i should warn folks that totals are not necessarily my strong suit but that is where i see the value this week.
when the lines opened, i knew there was one play i was on, the under in this game. i was certain it would climb but i got greedy. when i saw it hit 51, i hoped it would go higher and so i waited. i grabbed 50 on the way back down. luckily for me, SIA still had 49 up as of 10 mins ago when i went for my teaser(i put 48 in my other post b/c that's where aces was at the time but shopping is always a plus).
as 6th laid out so nicely in his post, these 2 teams have strong defenses. philly's D is based on speed and tremendous cover corners. these are the keys to being able to defend the rams. add to this warner's injury, and i think you will see the rams run some different looks today. they will feature faulk even more than usual and they will look to run quick hitters in the passing game to keep the heat off warner, the TEs and backs will feature prominently in the game plan.
so, if the eagles D is the right medicine for the rams and the eagles have the undefensible donovan mcnabb on O, why am i not betting the eagles?
mainly, b/c of troy vincent's groin and the eagles lack of weapons to go w/mcnabb. but also b/c every joe on the street, every radio talking head and every sharp i can find loves them. they think they can win outright. i have heard soooooo much about the eagles chances, i am tempted to take the lambs with the line now available at 10. if it drops to single digits, i throw one down just for yucks.
but the play i love is the under. faulk, who will be the rams main cog today, doesn't turn it over. mcnabb doesn't turn it over. this is key. no short field for either team. long drives vs good Ds = under in my book.
the one wild card in this mix is the matchup that will likely keep me off the rams and the one that hasn't really been discussed.
the rams have tremendous player at most of the positions on O and on D. in order to do that and still fit w/in the cap, sacrifices had to be made. the rams special teams are not strong. brian mitchell is extremely dangerous and anyone who follows football know he knows how to break a big return.
if stl controls mitchell, the under is a ----.
my bet of the week, under on stl/philly(49 was up at SIA 15 min ago. down to 48 or 47.5 at most shops) i absolutely love it at 49 or higher. i like it down to 47
when the lines opened, i knew there was one play i was on, the under in this game. i was certain it would climb but i got greedy. when i saw it hit 51, i hoped it would go higher and so i waited. i grabbed 50 on the way back down. luckily for me, SIA still had 49 up as of 10 mins ago when i went for my teaser(i put 48 in my other post b/c that's where aces was at the time but shopping is always a plus).
as 6th laid out so nicely in his post, these 2 teams have strong defenses. philly's D is based on speed and tremendous cover corners. these are the keys to being able to defend the rams. add to this warner's injury, and i think you will see the rams run some different looks today. they will feature faulk even more than usual and they will look to run quick hitters in the passing game to keep the heat off warner, the TEs and backs will feature prominently in the game plan.
so, if the eagles D is the right medicine for the rams and the eagles have the undefensible donovan mcnabb on O, why am i not betting the eagles?
mainly, b/c of troy vincent's groin and the eagles lack of weapons to go w/mcnabb. but also b/c every joe on the street, every radio talking head and every sharp i can find loves them. they think they can win outright. i have heard soooooo much about the eagles chances, i am tempted to take the lambs with the line now available at 10. if it drops to single digits, i throw one down just for yucks.
but the play i love is the under. faulk, who will be the rams main cog today, doesn't turn it over. mcnabb doesn't turn it over. this is key. no short field for either team. long drives vs good Ds = under in my book.
the one wild card in this mix is the matchup that will likely keep me off the rams and the one that hasn't really been discussed.
the rams have tremendous player at most of the positions on O and on D. in order to do that and still fit w/in the cap, sacrifices had to be made. the rams special teams are not strong. brian mitchell is extremely dangerous and anyone who follows football know he knows how to break a big return.
if stl controls mitchell, the under is a ----.
my bet of the week, under on stl/philly(49 was up at SIA 15 min ago. down to 48 or 47.5 at most shops) i absolutely love it at 49 or higher. i like it down to 47
