Under is the play tonight in the MIN/PHL game, and here's why:
Six of MIN's 16 games last year went over 50 points, and only four of the Eagles games did. That's only 10 of 32 games.
In such a game, where everyone is expecting a shootout, it is logical to expect the coaches to try to play some ball control to keep the other team off the field. That will be especially true if one team opens up a 10-plus point lead. This could turn out to be one of those legendary up-and-down the field games, but the odds don't favor it.
Database guys: I would love to see the record for NFL games with o/u at 50 or over for the past 10 years. I only remember a handful of games where that's even happened, and the only ones I remember covering were when the Rams were unstoppable. I would surmise that blindly betting against 50+ totals is a 60% proposition, and that's all you can hope for in the NFL.
Six of MIN's 16 games last year went over 50 points, and only four of the Eagles games did. That's only 10 of 32 games.
In such a game, where everyone is expecting a shootout, it is logical to expect the coaches to try to play some ball control to keep the other team off the field. That will be especially true if one team opens up a 10-plus point lead. This could turn out to be one of those legendary up-and-down the field games, but the odds don't favor it.
Database guys: I would love to see the record for NFL games with o/u at 50 or over for the past 10 years. I only remember a handful of games where that's even happened, and the only ones I remember covering were when the Rams were unstoppable. I would surmise that blindly betting against 50+ totals is a 60% proposition, and that's all you can hope for in the NFL.
