Plays

[BadAngel]

YTD 4-1 +5.9

Det p 2 units Marked this as big revenge game from opening night. Plus Dall played Cle last night. No matador defense tonight.

Orl -2- 2 units Den will not win 4 in a row at,plus Orl with minn up next. They better win this one.

good luck out there.

 

[Cabo]

Badangel, with you on both plays!..Cabo...

 

[gsp]

WTG Both solid calls.

 

[jiwos2m1]

nice, very nice!!!
congrats to a very good capper indeed.i always believe that looking ahead in the schedule is a most valubale tool in capping. it shows how much a team will put out to win the present game like in orlando's case today.

 

[BadAngel]

Now Big go against Orl come Saturday vs very mad Minn team. 6th game in 9 days for orl and last 5 on road.

 

[jiwos2m1]

i like the way you cap and see the games. going against the team on the last game of a long road trip has traditionally been money. i have been looking at that game and will be a definite play for sat. depending on how minny plays against indy. i have indy by the way for friday. my theory is that there are no players more lazy than basketball players. partly because they are spoiled and mostly because they play so many games. a loss here and there are acceptable for them and feel that the players and coaches pick and choose the games they will put effort into. it's not like football where every game counts and need max effort. thus i feel nba is a better game to bet on if you can see past the raw stats and put it in context of the situation that the team faces i.e back to back games, road trip, home court advantage, matchups ect...

 

[BadAngel]

The way i do things is what I call play tag. one game is right if I looked ahead on the same team and had that game capped if it wins I just keep going. After Orl plays minn'last game on trip. They get 3 days rest and play Minn at home. The way I look at it I am going to win them both or split. Den had 3 str home wins, not gonna be 4. This game 3 or 4 plays in motion.

 

[alienx]

BadAngel, All very good points, but, it is more likely for a team that is on a streak to keep the streak. So Denver won 3 in a row at home then they are more likely to get the 4th win then take their first loss. But all trends and streak end at one point. And you knew when. There is a good writeup on this on the homepage at Madjacks.
I wish my brain was out of my azz yesterday. Got drunk and started chasing. Ohh well thank god we are just begining the season and there are cappers like you to listen. Congrat on your winnings.