Oscar for best PIC

[pt1gard]

bet Munich last night at OLY +300 and it dropped to +150 now ... It's still +250 at Sportsbook. com ... Read lotsa reviews and Spielberg has a great shot; the Israeli angle earns bonus points in Hollywood ... Comes out on 23rd, so will be fresh in everyone's mind etc ... Not a lot of value but its clearly the fave now ...


gl, gregg

 

[BleedDodgerBlue]

saw walk the line, another contender and was blown away by the performances by reese witherspoon and joaquin phoenix.

but as a whole, the movie wasn't oscar worthy itself i don't think, although im sure it will be nominated.

i think one, if not both of those win best actor/actresses, but it won't win best picture.

can't wait for munich. hope the hype isn't better than the movie.

gl

 

[BleedDodgerBlue]

actually pt1grd

thanks for bringing this thread up. i just got down for the max (only $200) at oly on juaquin at +200 and reese at +400. one of those two will for sure win if not both. hell, they both used their real voices singing, no dubs. plus i wouldn't mind banging reese, but thats a different story.

munich still at +150, not much value for a movie ive yet to see.

the only competition might be syriana, but obviously haven't seen that either. good night is too unknown, geisha just looks stupid to me, and the gay cowboy movie can't win can it?

actually of all the movies listed, crash was my favorite. cinderella man was close, but a boxing movie cannot win twice in a row.

STUNNED that nicholas cage wasn't nominated for the weatherman. he was great in that. Not even a nomination??
gl

 

[rrc]

Loved Crash, any chance it gets nominated?

Gotta get around to renting Cinderella Man.

 

[pt1gard]

hey guys, loved Crash also ... Reese has been my fave since Man in the Moon--the pic she made as a 13 y-o, that girl can act--hope she wins an Oscar sometime soon ... Phoenix is damn tanlented too .... have to see that movie

thanx
gregg

 

[pt1gard]

reese is +150 for oscar ...

munich is bouncing all around, went to +100 at OLY couple days ago, then at SB.com it's at 9/2 today (i took a lil more at that price) it's +150 at OLY now ... Brokeback was 10/1 and after a lot of reading i hedged last night at 10/1, and today it dropped to 2/1 ... some wild stuff going on ... anyhow, if one of those two dont win Ill be out a lil cash, but im fairly satisfied I got some decent value ...

so Ebert, thats my tale

gl, gregg

 

[Hokie Fan]

This is a great topic
Dont rule out King Kong if that is even nominated yet..
I would say Munich is a winner Isreali Hollywood angle is tough to go against
Love Jouaqin Phoenix... Loved his Bro too ..(stand by me)
Reese will win... easy... loved her in Cruel Intentions..

 

[BleedDodgerBlue]

locked in reese at +400 when you made this post. thanks again. she really should win. not surprised to see the line drop on her. got juaquin at +200. their performances were great even though i thought the movie was just okay.

i really can't see the gay cowboy movie winning. i know its artsy and hollywood and gotten great reviews, but if i'm gonna be honest with myself, im not going to see. no interest. maybe i'm missing a great one, but ill pass.

word on syriana is that its great, but damn complicated and hard to follow.

i still like your munich play even though i haven't seen it.


can't see king kong winning. hollywood only gives sci fi a nod every decade or so. star wars, lord of the rings. gotten great reviews, but it won't win best picture. maybe director, but he just won a few years ago. it'll win something, but not a big one imo.
gl

 

[Hoops]

Some of the early reviews for 'Munich' have not been too favorable. Might end-up getting a better price on it later on.

No odds yet on Best Director, but Ang Lee might be worth grabbing early, as I think he has an excellent chance of winning (especially since he got the shaft a few years ago).

 

[Sun Tzu]

Munich was getting great reviews before filming was even completed. The pub is simply the story plus Speilberg, not the movie itself. Plus Spielberg supposedly tried to portray both sides "fairly" - if he really did that wont sell as big on the "jewish hollywood" angle.

The gay cowboys are gonna win something, just the way it is. Witherspoon will probably win is my guess, but she isnt exactly a Hollywood fav so there will be folks looking for someone else to back with a straight face, just not sure there is one.

 

[pt1gard]

gl bdb, hoping your reese bet comes thru, she should win something someday ... actually loved her in pleasantville and election

 

[pt1gard]

geisha

geisha

is closing fast, 2/1 ... hope mine too can combat it!

 

[pt1gard]

took my team to see King Kong, kids liked it, i wasnt that enamored ... first act waaaaay too long ... hilight: Kongy takes out 3 T Rexs in a spunky en garde!

 

[pt1gard]

humpback mtn is -150 at oly ... lee -500 ... reese -225 ... munich +700 .... capote dude looks like shoe in too ... well, thank gawd I covered the munich bet, looks like gay day on red carpet this year

 

[pt1gard]

humpback down to -250 now

 

[baby johnson]

thanks guys