Pawamech AFL System.....Week #12

[PAWAQATSI]

Season starting bankroll = $8000
Season to date: 11 - 6 @ 64.7% ----- Bank = $12,769 @ 159.61%

An early start to this week. The system likes two games this round, both played on Sunday arvo.
First up is Brisbane Lions versus Hawthorn Hawks up at the GABBA. Brisbane have hammered Hawthorn the last three times but the Lions are coming back from the 'infamous' doomsday match versus Fremantle in the west last week. No eastern team has won in the west or won on their first week back. And as I mentioned last week, no team has won their 'line' either on return (first game back). 11 from 11 losses This favours us well because the P-Ex also fancies.....
Hawthorn +25 versus Brisbane
So thats 2 things going for the Hawkers

Now halfway through this match, there is another one that has attracted the Pawamech's attention. Down at the MCG my Kangaroos will do battle with the Melbourne Demons. Melbourne started the week at a long $2.60 but the money is already pouring in on them and they are currently equal @ $1.90.
I personally liked them before I ran the figures as I know that they have been a 'voodoo' team of late against my Roos. Now that the system wants some of the action as well, my confidence is high for an 'express play'. Therefore taking.....
Melbourne straight up versus Kangaroos
As both games will be played across the same afternoon I am staking around 18% of the bankroll on each of these plays @ $1.90 returning $4370 each.

 

[MrChristo]

Damn man!!!

Seriously can't believe you going against your boys this week!

May well tag along on the Hawks, but will definately be on the Kanga's.
DoH!....Disaster coming one way or another

 

[bombercoops]

Second that Mr C but I guess you will also get a winner either way pawa. Also like the hawks as they have found some long lost form and the perth theory is just way too solid to bet against. 11 from 11 is about as solid as it gets.

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Are you two jokers saying that you have never bet against the Bombers or Bulldogs????:shrug:

Gimme a freakin break!!!

What should I do? Become selective on system 'leans' and corrupt the whole process?
A winning history is impossible to go against. I will follow it to the end regardless of whether I agree / disagree, even if it means backing against my boys.

I'll live or die by the final bankroll......:yup

:fingerc:

 

[bombercoops]

No, can't say I have ever bet against my own team pawa but I sure as s**t should have on certain occasions. You're right though mate, you can't corrupt a winning system just because your team is on the other side of it and for all we know the dees might win by 12 goals! Wouldn't mind if they did either mate as a bomber win on friday night will see my boys leap frog your roos on the ladder:thefinger !

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Hey.......ease up with the 12 goals man!!!

 

[bombercoops]

Just kidding mate!

 

[onetrickpony]

Is there room on the Express for one more Yank? Been watching your plays cash for quite some time and can't resist anymore.

Joining you on Melbourne PAWA. Good luck!

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Brisbane 93 just defeat Hawthorn 81
Kangaroos 101 hang on to defeat Melbourne 94

Express goes 1 and 1 for the round. Hawks almost win up in Brisbane. Brisbane lose their 'line' to make it now 12 from 12 eastern teams losing their respective 'lines' after coming back from playing on the other side of the country the previous week
My Kangaroos hang on as Melbourne charge at 'em in the final minutes of the game. At least my guys stay in the top 8. Now this game should have been Melbourne +8 to +14 but a crazy betting plunge killed off any chance of this during the course of the week. A closer game than some thought.... hey MrC, bomber??!!
This should have been a bloody winner!!

Season to date: 12 - 7 @ 63% ----- Bank = $12,539 @ 156.73%

The bank stagnates on twelve and a half 'G' and we will roll on to next week.

Onetrick.....I hope this doesn't put you off board. Plenty off weeks to go yet.

 

[bombercoops]

Where do I start pawa. First of all good win on the hawks game mate. Would have been great to see the hawks get up but that's the way it goes. Secondly though, I always thought the roos/dees game was going to be close but i thought the roos had an edge in certain areas not to mention the fact that they were even money, when like you said, they should have been giving a goal or two. You put it on me the other day about not backing the opposite team to your own when you feel it is the right move, but what happens when you take the other team and they lose!!:nono: Oh well, I guess at the end of the day you have to follow the system mate ay! Anyway, on a positve mate at least they are entrenched firmly in the 8 after the win. Won enough money for the both of us on that game today pawa!

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Won enough money for the both of us on that game today pawa!

" TOUCHE' " bomber.....but I think you earned it harder than I with the Crows!! :thefinger

 

[MrChristo]

Good call on the Hawks, PAWA......but a bit of a worry when a couple of jokers ride your own team to victory :thefinger

This should have been a bloody winner!!

:nono:

Don't start that one mate. You've had your fair share of good results: West Coast sneaking in with the last 3 garbage goals of the game last week; Your Kanga's kick the last goal in the McCartney game.

Anyway...Hopefully we can all agree on a gift next week

 

[onetrickpony]

PAWA, no worries. Your record and results YTD are exceptional. I just chose the wrong stop to get on the Express.

Get em next time and I'll be following along.