- Feb 14, 2006
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Im leaving to go on vacation for the weekend and decided to place my bets early. Over the last 2 days i charted out past 4 ncaa tournaments to see what the avg score differnces were (from '02-05).
1seed/16seed = 23.19 (avg on how much higher seed wins by)
2/15 = 14.81
3/14 = 10.75
4/13 = 7.94
5/12 = 2.62
6/11 = 3.94
7/10 = 3.81
8/9 = .875
First Round Upsets
'05 = 8
'04 = 3
'03 = 8
'02 = 7
Upsets by seed
1/16 = 0
2/15 = 0
3/14 = 1 (won by 1 point)
4/13 = 3 (avg. 3-4 point upset wins)
5/12 = 6 (avg. 7-8 point)
6/11 = 4 (avg. 8.5 point)
7/10 = 5 (avg. 10 points)
8/9 = 6 (avg. isnt relevant, to random)
Other Info
The team that wins the tourament has beat their seed avg. points 3/4 times. The team that comes in second has only beat the avg. 1/4 times.
Thursday Wagers
Seton Hall +3.5
Winthrop +6.5
George Washington -3
Duke -24
Oklahoma -3
Flordia -8
Pacific +8.5
Montana +7
NIT bet: Nebraska +6.5
Friday Wagers
Uconn -22
Kansas -7.5
Iowa -7
Memphis -13
Bucknell +5.5
Michigan st. -4.5
1seed/16seed = 23.19 (avg on how much higher seed wins by)
2/15 = 14.81
3/14 = 10.75
4/13 = 7.94
5/12 = 2.62
6/11 = 3.94
7/10 = 3.81
8/9 = .875
First Round Upsets
'05 = 8
'04 = 3
'03 = 8
'02 = 7
Upsets by seed
1/16 = 0
2/15 = 0
3/14 = 1 (won by 1 point)
4/13 = 3 (avg. 3-4 point upset wins)
5/12 = 6 (avg. 7-8 point)
6/11 = 4 (avg. 8.5 point)
7/10 = 5 (avg. 10 points)
8/9 = 6 (avg. isnt relevant, to random)
Other Info
The team that wins the tourament has beat their seed avg. points 3/4 times. The team that comes in second has only beat the avg. 1/4 times.
Thursday Wagers
Seton Hall +3.5
Winthrop +6.5
George Washington -3
Duke -24
Oklahoma -3
Flordia -8
Pacific +8.5
Montana +7
NIT bet: Nebraska +6.5
Friday Wagers
Uconn -22
Kansas -7.5
Iowa -7
Memphis -13
Bucknell +5.5
Michigan st. -4.5
