Picks for Week 3

[blgstocks]

Alright, ive been real shaky to start the season off. But I will keep pushing away and hopefully some of these will cash. I want you guys to back me up or tear me down on any of these, so lets hear those opinions.

All bets 1 unit

ASU over 52 - ASU offense is very very good, CU is not very good at anything right now, but like a couple of posters here have pointed out that they might just run wild and really open it up. I was very wary of the opening line -10 as it was suspiciously low, but has moved to 10.5 at alot of places, so if it continues to move up I will be on it because I think ASU wins this one by a couple of TDs early. But the look ahead game with Cal might keep me off the chalk but i think it gives me the green light on the over. Oh and 4 of the last 5 road games for ASU has gone over.

UCONN - 6
Uconn at home has been money the past couple of years, and UCONN laying less than a TD against WF at home is just too much for me to pass up.
Yes WF just lost to duke and that scares me because the line is ripe for heavy public betting but a very decent uconn defense vs a terrible WF offense.

Uconn Under -42 - I really think the only way Wake stays in this game is if they hold the ball and keep Uconn from making big plays. I doubt they will do either, but I think this one goes under because Uconn Defense allowed 19ppg last year and return almost everybody and then some. Like I said WF just doesnt have the offense to stay iin this game and I really think Uconn clamps down and this one goes under.


Wisky -14 - I just really like this game and dont see anybody on it. Was definitely looking at this game to go over but with SDSU QB ? with a broken thumb (300yrds against Utep) and 2 WR out, well I think Wisky covers with ease. Wiskys offense was one of the tops last year and have started where they left off this year. I expect Wisky to pound SDSU at home.

Might add a few more, but these are the plays so far basically because I didnt want any line movement on Wsky/Uconn and ASU o/u

 

[gman2]

wake forest blocked the fg in the final seconds to hold on for the ugly win against duke.

deacs have issues at qb with mauk done for the year. this line was hammered up from sunday night when it opened at (-3). think its the right side. gl

 

[hm23]

firstly, what is the name of the first gal. She is your best bet, I am certain. The second photo, great two -team parlay. :mj07:

I am also playing UConn. And there is concern, in that, WF is usu. a dangerous dog. But I think the Huskies bark loudly at Rentschler Field. They have a solid O and can run the ball. I like their QB Hernandez, hopefullly he'll show more consistency throwin the ball. Also, their HC Edsall is underrated.

gl2u

 

[blgstocks]

Oh man I must be tired if I said Duke beat a team:scared
but what I meant to say was almost beat WF, I was scratching my head watching the ESPN bottomline the whole time in horror as duke was going to get a win.

Thanks for pointing that out Gman and GL to you to this week. And you never answered me about your lack of picks in my previous thread, when you going to start laying them on?

 

[Jayhawk_Thor]

BLG... the pics keep getting better and better, ha ha... good work...


My one trepedation with your ASU/over pick... Dan Hawkins knows that the only way they can win this one is if they slow the game down on the ground and keep the clock moving. He also knows that his QB's are atrocious, and I would bet he doesnt give them a chance to kill him.
They've played in two low scoring games so far... and I dont think that is a coincidence.

I didnt cap the over/under... so I was just wondering what you saw in it to make it a play...

 

[blgstocks]

Wow Jayhawk, I was just looking for my thread on pg 2 to make a post saying how I was hopping on the Jayhawk bandwagon (well at least for thurs night game)

About the ASU game, I just really think the opening line was fishy and I know that ASU typically stuggles on defensive side alot more than on the offensive side. They have nothing but experience and skill on the O side of the ball, so they generally have high scoring games on the road as their defense is weak and other teams get into a shootout.
This is why the last 4 of 5 have gone over on the road, and I think it is a real high # for a longer stretch of road games I just cant remember. Also with the look ahead game of Cal, I think ASU might look ahead of an abysmal CU team.

I think CU coach knows he cannot control one of the nations most explosive offensive with his weak pass D (giving up on avg 250+ passing yrds against CSU and a D2 school). So I truley think he will be forced to run run run. If ASU stops them then they get the ball back and score, and CU is forced to open it up, or if CU is succesful (which wouldn't surprise me against a ? ASU D) then they score to help ASU out. Either way I think somebody will be scoring almst everytime they get the ball in this one. Mainly ASU, but CU could surprise me. But I am betting that neither defense will surprise me by stopping either team.

Oh and after reading jayhawk, Joe De, and Now Raymond all on KU, I will put 1 unit on KU +4.

GL to you all

 

[gman2]

blgstocks -

the wake offense was running in mud for three and a half quarters against duke before putting together one good drive to take the lead in the final minute. this will be skinner's first game on the road and that be even more trouble for the deacs. uconn looks solid, even though it could be one of those games where the huskies control the game the whole way but only win 10-13 points, thus making you sweat your money out. but i dont think you have to worry about skinner coming in and leading the deacs to a win or cover.

didnt mean to ignore your question from the other day about picks. once or twice a year, this question comes up and i do my best to answer it in a way where it doesnt draw any unnecessary attention to the thread while also being considerate and respectful to jack and his site. within the last year and a half, ive spent considerable time developing a website/service devoted to selections/info/analysis. whenever i am able to, i always try to contribute extensively here as well just like ive done for the last handful of years. thats not gonna change. my contributions just arent centered around picks/plays, thats all.

btw - as the week progresses, that arizona state over gets more and more appealing. on the surface, colorado cant score. but teams that are trying to incorporate new offensive systems sometimes take a few weeks to get going. certainly 10 pts against csu is cause for concern but hawkins didnt become stupid overnight. he'll find a way to get things working against an asu defense that has a tendency to give up pts away from home. it seems the buffs have settled on a qb for now and that stability could get them in the right direction. i dont think hawkins would be sticking with jackson (at the expense of letting white transfer) if he didnt think he was capable of being a good qb. we'll see.

 

[Marra]

I dont understand the ASU line for the life of me. They have show improved defense. Their offense is going to score, a lot, which we know. ASU is getting Jamaal Lewis back for this game, which is huge (And I think ASU's best receiver outside)...

Im trying to understand the line, but I can't. If you add six points (if ASU was at home) that means they would be laying 16 at home to Colorado. Colorado has shown nothing to convince me they shouldn't be 21-24 point dogs, which would mean ASU should be laying at least 15 on the road.

Maybe the bookmakers dont want it to appear that ASU is laying that many points b/c they have struggled on the road in the past? That isnt a good enough reason for me.

 

[AR182]

stocks..

you have me looking at the conn. very hard..still undecided though...

good luck.

 

[blgstocks]

To Gman, can you email me your site if it is up and running, you can get my email from jack, I would really like to check it out.

To Marra, I originially thought this line should be -16 or 17 so I was right there with ya and glad that two guys who know ASU fball are equally confused over this one, thats mainly why IM staying off it, and am just on the over.

To AR, I am geussing you mean Uconn under, which I like quite a bit, but thanks for all your picks once more, I just came here to add them.

I am on VT -35 for .5 unit

All the others Im on for 1 unit

Nevada -2

Navy SU +100

Rutgers -14 -130

Check AR182 thread and Socrstuds thread as to why I think these are good plays

GL to all

 

[Kramer]

In your #2 pic, I am appalled. :142smilie

I think there needs to be some separation.:mj07:

And who better than to separate those mammoth
appendages than ME :Yep:

You let those things rub against each other long
enough, why it would be a waste.:nono:

SANDWITCH CITY :s6:

 

[AR182]

stocks,

i just checked a site that monitors line moves...

in the rutgers game...77% of 5500 bets were placed on rutgers....yet the line went against them from 17-15/15.5....so i don't know what to make of the rutgers play....

 

[blgstocks]

I hate going into the weekend 0-1, but what was even worse was sitting threw the shitstorm of KU/Toldeo only to have to leave at the end of regulation and missing adouble ot shitstorm!

I don't know which beat was worse, the KU or the VT under last week, but both were worse than anything I had in sports betting last season. So I figure I have those under the belt and I will have some good luck coming my way, law of averages people! i can only be on the right side of so many of these games before the teams and acts of god keep me from cashin

Keep your head up jayhawk, you had this one the whole way, Toledo backers received a gift while KU backers got a kick to the nuts, and everyone else got an excited penalty/mistake prone game with terrible commentary featuring plastic swords and bad bioegineering jokes.

GL to you all who are on my side!

 

[blgstocks]

Already looking like upset city!

Iowa st is looking much better than iwo and is up by 10+

Ohio St is down to cincy in the 2nd!!!

BYU is ahead of BC by a FG!

I love dogs that cover, but dogs that win outright, even more delicious!

 

[blgstocks]

Went 5-3-1 Today, mostly thanks to Ar and socrstud.