Open de France
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Round 1 plays (4pts):
Alejandro Canizares to beat Chris Wood +115 @ 5Dimes
Easy to oppose Wood. He returned to action after a two-month injury layoff in the Volvo World Match Play Championship where he progressed through the round-robin stage, but lost in the next round and then played the following week in the BMW PGA Championship, but had to withdraw through injury again. He could finally return to practising last week, so I really doubt that he will be competitive on this tough course. Canizares, for his part, has two top-10 finishes in his last four starts and lost in a playoff for this title in 2010.
Alexander Noren to beat Joost Luiten +100 @ 5Dimes
Two players in great form - Noren has finished 4th in his last two starts and Luiten has finished 11th, 1st, 10th and 2nd in his last four starts. But Luiten has yet to finish in the top-40 in three attempts on this course, whereas Noren has played in each of the last six years and improved his position every time - last year he finished 15th, but had been 2nd at the cut. On that basis, there is enough value in these odds to warrant a play on the Swede on this particular course.
Peter Lawrie to beat Gregory Bourdy +100 @ Pinnacle [also available @ Bet365]
These two have played in ten common events in 2013, but Bourdy has only finished ahead of Lawrie twice. With a poor record on this course, apart from 6th in 2010, he should struggle to beat Lawrie who has played in the last ten Opens de France and missed the cut only once (2004).
Alejandro Canizares to beat Chris Wood +115 @ 5Dimes
Easy to oppose Wood. He returned to action after a two-month injury layoff in the Volvo World Match Play Championship where he progressed through the round-robin stage, but lost in the next round and then played the following week in the BMW PGA Championship, but had to withdraw through injury again. He could finally return to practising last week, so I really doubt that he will be competitive on this tough course. Canizares, for his part, has two top-10 finishes in his last four starts and lost in a playoff for this title in 2010.
Alexander Noren to beat Joost Luiten +100 @ 5Dimes
Two players in great form - Noren has finished 4th in his last two starts and Luiten has finished 11th, 1st, 10th and 2nd in his last four starts. But Luiten has yet to finish in the top-40 in three attempts on this course, whereas Noren has played in each of the last six years and improved his position every time - last year he finished 15th, but had been 2nd at the cut. On that basis, there is enough value in these odds to warrant a play on the Swede on this particular course.
Peter Lawrie to beat Gregory Bourdy +100 @ Pinnacle [also available @ Bet365]
These two have played in ten common events in 2013, but Bourdy has only finished ahead of Lawrie twice. With a poor record on this course, apart from 6th in 2010, he should struggle to beat Lawrie who has played in the last ten Opens de France and missed the cut only once (2004).
Outrights:
Simon Khan(150/1) e.w.
Graeme Storm(140/1) e.w.
Raphael Jacquelin(50/1) e.w.
Gregory Havret(70/1) e.w.
Victor Dubuisson(100/1) e.w.
Richard Sterne(50/1) e.w.
Thomas Aiken(125/1) e.w.
David Lynn(80/1) e.w.
Bernd Wiesberger(33/1) e.w.
Ian Poulter(25/1) e.w.
Soren Kjeldsen(100/1) e.w.
GL
Simon Khan(150/1) e.w.
Graeme Storm(140/1) e.w.
Raphael Jacquelin(50/1) e.w.
Gregory Havret(70/1) e.w.
Victor Dubuisson(100/1) e.w.
Richard Sterne(50/1) e.w.
Thomas Aiken(125/1) e.w.
David Lynn(80/1) e.w.
Bernd Wiesberger(33/1) e.w.
Ian Poulter(25/1) e.w.
Soren Kjeldsen(100/1) e.w.
GL
Round 4 plays (2pts):
Simon Dyson to beat Richard Green +100 @ Paddy Power [available generally]
Green has been in very poor form, missing his last three cuts and is without a top-20 finish in 11 European Tour starts this year. As such, and ranking 55th in greens in regulation this week, it is a surprise to see him inside the top-3 with one round to play. Dyson hasn't finished behind Green since April, and I'll back him at this price to continue this run.
Thomas Bjorn to beat Graeme McDowell +100 @ Paddy Power
With finishes of 4th, 2nd, 2nd, and 18th in his last four starts, Bjorn is the form player in this matchup and he enters the final round of this event in the top-10. For McDowell, it is very different situation: in his last seven starts, he has missed the cut five times and won the event on the other two occasions. As such, he deservedly leads the market at the moment, but given such inconsistent form recently, the player to back in this matchup should be the one who has been playing consistently well for some time.
Simon Dyson to beat Richard Green +100 @ Paddy Power [available generally]
Green has been in very poor form, missing his last three cuts and is without a top-20 finish in 11 European Tour starts this year. As such, and ranking 55th in greens in regulation this week, it is a surprise to see him inside the top-3 with one round to play. Dyson hasn't finished behind Green since April, and I'll back him at this price to continue this run.
Thomas Bjorn to beat Graeme McDowell +100 @ Paddy Power
With finishes of 4th, 2nd, 2nd, and 18th in his last four starts, Bjorn is the form player in this matchup and he enters the final round of this event in the top-10. For McDowell, it is very different situation: in his last seven starts, he has missed the cut five times and won the event on the other two occasions. As such, he deservedly leads the market at the moment, but given such inconsistent form recently, the player to back in this matchup should be the one who has been playing consistently well for some time.
