away and you will get it back. And repeat after me:

I WILL NOT BET THE MAC
I WILL NOT BET THE MAC
I WILL NOT BET THE MAC


:mj07:
 

Skipper

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When Ball State and EMU score 56 and Bowling Green and CMich only combine for 34, you know that there is nothing logical about that conference.
 

Cie

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I should have listened to you and other MAC gurus and stayed off of BG last week. Thanks for your input as always. Sometimes it is wise to take a step back.

GL, sir:toast:
 

Irish

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GL Spang! That conference is a little odd this season.

Cheers
Irish
 

spang

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Thanks for the comments guys. I didn't mean to create any drama this week. I am upset with the record and $$ that I have dropped this year but I can take the hit and I'm not done yet. I just didn't see a lot this week so I am sticking with the big tease.
The goal was to get Cincy under 10 and NIU under 7.
I have been spending most of my free time to bone up on MAC hoops. I do prefer college hoops to any other sport, both as a spectator and a gambler.

Hawk,

My source has Pike at very doubtful and I don't care.
I made the play thinking that Collaros would be the guy. I'm a big fan of Zach Collaros and have followed him from his HS days in Ohio. He could be be the starter for a ton of schools and the Bearcats don't miss a beat when he's out there.

Agecee,

Obviously I like NIU a bunch or I wouldn't have used them in my tease. they didn't play very well the last two weeks on the road but come back home to face the depleted Zips.We discussed the Zips giving up last week and while they played a spirited first half at Syc. they really got grinded down in the 2nd. I think both a lack of depth and lack of heart came into play. NIU is the type of team that can control the ball and grind the Zips down again. I think both NIU and Cincy cover double digits . I just wanted to be very cautious this week so I teased them down.

No opinion on the Toledo total but both Opelt and Dantin should finally be good to go. Opelt should be back at QB for the Rockets.

Skip,

I can't get away from the MAC. It's where I'm at and where I can get much more info from. Damn WMU has accounted for at least half of my losses this year. It's just been one of those seasons up to this point. You were right about that Ball St total last week, just unbelievable.

Cie,

BG really should have covered last week. 2 red zone TOs had a very dramatic effect on the game. They didn't play that badly.
 

spang

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So with Opelet back whats your take on the Toledo game?

I lean towards Miami and the points. I just don't trust the Rockets on the road and Miami is a funny team. When they take care of the ball they can hang in there and they have been covering some big numbers lately. I'm staying away for sure.
 

spang

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Thanks JB, Love the Oregon play, adding it to my card.

Ok , I broke down and pitched a few more dollars into all 3 shops.I didn't really think I could just stick to just one play. Adding :

Oregon +3 2 units
Oregon ML +135 1 unit

CMU/ BC under 50' 4 units
CMU ML +175 1 unit

LeFevour gets all the ink for CMU and he is a fine dual threat QB that should play on Sundays. However, it's CMU's defense that has really improved this year and that unit does not get nearly enough credit. I'm not at all convinced that BC is the better team here but they're at home and the under seems like the better play. Still, I'll take a small stab on the best MAC team by far on the ML.

NIU -12 2 units
Huskies back home and should dominate both fronts vs. a depleted Akron team that is very close to mailing it in for the season. NIU is back home for what should be 3 straight blowouts after two tough games on the road. Huskies roll.

EMU/ Ark under 60. 1 unit

The eagles probably get shut out so does Arky really want to put up 56/60 pts ? Im guessing no

Ind/ Iowa under 47' 1 unit

I've been on Iowa unders and see no reason to jump off today.

That's it for now, but will probably be on NIU for a 2H bet. Akron is demontrating a trend to get worn down. Their lack of depth is really showing up late in games. :sadwave:
 
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