Poinsettia Bowl and New Orleans Bowl

mabus

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Oct 29, 2007
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2 Early games and what it looks like at first glance:

Poinsettia: Looks to me like more money going on Navy + pts. from what I can gather, and the line is dropping in Utah's favor.
I think Utah can cover the 8-never like a public dog, and everyone will think that the way Navy can score, they will be solid starting out with a 9 point lead. But the problem is that they have not faced a Defense like Utah's this year. Utah started out the season bumpy and really turned it on at the end of the year, even though they lost to a really solid BYU team. Sure Navy can run the ball, but they are anemic on Defense, allowing N Tx to put up 62 and Delaware to put up 59 in one of their loses, and Notre Dame and Pitt's high powered offenses put up 45 and 44. So, even though Utah is not nationally (though they are known for it in conference) known for their scoring abilities, they should be able to put up enough points to cover the 8-8.5 while keeping Navy's running game in check.
Like Utah -8

New Orleans: I may be missing something here, but this seems that FAU -3 is pretty solid. I would feel okay if it was -6.5 honestly. FAU's losses came to Florida, S. Fl, Kentucky, Ok. St, and UL-Monroe. Other than UL-Monroe (who did beat a shitty Alabama team, and played a comparatively pretty tough out of conference schedule)-FAU did a good job at winning and covering. Their QB (Rusty Smith) is damn good too (3352 yds 27 TD/7 Int).
Memphis' losses came to ECU, MTSU, Ark State, CFl and Ole Miss. Stats wise, the two teams come off as pretty even, but I think the schedule each team played is a legitimate reason for this (just for example, Fla hanging 59 on FAU is different than ECU hanging 56 on Memphis). So basically, FAU looks like a solid play to me.
Not a professional here, so would appreciate any comments and input.
 
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ELVIS

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Sep 25, 2002
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memphis
i have watched memphis all year, and i have bet against them several times. i made a small profit, but this game stumps me big time.

wins were mtsu and ecu - both pretty good wagers.

losses - ark st and rice. smaller but a bitcch.


i have no idea which mem team will show up.

we are weak against the run, but we have 3-4 talented wr's that can keep us in any game.

troy would have hurt us, but we are not playing troy.:shrug:
 
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