Pawamech AFL System rolls out for '04.....>>

[PAWAQATSI]

Well here we go........After last weeks aborted take off, the Pawamech Express is ready for departure. The numbers have been crunched and there are 2 eligible selections for this weeks games.

This season I am starting with a bankroll of $20,000 and the expectations would be to at least double it to 40K. The way I see it....an extremely bad season would be reaching 25K, an average one would be below double and a very good season would be 55K+. Suffice to say that my confidence in the numbers is very high.

The first Pawamech selection for 2004 is in tomorrow night's game....... It likes

Carlton +17.5 versus Essendon

And therefore 20% of the initial bank balance of $20,000 = $4000 @ $1.90 on the Carlton Blues +17.5 returning $7600

The second selection straight after the game.

So I'm off now to put my hat on and blow the whistle, as we slowly roll on out of the station for another big system run on the "PAWAMECH EXPRESS"

:burnout :burnout :burnout

 

[1837]

Paw,

You have such confidence on a win on Carlton straight up instead of taking +16.5? What with the spread, a double play?

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Sorry 1837.....I'll clarify that a bit better.

Take the Carlton line of +17.5 points. (I found an extra point at a new book). I will put this on in about 9 hours time from this post just before game start as I think most money will come in for Essendon.

I have edited the previous post to show the new line found.

I don't actually like this game myself but I have confidence in the systems numbers over the long run. I do like the second selection though.

Once again I will say this, don't worry too much about the line that you get as rarely has it been an issue with the system due to the high scoring of AFL football. Naturally with the stakes I am playing this year I will still look to find every available point whereas last season i wasn't too concerned on chasing the extra +.

Good luck to you mate

 

[1837]

Thanks Paw. My problem is i only have a book that have that game on the money line... No spread, just take the winner. It is at 3.90 for Carlton....

 

[grey]

good luck PAW, coat-tailing

EDIT: what books do you reccomend for AFL?

 

[PAWAQATSI]

1837, grey

MJ's sponsor PINNACLE above do have AFL lines available. I use a few local ones but do the right thing and go with the sponsor.

DO NOT TAKE THE MONEYLINE IN THIS SYSTEM!!

Over the journey it is profitable but not as consistant as using the 'line bet'. Results were too spasmodic for my liking.

About 6 hours till it jumps. So get going!

 

[grey]

well i know jack about the AFL so i'll most likely just be tailing you. i placed this one on pinnacle...

 

[PAWAQATSI]

That's all you need to do grey to ca$h!!


1837
Why have you given up posting Formula 1 picks in the "Motor Racing" forum?? :shrug:
I'm fighting a lone hand in there mate!! There is still plenty of $$$s to be made on F1, even with the qualifying rule changes. In fact I think it's even easier. I miss your homework and now I have to work harder myself.

It'd be good to see you in there for the next round mate.

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Essendon 117 defeated

Carlton 80

Carlton played a pathetic second half to roll over and play dead to the Bombers. Not the best start for the system but we'll move on to the second selection which is played tomorrow. The next eligible play is for....

Melbourne +16.5 versus Port Adelaide
20% of the remaining $16,000 = $3,200 @ $1.90 returning $6,080

Now I do like this one and there are plenty of stats as well as history to back it up (most of which was covered by MrC in the other AFL thread). The bottom line is that they do match up with Port very well.


Let's get it back from the man :chairshot

 

[grey]

hey paw, whats the best site to check afl scores?

 

[Let's Have Fun]

www.afl.com.au

 

[bombercoops]

The express may have hit a log on the tracks last night but history proves that it starts slow before reaching its' money making destination later in the year. All the best on the dees play mate!

 

[1837]

Paw, I finally have a spread at the book i'm using for your Melbourne game!

Melbourne at +17.5 at OLY and at 4.10 on the money line...

Sorry about F1 but the golden time is over and i don't have as much time as before to cap them and i really hate new qualifying rules that started last year... It was the beginning of the end for me in F1.....

Cart racing is starting this weekend but i haven't seens any lines, nor qualifying nor odds to win the race so i'm gonna be VERY quiet this year...

I'm playing your Melbourne game for 2 units and if you like them on the money line tell me!:tongue

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Melbourne is worth a half unit on the ML mate.

 

[grey]

let's hope so. the afl seemed like a moneymaker so i've decided to hop on for the rest of the season.

 

[1837]

Very good pick Paw!

So far Melbourne is destroying Port Adelaide by 30 with 1 qtr to go!

Didn't took the ML because the value went down big just when i was going to take it :shrug:

Thanks again!

 

[PAWAQATSI]

dance2

Melbourne 124 defeated

Port Adelaide 71

Season to date: 1 - 1 @ 50% ----- Bank = $18,880 @ 94.4%

History repeats itself as Port never really challenge the Melbourne Demons. System makes a slight loss for the weekend.
The 'Express' is still getting up to speed.

On to next week...

 

[grey]

:toast: nice take paw. i have a couple questions about the AFL in general. i know this is going to sound stupid but i dont really know much about the sport at all. whats the difference between a goal and a behind?

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Grey

At both ends of an oval playing field there are 4 vertical posts about 5 metres apart between each. If the players kick the football through the middle two goalposts they score a goal which is worth 6 points. If the players miss the middle space and the footy goes either side if the two taller goalposts, between them and the shorter 'behind' posts, they only score 1 point or behind as they are sometimes refered as. If the footy is knocked or carried through any of the posts by hand or body then that results in just the 1 point also.

I've probably made it sound more confusing than it is but hopefully it gives you some idea.

Bombercoops lives in Texas and says there is a weekly game shown on one of your US channels. Wouldn't hurt for you to try and catch a game on the box so you know what the hell you are betting on!! It is a physically tough game that will spin you out.

 

[bombercoops]

Grey, they show the footy over here on extended cable every thursday night at 10pm for 2 hours. One main game followed by highlights of all the others from the previous weekends play. The channel is Fox Sports World and on my TV is channel 273. I'm sure this is somehow accessible to you mate.