last night 1-0 +100
ytd 22-11-3 +1915
UTEP +17.5 over SJ St (220/200 SIA)
Tough to back a team that has lost 10 out of their last 13 ATS. Even still I don't think SJ St should be this big a favorite in a conference game. Both teams have played solid competition (Oklahoma, Washington, Illinois, Kentucky) and SJ has given up over 50 more yds per game then UTEP while averaging about 40 more yds on offense. SJ St comes off a huge win vs Illinois and I believe they may be a little flat coming off one of their best
road trips in a very long time. UTEP moved the ball ok last week vs Hawaii but were not very good in the red zone. Against a team that has given up close to 500 yds a game I think they can score enough to get w/in this #. Obviously the home crowd will be pumped for this one, but I still don't believe SJ St should be this big a favorite over anyone yet.
Memphis -7 over UAB (-120 240/200 canbet)
Injuries continue to pile up for a team that did not have many returning starters to begin with. UAB also comes off a shutout loss to UL-Lafeyette. Really don't like betting against a team off a loss like that but at an even TD I will take a shot on Memphis. They have lost the last 2 years SU to UAB so maybe they will stay focused in this one. UAB has given up 150 yds or more to every team they have faced and see no reason why Memphis can't outgain them by a large margin and get the cover.
WVA -7 over ECU (214/200 canbet)
ECU has given up a ton of yards on the year and haven't played a very tough schedule. For a team that hasn't covered a spread in their last 8 this seems like a reasonable line for WVA to cover at home. ECU has avg'd 20.7 pts per game against Duke, Tulane, and WF. I like the mountaineers' chances to hold them to that much or less and that would give them a good chance at a cover, IMO.
Have leans to Temple, Kentucky, and Ball St and a couple others but I will hope for better lines in the morning.
ytd 22-11-3 +1915
UTEP +17.5 over SJ St (220/200 SIA)
Tough to back a team that has lost 10 out of their last 13 ATS. Even still I don't think SJ St should be this big a favorite in a conference game. Both teams have played solid competition (Oklahoma, Washington, Illinois, Kentucky) and SJ has given up over 50 more yds per game then UTEP while averaging about 40 more yds on offense. SJ St comes off a huge win vs Illinois and I believe they may be a little flat coming off one of their best
road trips in a very long time. UTEP moved the ball ok last week vs Hawaii but were not very good in the red zone. Against a team that has given up close to 500 yds a game I think they can score enough to get w/in this #. Obviously the home crowd will be pumped for this one, but I still don't believe SJ St should be this big a favorite over anyone yet.
Memphis -7 over UAB (-120 240/200 canbet)
Injuries continue to pile up for a team that did not have many returning starters to begin with. UAB also comes off a shutout loss to UL-Lafeyette. Really don't like betting against a team off a loss like that but at an even TD I will take a shot on Memphis. They have lost the last 2 years SU to UAB so maybe they will stay focused in this one. UAB has given up 150 yds or more to every team they have faced and see no reason why Memphis can't outgain them by a large margin and get the cover.
WVA -7 over ECU (214/200 canbet)
ECU has given up a ton of yards on the year and haven't played a very tough schedule. For a team that hasn't covered a spread in their last 8 this seems like a reasonable line for WVA to cover at home. ECU has avg'd 20.7 pts per game against Duke, Tulane, and WF. I like the mountaineers' chances to hold them to that much or less and that would give them a good chance at a cover, IMO.
Have leans to Temple, Kentucky, and Ball St and a couple others but I will hope for better lines in the morning.
