Open de Madrid

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1pt):

David Howell to win 16/1 e.w. @ UKBetting, Totalbet and Coral
With top-5 finishes in his last two starts and a strong of high finishes that earned him his Ryder Cup place, Howell is the in-form player in this field. His record on this course and in Spain in general may be average, but he has never played with such confidence and if he continues to putt as well as he is doing, he will certainly be challenging for this title.

Nick O'Hern to win 20/1 e.w. available generally
Another in-form player who top-10 finishes in three of his last four starts and a string of top-10 finishes throughout the year. Not quite in the same form as Howell, but with finishes of 14th and 2nd in his two previous visits to Club de Campo, there is every reason to expect O'Hern to also be among the contenders on Sunday.

Brian Davis to win 33/1 e.w. @ William Hill
When in Spain, Davis should also be in contention. Not only is he a former winner in this country, but his record on this course reads 3rd, 2nd and 20th. His form has been a little inconsistent this season, but if there is ever a place to back Davis, it is here in Spain.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1pt):

Nick O'Hern to beat Brian Davis -120 @ Centrebet
Davis does have a very good record in Spain, but his form has been disappointing ever since the pressure began to build for Ryder Cup qualification and he has yet to regain it in the last month. O'Hern has finished ahead of him in seven of their last eight common events in Europe, so should be expected to do so again despite the location.
(also available at Stan James)

Anders Hansen to beat Ricardo Gonzalez -110 @ BetInternet and BlueSq
Neither are consistent players, but Hansen has rediscovered his form recently and it has helped him to a 8-1-0 h2h lead over Gonzalez in 2004. The Argentinean may have won this event last year, but Hansen has finished in the top-15 in each of the last three years and has shown enough form to suggest he will do so again this year.

Trevor Immelman to beat Ricardo Gonzalez -110 @ Stan James
Same here. Immelman also has a 8-1-0 h2h lead over Gonzalez in 2004 and while his course form is not as impressive as Hansen's, he is simply a much better player. I can't imagine these two players being in the same matchups too often!

David Lynn to beat Jose Manuel Lara -111 @ Ladbrokes
An 11th place finish last week was a good result for Lara, but he is hardly in the same class of player as Lynn who has finished ahead of him in each of their last six common events, a run that includes a victory at the KLM Open.

Steven O'Hara to beat Richard Sterne -110 @ Stan James
Another difference in class ... or at least in terms of their performances when in Europe as Richard Sterne in South Africa is another matter. In the last six months O'Hara leads Sterne 11-3-0 h2h and while neither player has previously played on this course, O'Hara does have a good record in Spain: he finished in the top-10 in the Open de Sevilla in April and in the Tour Q-School last November.

 

[veride]

I'll try this week the European Tour...

Win Only :

Miguel Angel Jimenez --> 7/1 Victor Chandler
Stephen Gallagher --> 28/1 Victor Chandler
Philip Price --> 33/1 Victor Chandler
Alastair Forsyth --> 40/1 Victor Chandler

 

[sports student]

2nd round:

Lafeber +175 over Lara/Emerson (365)
Gallacher +143 over Tunnicliff/Garrido (5 dimes)

 

[lostinamerica]

OUTRIGHTS:

Trevor Immelman(11/1) (1/4 for 1-2-3-4) @ Bet365
Looked dialed in as a serious threat on view yesterday.

GL

 

[Stanley]

Agree with you LIA

Further outright play (1pt):

Trevor Immelman to win 10/1 e.w. @ Coral
The South African nearly didn?t start this event. He had to be taken to hospital after suffering a severe allergic reaction to a wasp sting on the practice ground on Wednesday. But even though he was still feeling the effects during the first round, he has put himself within three shots of the lead with 36 holes to play and will feel stronger each day. In this position, he is a great weekend player. In his last twelve European and Southern Africa Tour events in which he has entered the weekend in the top-10, he has won three occasions and finished 2nd five times! On only three out of twelve occasions has he finished outside the top-4 necessary for at least a place return on an each-way stake. I was hoping for 10/1 and I?m very pleased to have found it!

 

[Stanley]

Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-4; -4.00pts

Howell mc
O'Hern 47th
Davis 47th
Immelman 9th

O'Hern looked like he might at least snatch a place win and Immelman looked as though he might mount a challenge, but rarely got out of second gear over the weekend. Very poor.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 2-2-1; -0.31pts

O'Hern/Davis TIED (Dead heat)
Hansen/Gonzalez WON by 10
Immelman/Gonzales WON by 6
Lynn/Lara LOST by 5
O'Hara/Sterne LOST by 18

Successfully opposed Gonzalez, but that was all. Not much comfort in your reading of a tournament when you oppose the eventual winner.

European Tour ytd
Outrights: 22-59; +78.35pts
Matchups: 69-53; +15.94pts