Picking Winners

[Morris]

This is for everyone. How is it that we spend hours capping games, we have the choice of what team, and we pick the wrong side? Everyone has been there with the teams that can't lose and they get hammered. When I call he tells me the spread and asks me what team I want. Why is it the majority of the time I'm wrong? I get the choice:shrug: I guess that's why bookies don't drive volkswagons.

Bob

 

[yyz]

It's money management.......nothing else.

 

[Skinar]

Morris

Morris

A few questions. Do you keep detailed records of your gaming? Do you know your own tendencies? Do you shop lines? How many games have you lost by the hook in the past year?

This is a v-e-r-y tough business in which to make a profit. If you really want to come out ahead you're in the right place.

 

[djv]

Skinar/YYZ dead on both of you. I tell you I forgot how many times a 1/2 point cut my balls off. Shopping is so important. Watch your money mangement same thing.

 

[Morris]

Thanks Guys,
I know one of my problems, I always seem to add games. And for some reason they're always losers?

Bob

 

[big joe]

I understand how you feel Morris.
Someone answer this, as I'm sure it's more complicated than this,,take MNF game, you have two teams and a pointspread,,as you say, we get to pick,,so we have two choices for a straight up play. You will pick right or wrong (okay, excluding a push).
Is this not a 50/50 chance you'll pick either right or wrong?
The probablility question is maybe meant to prove out over a long period of time, and sure seems like it's harder than 50/50.
Similar to playing roulette, either it'll hit RED or BLACK, if you don't have the green.
I thought I didn't need high school, now I'm second-guessing dropping out.
Can someone shed some higher-learnin' on this? thx

 

[thunderdoll]

We actually start out with a 50 50 chance but then we add all the stats and history and our knowledge of the game and the trends and who had a fight with his wife and who got laid last night and we pool at that knowledge together and we no longer hit it at 50% but bring it down to about 40%!

 

[THE KOD]

Skinar/YYZ dead on both of you. I tell you I forgot how many times a 1/2 point cut my balls off. Shopping is so important.

djv

Got this from the links section. I added in my comments.

1. Need for Action ------------ YEH BABY !
2. Chasing Losses ------------ Sometimes!
3. Drastic Bet Amt Variation--THROW IT DOWN!
4. No Money Management------------------------Huh
5. Lack of Discipline---------------------Spank that ass!

Scott-Atlanta

 

[THE KOD]

We actually start out with a 50 50 chance but then we add all the stats and history and our knowledge of the game and the trends and who had a fight with his wife and who got laid last night and we pool at that knowledge together and we no longer hit it at 50% but bring it down to about 40%!

LMAO THUNDER !




Scott-Atlanta

 

[Morris]

Disipline, what's that? :shrug:

 

[THE KOD]

Disipline, what's that? :shrug:

I am not sure , so I doubt if I have any


Scott-Atlanta

 

[hellah10]

picking winners?!?! Just pick them out of a hat

 

[Morris]

I tried flipping a coin, that didn't work. I also tried writing down my picks and going opposite, that didn't work either. I know these are tried and true methods I must be doing something wrong.:shrug:



Bob

 

[THE KOD]

I'm aware that most cappers won't reveal their most prized moneybringers, but occasional angle or two is greatly appreciated.


Got this out of a hockey thread. Is this true ? If it is it makes things much harder for us. I believe spilling the guts is good for the soul.


Scott-Atlanta