1st post in a long time in any sport. Been following AFL for the 1st 3 weeks and I am ready to start making plays. Starting out w/ half my normal amount until I get a better feel for the teams and this league as a whole.
Austin at Colorado (+3) 55/50
Read an article where the AFL lines can really shift bigtime during the week. This line opened at my book at Colorado -3 and now I see they are getting 3. Main reasons I like Colorado are:
They are off a 30 pt loss to Chicago and are now getting pts at home vs an expansion team. While Ausin is playing very well and has some vets they are still an expansion team and laying pts on the road.
Road teams thru the 1st 3 weeks are now 18-9. Much like the NFL this past season where road favorites dominated early on, it did even out by years end. So trying to pick a few home teams that appear to be in solid spots.
Austin won vs T.B. last week and T.B. is the champ from last year. Also Kaleo, the Ausin QB, was playing vs his old team. With them getting the win vs the champ and vs his old team they may be a bit flat here.
While Austin has the #1 yardage offense they also have the last ranked yardage defense. Austin = 297 yds to 310 given up. Colorado = 216 yds to 227 given up. Pretty even there so I will back the home team that is getting pts, coming off a blowout loss vs the team that just beat the champs from last year with their QB going against his old team.
GL to all this weekend! Congrats to TV for a great weekend last week. I have leans to Grand Rapids +27 and Columbus +3. Any thoughts or opinions are welcomed.
Austin at Colorado (+3) 55/50
Read an article where the AFL lines can really shift bigtime during the week. This line opened at my book at Colorado -3 and now I see they are getting 3. Main reasons I like Colorado are:
They are off a 30 pt loss to Chicago and are now getting pts at home vs an expansion team. While Ausin is playing very well and has some vets they are still an expansion team and laying pts on the road.
Road teams thru the 1st 3 weeks are now 18-9. Much like the NFL this past season where road favorites dominated early on, it did even out by years end. So trying to pick a few home teams that appear to be in solid spots.
Austin won vs T.B. last week and T.B. is the champ from last year. Also Kaleo, the Ausin QB, was playing vs his old team. With them getting the win vs the champ and vs his old team they may be a bit flat here.
While Austin has the #1 yardage offense they also have the last ranked yardage defense. Austin = 297 yds to 310 given up. Colorado = 216 yds to 227 given up. Pretty even there so I will back the home team that is getting pts, coming off a blowout loss vs the team that just beat the champs from last year with their QB going against his old team.
GL to all this weekend! Congrats to TV for a great weekend last week. I have leans to Grand Rapids +27 and Columbus +3. Any thoughts or opinions are welcomed.
